Madison Keys and Diana Shnaider will face off in the quarter of the LTA London Championships for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12:00 pm on ANDY MURRAY ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.46
Diana Shnaider -> 2.72
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Diana Shnaider
This will be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Diana Shnaider play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they locked horns, Keys won 6-2 6-4 in the 2nd round in Miami back in 2024.
Highlights Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider – Miami 21-March-2024
Madison Keys
29 - 7win/loss
6
5
LLWWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-9 | 19-3 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Keys got to the quarter after defeating Anastasia Zakharova 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Madison had a good straight sets win against Zakharova (6-3 6-2). During the match, Keys scored 66 points vs Zakharova’s 41. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Keys made 2 aces and she was very steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Madison Keys was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (25/33) of her 1st serve and 63% (5/8) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Keys broke Zakharova 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Keys has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (256-130). 1-0 on grass in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has a composed 32-10 match record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Adelaide where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1 and at the Australian Open where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.
Madison has a compiled 29-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in London
Keys has never competed in this tournament before.
Diana Shnaider
17 - 13win/loss
12
11
LLWLWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-16 | 7-8 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-23 | 31-15 | 15-5 | 0-0 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-22 | 14-13 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 58-17 | 11-4 | 46-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Diana got to the quarter after defeating Magdalena Frech 6-4 6-1 and Katie Boulter 2-6 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Boulter, Shnaider recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Shnaider scored 86 points vs Boulter’s 80. Shnaider was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Shnaider blasted 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Diana Shnaider lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Shnaider put 68% of her first serves in, winning 66% (33/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Boulter 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Shnaider has an aggregate 17-13 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in London
Diana has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 42 |
| Pts | 66-41 | 145-121 |
| Total Points | 107 | 266 |
| Winners | 25 | 57 |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% |
Keys played 1 match while Shnaider competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Diana Shnaider dropped 1 set while Madison Keys hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Keys has played 3 set(s) less than Shnaider (2 vs 5). Therefore, Keys played 25 games less than Shnaider. Keys scored 25 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Shnaider blasted 57 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3 |
| 1st in | 33/41 | 83/125 |
| %1st in | 80% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 57/83 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 5/8 | 23/42 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 55% |
Keys bagged 2 aces . Shnaider struck 6 aces (3 per match). Keys won 76% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Shnaider won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 8 |
| Converted | 5/13 | 8/18 |
| % Converted | 38% | 44% |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Madison broke her opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Madison dropped her serve twice and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. Diana broke her opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | |||
| R2 Zakharova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 66-41 | 66-41 | |
| Total points | 107 | 107 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 33/41 | 33/41 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 80% | |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 25/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Shnaider | ||||
| R1 Frech |
R2 Boulter |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 2-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 25 | 42 | |
| pts | 59-41 | 86-80 | 145-121 | |
| Total points | 100 | 166 | 266 | |
| Winners | 24 | 33 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/52 | 50/73 | 83/125 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 68% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 24/33 | 33/50 | 57/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 66% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 12/23 | 23/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 52% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/13 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 31% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 25% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWWWL
LLWLWWLWLW Tennis Scores in London
- Asia Muhammad/Demi SchuursMuhammad/Demi Schuurs – Yulia Putintseva/Elena RybakinaPutintseva/Elena Rybakina (6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lyudmyla Kichenok/Erin RoutliffeKichenok/Erin Routliffe – Katie Boulter/Emma RaducanuBoulter/Emma Raducanu (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrea GuerrieriGuerrieri – Ronald SlobodchikovSlobodchikov (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pietro RondoniRondoni – Savriyan DanilovDanilov (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tatjana MariaMaria – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
