Luca Nardi and Luka Pavlovic will square off in the quarter of the Perugia Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Nardi who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luca Nardi is the pick to win this match.
Luca Nardi -> 1.3
Luka Pavlovic -> 3.28

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Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. Luka Pavlovic

There is no head to head record between Luca Nardi and Luka Pavlovic since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Luca Nardi

Ranked no. 98, the Italian reached the quarter after beating Saba Purtseladze 6-0 6-2 and Elias Ymer 6-2 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Nardi had a good straight sets win against Ymer (6-2 6-4). During the match, Nardi scored 56 points vs Ymer’s 42. Nardi was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nardi bagged 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Luca Nardi was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nardi was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Ymer 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Luca hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 62% of the points he played.

Nardi has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 56% of his matches (175-139). 7-8 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nardi has an aggregate66-55 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

Nardi’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Koblenz Challenger.

Nardi has a compiled 22-19 win-loss record in 2025, 7-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Perugia Challenger

Luka Pavlovic

Ranked no. 209 (career-high), the French player reached the quarter after beating Lorenzo Carboni 6-1 6-3 and Taro Daniel 2-6 7-5 7-6(6).

In the 2^nd round against Daniel, Luka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-5 7-6⁶). During the match Pavlovic scored 102 points vs Daniel’s 101. The French player was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.

About the serving games, Pavlovic managed to score 16 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Luka Pavlovic was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (46/59) of his 1st serve and 51% (22/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Luka broke Daniel twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Luka has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Luka’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Mexico City Challenger.

Luka has an aggregate 21-11 win-loss record in 2025, 21-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Nardi	Pavlovic
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	32	49
Pts	106-66	159-135
Total Points	172	294
Winners	43	65
%Winners	41%	41%

Both Nardi and Pavlovic played 2 matches. At the moment, Luka Pavlovic dropped 1 set while Luca Nardi hasn’t lost a set so far. Nardi has played 1 set(s) less than Pavlovic (4 vs 5). Therefore, Nardi played 17 games less than Pavlovic. Nardi scored 43 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Pavlovic scored 65 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Nardi	Pavlovic
Aces	8	22
Avg per match	4	11
1st in	52/83	83/148
%1st in	63%	56%
1st pts	43/52	65/83
%1st pts	83%	78%
2nd pts	22/31	37/65
%2nd pts	71%	57%

Nardi recorded 8 aces (4 per match). Pavlovic blasted 22 aces (11 per match). Nardi won 83% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Pavlovic won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Nardi	Pavlovic
Won	8	6
Converted	8/10	6/10
% Converted	80%	60%
Conceded	1	12
Saved	1	9
% Saved	100%	75%
Times Broken	0	3

The Italian broke his opponents 8 times with a 80% conversion rate. Luca extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. Luka broke his opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Nardi
	R1 Purtseladze	R2 Ymer	Total
Score	6-0 6-2	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	14	18	32
pts	50-24	56-42	106-66
Total points	74	98	172
Winners	14	29	43
%Winners	28%	52%	41%
SERVE
Aces	3	5	8
Double Faults	1	1	2
1st in	18/34	34/49	52/83
% 1st in	53%	69%	63%
1st pts	14/18	29/34	43/52
% 1st pts	78%	85%	83%
2nd pts	14/16	8/15	22/31
% 2nd pts	88%	53%	71%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/7	3/3	8/10
Converted %	71%	100%	80%
Conceded	0	1	1
Saved	0/0	1/1	1
Saved %	–	100%	50%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Pavlovic
	R1 Carboni	R2 Daniel	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	2-6 7-5 7-66
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	16	33	49
pts	57-34	102-101	159-135
Total points	91	203	294
Winners	19	46	65
%Winners	33%	45%	41%
SERVE
Aces	6	16	22
Double Faults	1	5	6
1st in	24/46	59/102	83/148
% 1st in	52%	58%	56%
1st pts	19/24	46/59	65/83
% 1st pts	79%	78%	78%
2nd pts	15/22	22/43	37/65
% 2nd pts	68%	51%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	2	6
Converted	4/5	2/5	6/10
Converted %	80%	40%	60%
Conceded	2	10	12
Saved	2/2	7/10	9
Saved %	100%	70%	85%
Times Broken	0	3	3

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