Elena Rybakina and Tatjana Maria will square off in the quarter of the LTA London Championships for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on ANDY MURRAY ARENA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.148
Tatjana Maria -> 5.5

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Tatjana Maria

This will be the 2^nd time that Elena Rybakina and Tatjana Maria face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.

The last time that they played each other, Rybakina won 7-5 6-0 in the 2^nd round in Beijing back in 2023.

Elena Rybakina

Ranked no. 11, the Kazakhstani got to the quarter after beating Heather Watson 6-4 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Elena had a good straight sets win against Watson (6-4 6-2). During the match, Rybakina scored 71 points vs Watson’s 55. Rybakina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rybakina recorded 9 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elena Rybakina conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 7 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 61% of her first serves in, winning 82% (32/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (12/25) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Watson 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).

Rybakina has a terrific record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (352-151). 1-0 on grass in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has an aggregate 34-11 win-loss record in the last years on grass.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Strasbourg where she overcame Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1.

Rybakina has an overall 27-10 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in London

The Kazakhstani has never competed in this tournament before.

Tatjana Maria

Ranked no. 86, the German reached the quarter after defeating Hao-Ching Chan 6-0 6-2, Arina Rodionova 6-2 6-2, Leylah Annie Fernandez 7-6(4) 6-2 and Karolina Muchova 6-7(3) 7-5 6-1.

In the 2^nd round against Muchova, Maria recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7³ 7-5 6-1). During the match Maria scored 109 points vs Muchova’s 96. Maria was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.

About the serving games, Maria managed to score 5 aces and she was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Tatjana Maria lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Maria put 55% of her first serves in, winning 69% (37/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (24/44) on the 2nd serve. Maria broke Muchova 7 times after converting 47% of her break points (7/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The German started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was winning the title the W100 Bengaluru where she beat Leolia Jeanjean in the final 6-7(0) 6-3 6-4.

Tatjana has an overall 17-17 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in London

Tatjana has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rybakina	Maria
Match played	1	4
Tot Set	2	9
Tot Games	18	83
Pts	71-55	308-231
Total Points	126	539
Winners	32	108
%Winners	45%	35%

Rybakina played 1 match while Maria competed in 4 matches. Maria started her run from the qualifications while Rybakina had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Tatjana Maria conceded 1 set while Elena Rybakina hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rybakina has played 7 set(s) less than Maria (2 vs 9). Therefore, Rybakina played 65 games less than Maria. Elena scored 32 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Tatjana managed to score 108 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rybakina	Maria
Aces	9	19
Avg per match	9	4.8
1st in	39/64	147/251
%1st in	61%	59%
1st pts	32/39	108/147
%1st pts	82%	73%
2nd pts	12/25	57/104
%2nd pts	48%	55%

Rybakina scored 9 aces . Maria struck 19 aces (4.8 per match). Rybakina won 82% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Maria won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rybakina	Maria
Won	3	21
Converted	3/6	21/40
% Converted	50%	53%
Conceded	7	16
Saved	7	10
% Saved	100%	63%
Times Broken	0	6

Elena broke her opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Elena was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 7 break points. The German broke her opponents 21 times with a 53% conversion rate. Tatjana conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
	R2 Watson	Total
Score	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	71-55	71-55
Total points	126	126
Winners	32	32
%Winners	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	9	9
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	39/64	39/64
% 1st in	61%	61%
1st pts	32/39	32/39
% 1st pts	82%	82%
2nd pts	12/25	12/25
% 2nd pts	48%	48%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/6	3/6
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	7/7	7
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Maria
	Q1 Chan	Q3 Rodionova	R1 Annie	R2 Muchova	Total
Score	6-0 6-2	6-2 6-2	7-64 6-2	6-73 7-5 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	14	16	21	32	83
pts	56-21	61-44	82-70	109-96	308-231
Total points	77	105	152	205	539
Winners	15	18	38	37	108
%Winners	27%	30%	46%	34%	35%
SERVE
Aces	4	3	7	5	19
Double Faults	1	1	3	0	5
1st in	18/35	28/45	47/73	54/98	147/251
% 1st in	51%	62%	64%	55%	59%
1st pts	15/18	18/28	38/47	37/54	108/147
% 1st pts	83%	64%	81%	69%	73%
2nd pts	13/17	10/17	10/26	24/44	57/104
% 2nd pts	76%	59%	38%	55%	55%
Breaks
Won	5	6	3	7	21
Converted	5/6	6/12	3/7	7/15	21/40
Converted %	83%	50%	43%	47%	53%
Conceded	0	5	4	7	16
Saved	0/0	3/5	3/4	4/7	10
Saved %	–	60%	75%	57%	192%
Times Broken	0	2	1	3	6

Tennis Scores in London

• Asia Muhammad/Demi SchuursMuhammad/Demi Schuurs – Yulia Putintseva/Elena RybakinaPutintseva/Elena Rybakina (6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lyudmyla Kichenok/Erin RoutliffeKichenok/Erin Routliffe – Katie Boulter/Emma RaducanuBoulter/Emma Raducanu (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Andrea GuerrieriGuerrieri – Ronald SlobodchikovSlobodchikov (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Pietro RondoniRondoni – Savriyan DanilovDanilov (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Tatjana MariaMaria – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-1) – H2H and prediction