Lucas Gerch and Mateo Barreiros Reyes will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Santa Fe Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on CANCHA 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lucas Gerch who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lucas Gerch is the pick to win this match.
Lucas Gerch -> 1.3
Mateo Barreiros Reyes -> 3.28
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Prediction and head to head Lucas Gerch vs. Mateo Barreiros Reyes
There is no head to head record between Lucas Gerch and Mateo Barreiros Reyes since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Lucas Gerch
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-10 | 6-3 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 0-2 | 35-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 32-20 | 2-2 | 26-14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-29 | 11-3 | 36-20 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-27 | 8-8 | 20-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 535, Lucas reached the qualifications after beating Arklon Huertas Del Pino 3-6 6-2 6-2.
In the qualifications against Huertas Del Pino, Gerch recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-2). During the match, Gerch scored 96 points vs Huertas Del Pino’s 86. Gerch was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gerch recorded 2 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Lucas Gerch lost the serve 4 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Gerch put 56% of his first serves in, winning 66% (40/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (21/48) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Huertas Del Pino 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Gerch has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (278-175). 4-3 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gerch has an overall187-104 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
Gerch’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Zahra.
Lucas has an aggregate 10-6 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santa Fe Challenger
Gerch has never competed in this tournament before.
Mateo Barreiros Reyes
8 - 12win/loss
802
595
LWLWLWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-14 | 0-2 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-21 | 2-2 | 23-18 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 12-7 | 22-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-17 | 5-3 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-16 | 2-4 | 18-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 719, Mateo got to the qualifications after defeating Ezequiel Monferrer 3-6 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications against Monferrer, Mateo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-4). During the match Barreiros scored 102 points vs Monferrer’s 101. The Brazilian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Barreiros scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Mateo Barreiros Reyes lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Barreiros put 70% of his first serves in, winning 66% (39/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the 2nd serve. Mateo broke Monferrer 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Mateo has a composed 8-11 win-loss record in 2025, 8-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gerch | Barreiros |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 29 |
| Pts | 96-86 | 102-101 |
| Total Points | 182 | 203 |
| Winners | 40 | 39 |
| %Winners | 42% | 38% |
Both Gerch and Barreiros played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Lucas Gerch lost 1 set, while Mateo Barreiros Reyes surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Gerch and Barreiros have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Gerch played 4 games less than Barreiros. Gerch scored 40 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Mateo managed to score 39 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gerch | Barreiros |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1 |
| 1st in | 61/109 | 59/84 |
| %1st in | 56% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 40/61 | 39/59 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 21/48 | 15/25 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 60% |
Gerch fired 2 aces . Barreiros struck 1 ace . Gerch won 66% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Barreiros won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gerch | Barreiros |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 3 |
| Converted | 6/13 | 3/11 |
| % Converted | 46% | 27% |
| Conceded | 14 | 4 |
| Saved | 10 | 2 |
| % Saved | 71% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Lucas broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Lucas surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Barreiros broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. Barreiros conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gerch | |||
| Q1 Huertas Del Pino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 96-86 | 96-86 | |
| Total points | 182 | 182 | |
| Winners | 40 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 61/109 | 61/109 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 40/61 | 40/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/48 | 21/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 14 | |
| Saved | 10/14 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Barreiros | |||
| Q1 Monferrer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 102-101 | 102-101 | |
| Total points | 203 | 203 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 59/84 | 59/84 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 39/59 | 39/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 15/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/11 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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