Francesco Passaro and Andrea Pellegrino will square off in the quarter of the Perugia Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 8:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Passaro who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Francesco Passaro is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Passaro -> 1.49
Andrea Pellegrino -> 2.48
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Francesco Passaro vs. Andrea Pellegrino
This will be the 5th time that Francesco Passaro and Andrea Pellegrino square off. The head to head is 2-2 for Passaro and Pellegrino (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Passaro won 6-3 6-4 in the qualifications in Munich back in 2024.
Francesco Passaro
17 - 10win/loss
132
89
LWWWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-11 | 5-3 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-25 | 4-5 | 35-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-35 | 8-11 | 18-20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-28 | 12-6 | 35-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-27 | 4-5 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 141, the Italian reached the quarter after beating Francesco Maestrelli 6-3 6-3 and Viktor Durasovic 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Francesco had a good straight sets win against Durasovic (6-4 6-2). During the match, Passaro scored 69 points vs Durasovic’s 50. Francesco was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Passaro scored just 1 ace during the match and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Francesco Passaro was exceptionally effective on serve to win 73% (32/44) of his 1st serve and 75% (6/8) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Passaro broke Durasovic 3 times after converting 19% of his break points (3/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Passaro has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (191-141). 12-6 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Passaro has an aggregate154-100 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Francesco has a compiled 17-9 win-loss record in 2025, 12-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Perugia Challenger
Andrea Pellegrino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-11 | 0-0 | 25-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-30 | 0-2 | 24-26 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-29 | 2-2 | 28-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-28 | 0-3 | 27-20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-29 | 2-3 | 22-23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 173, Andrea reached the quarter after defeating Gabriele Piraino 4-6 6-4 6-4 and Federico Bondioli 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Bondioli (6-1 6-4). During the match Pellegrino scored 68 points vs Bondioli’s 46. Andrea was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Pellegrino scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Andrea Pellegrino lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Pellegrino put 70% of his first serves in, winning 64% (27/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Bondioli 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andrea has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Pellegrino’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Estoril Challenger.
Pellegrino has a composed 22-11 win-loss record in 2025, 22-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Perugia Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019, 2023 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Passaro | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 47 |
| Pts | 130-98 | 166-133 |
| Total Points | 228 | 299 |
| Winners | 63 | 73 |
| %Winners | 48% | 44% |
Both Passaro and Pellegrino played 2 matches. At the moment, Andrea Pellegrino dropped 1 set while Francesco Passaro hasn’t lost a set so far. Passaro has played 1 set(s) less than Pellegrino (4 vs 5). Therefore, Passaro played 11 games less than Pellegrino. Passaro scored 63 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Andrea recorded 73 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Passaro | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 82/102 | 109/159 |
| %1st in | 80% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 63/82 | 73/109 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 29/50 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 58% |
Passaro blasted 3 aces (1.5 per match). Pellegrino fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Passaro won 77% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Pellegrino won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Passaro | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 9 |
| Converted | 6/28 | 9/19 |
| % Converted | 21% | 47% |
| Conceded | 4 | 20 |
| Saved | 4 | 15 |
| % Saved | 100% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Francesco broke his opponents 6 times with a 21% conversion rate. Passaro had a solid display on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 4 break points. Andrea broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. Pellegrino conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Passaro | ||||
| R1 Maestrelli |
R2 Durasovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 36 | |
| pts | 61-48 | 69-50 | 130-98 | |
| Total points | 109 | 119 | 228 | |
| Winners | 31 | 32 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 46% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/50 | 44/52 | 82/102 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 85% | 80% | |
| 1st pts | 31/38 | 32/44 | 63/82 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 73% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/12 | 6/8 | 12/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 75% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 3/16 | 6/28 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 19% | 21% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Pellegrino | ||||
| R1 Piraino |
R2 Bondioli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 17 | 47 | |
| pts | 98-87 | 68-46 | 166-133 | |
| Total points | 185 | 114 | 299 | |
| Winners | 46 | 27 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 40% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 67/99 | 42/60 | 109/159 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 70% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 46/67 | 27/42 | 73/109 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 64% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/32 | 11/18 | 29/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 61% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/10 | 9/19 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 50% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 8 | 20 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 6/8 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWLWW
WWWWWLLWWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Francesco PassaroPassaro (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Nerman FaticFatic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
