Gauthier Onclin and Daniel Merida Aguilar will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Lyon Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on COURT SOPRA STERIA. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gauthier Onclin who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gauthier Onclin is the pick to win this match.
Gauthier Onclin -> 1.79
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 1.94
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Prediction and head to head Gauthier Onclin vs. Daniel Merida Aguilar
There is no head to head record between Gauthier Onclin and Daniel Merida Aguilar since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Gauthier Onclin
19 - 13win/loss
201
192
LWWWLWLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-14 | 3-1 | 15-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-27 | 27-11 | 19-13 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-25 | 1-2 | 15-10 | 23-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-26 | 10-8 | 36-15 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-23 | 18-6 | 10-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-2 |
Ranked no. 221, Onclin got to the semifinal after beating Juan Pablo Ficovich 7-5 6-3, Lucas Poullain 7-5 7-6(4) and Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-4 6-2.
In the quarter, The Belgian had a good straight sets win against Carreno-Busta (6-4 6-2). During the match, Onclin scored 65 points vs Carreno-Busta’s 46. The Belgian was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Onclin scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Gauthier Onclin lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Onclin put 70% of his first serves in, winning 80% (28/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (5/15) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke Carreno-Busta 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gauthier hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Onclin has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 63% of his matches (230-135). 15-8 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Onclin has a compiled103-64 record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Belgian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Santa Margherita di Pula.
Gauthier has a composed 19-13 win-loss record in 2025, 15-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lyon Challenger
Daniel Merida Aguilar
26 - 10win/loss
250
250
LWWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-11 | 5-2 | 22-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 57-33 | 17-9 | 40-23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-31 | 16-13 | 20-17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-26 | 8-9 | 21-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-14 | 1-4 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 292, the Spaniard got to the semifinal after beating Kyrian Jacquet 6-4 6-4, Henri Squire 3-6 6-1 6-4 and Luca Van Assche 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Van Assche (6-4 6-3). During the match Merida scored 67 points vs Van Assche’s 54. Daniel was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Merida couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Daniel Merida Aguilar lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Merida put 73% of his first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (6/16) on the 2nd serve. Daniel broke Van Assche 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Merida’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Doha and M25 Sabadell.
Merida has an aggregate 26-10 win-loss record in 2025, 21-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lyon Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Onclin | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 64 | 65 |
| Pts | 246-205 | 235-204 |
| Total Points | 451 | 439 |
| Winners | 98 | 113 |
| %Winners | 40% | 48% |
Both Onclin and Merida played 3 matches. At the moment, Daniel Merida Aguilar surrendered 1 set while Gauthier Onclin hasn’t conceded a set so far. Onclin has played 1 set(s) less than Merida (6 vs 7). Therefore, Onclin played 1 game less than Merida. Onclin scored 98 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Daniel bagged 113 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Onclin | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2.3 |
| 1st in | 154/229 | 162/222 |
| %1st in | 67% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 98/154 | 113/162 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 35/75 | 29/60 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 48% |
Onclin blasted 3 aces (1 per match). Merida bagged 7 aces (2.3 per match). Onclin won 64% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Merida won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Onclin | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 11 |
| Converted | 16/36 | 11/29 |
| % Converted | 44% | 38% |
| Conceded | 30 | 18 |
| Saved | 20 | 13 |
| % Saved | 67% | 72% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 5 |
The Belgian broke his opponents 16 times with a 44% conversion rate. Onclin conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Daniel broke his opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. Daniel conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.
| Onclin | |||||
| R1 Pablo Ficovich |
R2 Poullain |
1/4 Carreno-Busta |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 7-5 7-64 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 25 | 18 | 64 | |
| pts | 87-75 | 94-84 | 65-46 | 246-205 | |
| Total points | 162 | 178 | 111 | 451 | |
| Winners | 34 | 36 | 28 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 38% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 0 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 58/83 | 61/96 | 35/50 | 154/229 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 64% | 70% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 34/58 | 36/61 | 28/35 | 98/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 59% | 80% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 17/35 | 5/15 | 35/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 49% | 33% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 6/12 | 5/11 | 16/36 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 50% | 45% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 14 | 5 | 30 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 9/14 | 3/5 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 64% | 60% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | |
| Merida | |||||
| R1 Jacquet |
R2 Squire |
1/4 Van Assche |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 3-6 6-1 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 26 | 19 | 65 | |
| pts | 78-68 | 90-82 | 67-54 | 235-204 | |
| Total points | 146 | 172 | 121 | 439 | |
| Winners | 39 | 44 | 30 | 113 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 49% | 45% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 6 | 0 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 49/77 | 70/86 | 43/59 | 162/222 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 81% | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 39/49 | 44/70 | 30/43 | 113/162 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 63% | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/28 | 11/16 | 6/16 | 29/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 69% | 38% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 4/11 | 5/9 | 11/29 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 36% | 56% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5/7 | 3/6 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 71% | 50% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWLLLL
LWWWWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Lyon Challenger
- Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Clement TaburTabur – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Gauthier OnclinOnclin – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub Paul/Michael VrbenskyPaul/Michael Vrbensky – Courtney John Lock/Thijmen LoofJohn Lock/Thijmen Loof (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Luca Sanchez/Seita WatanabeSanchez/Seita Watanabe – Orlando Luz/Marcelo ZormannLuz/Marcelo Zormann (4-6 6-4 10-8) – See score progression
- Gauthier OnclinOnclin – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Clement TaburTabur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gauthier OnclinOnclin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
