Federico Arnaboldi and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Perugia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Arnaboldi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Federico Arnaboldi is the pick to win this match.
Federico Arnaboldi -> 1.63
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Federico Arnaboldi vs. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
There is no head to head record between Federico Arnaboldi and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Federico Arnaboldi
12 - 14win/loss
186
183
LLLWWLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-17 | 2-5 | 11-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-27 | 0-1 | 40-23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-29 | 1-2 | 23-21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-24 | 0-2 | 23-19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 60-15 | 12-2 | 48-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 183 (career-high), Federico got to the 2nd round after defeating Andrea Picchione 4-6 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round against Picchione, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-2). During the match, Arnaboldi scored 93 points vs Picchione’s 71. Federico was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Arnaboldi struck 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Federico Arnaboldi was quite effective on serve to win 76% (28/37) of his 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. The Italian broke Picchione 7 times after converting 78% of his break points (7/9).
Arnaboldi has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 56% of his matches (199-154). 10-8 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Arnaboldi has a compiled163-112 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Italian has a compiled 12-14 win-loss record in 2025, 10-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Perugia Challenger
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
16 - 15win/loss
221
221
LWWWLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-17 | 3-4 | 16-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-27 | 22-12 | 12-14 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-15 | 6-6 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 262, the Mexican reached the 2nd round after beating Marco Cecchinato 7-6(6) 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Mexican had a good straight sets win against Cecchinato (7-66 6-2). During the match Pacheco scored 72 points vs Cecchinato’s 63. The Mexican was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Pacheco scored 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (38/52) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rodrigo broke Cecchinato twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Pacheco’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Antalya.
Pacheco has an aggregate 16-15 win-loss record in 2025, 13-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Perugia Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaboldi | Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 21 |
| Pts | 93-71 | 72-63 |
| Total Points | 164 | 135 |
| Winners | 28 | 38 |
| %Winners | 30% | 53% |
Both Arnaboldi and Pacheco played 1 match. At the moment, Federico Arnaboldi dropped 1 set while Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Arnaboldi has played 1 set more than Pacheco (3 vs 2). Therefore, Arnaboldi played 5 games more than Pacheco. The Italian scored 28 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, The Mexican scored 38 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaboldi | Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 9 |
| 1st in | 37/72 | 52/72 |
| %1st in | 51% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 38/52 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 18/35 | 11/20 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 55% |
Arnaboldi blasted 4 aces . Pacheco struck 9 aces . Arnaboldi won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Pacheco won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaboldi | Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 2 |
| Converted | 7/9 | 2/3 |
| % Converted | 78% | 67% |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 33% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 |
The Italian broke his opponent 7 times with a 78% conversion rate. Federico surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Rodrigo broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Rodrigo was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Arnaboldi | |||
| R1 Picchione |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 93-71 | 93-71 | |
| Total points | 164 | 164 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 37/72 | 37/72 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 28/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/35 | 18/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/9 | 7/9 | |
| Converted % | 78% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Pacheco | |||
| R1 Cecchinato |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 72-63 | 72-63 | |
| Total points | 135 | 135 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 52/72 | 52/72 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 38/52 | 38/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWLLWLW
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