Ekaterina Alexandrova and Elise Mertens will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Libema Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ekaterina Alexandrova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ekaterina Alexandrova is the pick to win this match.
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 1.82
Elise Mertens -> 1.99
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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Elise Mertens
This will be the 5th time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Elise Mertens fight against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they fought against each other, Alexandrova won 6-4 6-2 in the 3rd round in Doha back in February 2025.
Highlights Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elise Mertens – Doha 12-February-2025
Ekaterina Alexandrova
23 - 11win/loss
18
15
LWWWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-12 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-25 | 17-13 | 1-7 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Alexandrova reached the semifinal after beating Mariam Bolkvadze 6-3 6-4, Anna Blinkova 6-0 7-5 and Veronika Kudermetova 5-7 6-4 6-2.
In the quarter against Kudermetova, Alexandrova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-2). During the match, Alexandrova scored 96 points vs Kudermetova’s 88. Ekaterina was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alexandrova bagged 9 aces and she was not very solid on her 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve 6 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 57% of her first serves in, winning 74% (39/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 28% (11/40) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Kudermetova 8 times after converting 62% of her break points (8/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexandrova has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Alexandrova has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (316-207). 3-0 on grass in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Alexandrova has a composed 41-19 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Linz where she beat Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.
The Russian has a composed 23-11 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in ‘s-Hertogenbosch
Elise Mertens
24 - 11win/loss
24
12
LWWWWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-12 | 10-6 | 6-5 | 5-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-25 | 18-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, the Belgian got to the semifinal after beating Viktoriya Tomova 6-4 6-0, Maria Sakkari 6-3 6-0 and Yue Yuan 6-0 6-4.
In the quarter, Mertens had a good straight sets win against Yuan (6-0 6-4). During the match Mertens scored 63 points vs Yuan’s 42. The Belgian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Mertens blasted 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Elise Mertens was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (21/26) of her 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Belgian broke Yuan 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elise hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Singapore where she defeated Ann Li in the final 6-1 6-4.
The Belgian has a compiled 24-11 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in ‘s-Hertogenbosch
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 67 | 47 |
| Pts | 237-191 | 187-121 |
| Total Points | 428 | 308 |
| Winners | 88 | 60 |
| %Winners | 37% | 32% |
Both Alexandrova and Mertens played 3 matches. At the moment, Ekaterina Alexandrova lost 1 set while Elise Mertens hasn’t lost a set so far. Alexandrova has played 1 set more than Mertens (7 vs 6). Therefore, Alexandrova played 20 games more than Mertens. Alexandrova scored 88 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Elise made 60 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 7.7 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 121/220 | 82/150 |
| %1st in | 55% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 88/121 | 60/82 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 39/99 | 36/68 |
| %2nd pts | 39% | 53% |
Alexandrova blasted 23 aces (7.7 per match). Mertens struck 11 aces (3.7 per match). Alexandrova won 73% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 39% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 17 |
| Converted | 19/32 | 17/27 |
| % Converted | 59% | 63% |
| Conceded | 27 | 14 |
| Saved | 16 | 10 |
| % Saved | 59% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 4 |
Alexandrova broke her opponents 19 times with a 59% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded. The Belgian broke her opponents 17 times with a 63% conversion rate. Mertens conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Alexandrova | |||||
| R1 Bolkvadze |
R2 Blinkova |
1/4 Kudermetova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-0 7-5 | 5-7 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 30 | 67 | |
| pts | 70-55 | 71-48 | 96-88 | 237-191 | |
| Total points | 125 | 119 | 184 | 428 | |
| Winners | 29 | 20 | 39 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 28% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 4 | 9 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 36/67 | 32/60 | 53/93 | 121/220 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 53% | 57% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 29/36 | 20/32 | 39/53 | 88/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 63% | 74% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/31 | 17/28 | 11/40 | 39/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 61% | 28% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 6/11 | 8/13 | 19/32 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 55% | 62% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 | 14 | 27 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 3/5 | 8/14 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 60% | 57% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | |
| Mertens | |||||
| R1 Tomova |
R2 Sakkari |
1/4 Yuan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 6-0 | 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 15 | 16 | 47 | |
| pts | 57-37 | 67-42 | 63-42 | 187-121 | |
| Total points | 94 | 109 | 105 | 308 | |
| Winners | 20 | 19 | 21 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 28% | 33% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 29/44 | 27/57 | 26/49 | 82/150 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 47% | 53% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 20/29 | 19/27 | 21/26 | 60/82 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 70% | 81% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | 16/30 | 12/23 | 36/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | 52% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/10 | 5/6 | 17/27 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 60% | 83% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 5/6 | 4/5 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 83% | 80% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWLW
LWWWWWLLWW Tennis Scores in ‘s Hertogenbosch
- Nicole Melichar/Liudmila SamsonovaMelichar/Liudmila Samsonova – Veronika Kudermetova/Elise MertensKudermetova/Elise Mertens (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Irina Khromacheva/Fanny StollarKhromacheva/Fanny Stollar – Eri Hozumi/Aldila SutjiadiHozumi/Aldila Sutjiadi (4-6 6-3 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yuki MochizukiMochizuki – Sora FukudaFukuda (5-7 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-3) – H2H and prediction
