H2H, prediction of Taro Daniel vs Luka Pavlovic in Perugia Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 11th June 2025

PREVIEW. Perugia Challenger. Daniel and Pavlovic will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Perugia Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Wednesday the 11th of June

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Taro Daniel vs. Luka Pavlovic

Taro Daniel and Luka Pavlovic will play each other in the 2nd round of the Perugia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luka Pavlovic who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Luka Pavlovic is the pick to win this match.
Luka Pavlovic -> 1.46
Taro Daniel -> 2.56

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Taro Daniel vs. Luka Pavlovic

There is no head to head record between Taro Daniel and Luka Pavlovic since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Taro Daniel

Taro Daniel
Taro Daniel

5 - 16win/loss

Hard
4-9
I Hard
0-1
Clay
1-6
Rank
378
High
58
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See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-31 10-19 1-8 0-3 1-1 0-0
2024 31-33 16-16 5-11 9-3 1-3 0-0
2023 45-30 34-16 7-10 2-1 2-3 0-0
2022 43-29 27-17 12-7 2-2 2-3 0-0
2021 30-25 5-7 21-15 4-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 153, the Japanese reached the 2nd round after beating Alex Marti Pujolras 6-2 4-6 7-6(3).

In the 1st round, Daniel defeated Marti Pujolras (6-2 4-6 7-63). During the match, Daniel scored 103 points vs Marti Pujolras’s 96. Daniel was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Regarding the service games, Daniel made 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Taro Daniel lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Daniel put 71% of his first serves in, winning 67% (47/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Marti Pujolras 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Daniel has positive record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (311-272). 1-6 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Daniel has a compiled 126-113 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

The Japanese has an aggregate 5-16 win-loss record in 2025, 1-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Perugia Challenger

Taro has never competed in this tournament before.

Daniel
Perugia Challenger
Daniel's Record

Luka Pavlovic

Luka Pavlovic
Luka Pavlovic

20 - 11win/loss

Clay
20-11
Rank
220
High
184
LLWLWLLWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-23 1-2 30-19 0-1 2-1 0-0
2024 44-18 0-0 42-16 2-2 0-0 0-0
2023 39-12 0-1 38-10 1-1 0-0 0-0
2022 11-12 3-2 8-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 16-14 1-1 15-13 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 209 (career-high), the French player got to the 2nd round after beating Lorenzo Carboni 6-1 6-3.

In the 1st round, Luka had a good straight sets win against Carboni (6-1 6-3). During the match Pavlovic scored 57 points vs Carboni’s 34. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about serving, Pavlovic scored 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Luka Pavlovic was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (19/24) of his 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Luka broke Carboni 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Pavlovic’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Mexico City Challenger.

The French player has a compiled 20-11 win-loss record in 2025, 20-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Pavlovic
Perugia Challenger
Pavlovic's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

T.Daniel
L.Pavlovic
!
2h:34
2h:34
Time on court​
1h:03
1h:03
!
2h:34
2h:34
Last match​
1h:03
1h:03
1
1
Match played
1
1
31
31
Games Played​
16
16
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
103
103
Total points​
57
57
103
103
Avg point​
57
57
47
47
Winners
19
19
47
47
Avg Winners​
19
19
46%
46%
Ratio winners
33%
33%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
6
6
3
3
Avg Aces
6
6
2
2
Double Faults
1
1
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1
1
47/70
47/70
1st won total​
19/24
19/24
67%
67%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
19/29
19/29
2nd won total​
15/22
15/22
!
66%
66%
2nd won %
!
68%
68%
-- Break Points --
3/11
3/11
BP won
4/5
4/5
3/11
3/11
Avg BP won
4/5
4/5
!
27%
27%
Won
!
80%
80%
9
9
Conceded
2
2
9
9
Avg Conceded
2
2
2
2
Broken
0
0
2
2
Avg Broken
!
0
0
7
7
Saved
2
2
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Daniel Pavlovic
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 31 16
Pts 103-96 57-34
Total Points 199 91
Winners 47 19
%Winners 46% 33%

Both Daniel and Pavlovic played 1 match. At the moment, Taro Daniel lost 1 set while Luka Pavlovic hasn’t lost a set so far. Daniel has played 1 set more than Pavlovic (3 vs 2). Therefore, Daniel played 15 games more than Pavlovic. Daniel scored 47 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The French player fired 19 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve Daniel Pavlovic
Aces 3 6
Avg per match 3 6
1st in 70/99 24/46
%1st in 71% 52%
1st pts 47/70 19/24
%1st pts 67% 79%
2nd pts 19/29 15/22
%2nd pts 66% 68%

Daniel bagged 3 aces . Pavlovic bagged 6 aces . Daniel won 67% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Pavlovic won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Daniel Pavlovic
Won 3 4
Converted 3/11 4/5
% Converted 27% 80%
Conceded 9 2
Saved 7 2
% Saved 78% 100%
Times Broken 2 0

Daniel broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. Daniel lost his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Luka broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Pavlovic was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Daniel
R1
Marti		 Total
Score 6-2 4-6 7-63
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 31 31
pts 103-96 103-96
Total points 199 199
Winners 47 47
%Winners 46% 46%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 70/99 70/99
% 1st in 71% 71%
1st pts 47/70 47/70
% 1st pts 67% 67%
2nd pts 19/29 19/29
% 2nd pts 66% 66%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/11 3/11
Converted % 27% 27%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 7/9 7
Saved % 78% 78%
Times Broken 2 2
Pavlovic
R1
Carboni		 Total
Score 6-1 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 57-34 57-34
Total points 91 91
Winners 19 19
%Winners 33% 33%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 24/46 24/46
% 1st in 52% 52%
1st pts 19/24 19/24
% 1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 15/22 15/22
% 2nd pts 68% 68%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/5 4/5
Converted % 80% 80%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Head 2 Head

Taro Daniel
  • 0Slam
  • 1Main
  • 9Chall
  • 4Minor
Luka Pavlovic
  • 0Slam
  • 0Main
  • 0Chall
  • 6Minor

Taro
Daniel

0:1

Luka
Pavlovic

Rank

378

High

58

0Clay1

Rank

220

High

184

Win Loss
Daniel
LLWLLLLWWW
Pavlovic
LLWLWLLWLL
2025 2024 2023
12 - 31
33 - 23
10-19
Hard
1-2
1-8
Clay
30-19
1-1
Grass
2-1

Tennis Scores in Perugia Challenger

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Daniel
Taro Daniel
More Stats
Click here
Pavlovic Luka Pavlovic