Nicolas Alvarez Varona and Lilian Marmousez will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Lyon Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:00 pm on COURT SOPRA STERIA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lilian Marmousez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lilian Marmousez is the pick to win this match.
Lilian Marmousez -> 1.84
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 1.88
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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs. Lilian Marmousez
This will be the 3rd time that Nicolas Alvarez Varona and Lilian Marmousez fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Alvarez Varona and Marmousez (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Marmousez won 1-6 6-2 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Troyes Challenger back in 2024.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
16 - 12win/loss
304
219
LLWLWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-15 | 10-4 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 4-3 | 36-19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-9 | 3-2 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-34 | 3-7 | 13-19 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-26 | 11-8 | 29-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 316, Alvarez Varona reached the qualifications after defeating Loann Massard 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications, Nicolas had a good straight sets win against Massard (6-3 6-4). During the match, Alvarez Varona scored 71 points vs Massard’s 58. Nicolas was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alvarez Varona bagged 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Nicolas Alvarez Varona lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Alvarez Varona put 70% of his first serves in, winning 76% (35/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Massard 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Alvarez Varona has good record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (216-160). 6-8 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alvarez Varona has an aggregate 115-93 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Nicolas has a composed 16-12 win-loss record in 2025, 6-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lyon Challenger
Alvarez Varona has never competed in this tournament before.
Lilian Marmousez
17 - 8win/loss
459
378
WLLWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-10 | 5-3 | 12-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 57-22 | 14-9 | 42-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-15 | 13-3 | 9-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-17 | 1-2 | 11-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-18 | 15-9 | 8-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 421, Lilian got to the qualifications after defeating Arthur Reymond 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications, Lilian had a good straight sets win against Reymond (6-3 6-3). During the match Marmousez scored 62 points vs Reymond’s 51. The French player was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Marmousez scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 6 double faults. Lilian Marmousez was extremely efficient on serve to win 73% (22/30) of his 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Marmousez broke Reymond 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Marmousez has an overall 17-8 win-loss record in 2025, 11-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lyon Challenger
Marmousez has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alvarez Varona | Marmousez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 |
| Pts | 71-58 | 62-51 |
| Total Points | 129 | 113 |
| Winners | 35 | 22 |
| %Winners | 49% | 35% |
Both Alvarez Varona and Marmousez played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Alvarez Varona and Marmousez have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Alvarez Varona played 1 game more than Marmousez. Nicolas scored 35 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Lilian managed to score 22 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alvarez Varona | Marmousez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 46/66 | 30/58 |
| %1st in | 70% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 35/46 | 22/30 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 18/28 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 64% |
Alvarez Varona made 5 aces . Marmousez fired 1 ace . Alvarez Varona won 76% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Marmousez won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alvarez Varona | Marmousez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 38% | 43% |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 |
| Saved | 5 | 2 |
| % Saved | 83% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The Spaniard broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Lilian broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Marmousez was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Alvarez Varona | |||
| Q1 Massard |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 71-58 | 71-58 | |
| Total points | 129 | 129 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 46/66 | 46/66 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 35/46 | 35/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 9/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Marmousez | |||
| Q1 Reymond |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 62-51 | 62-51 | |
| Total points | 113 | 113 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 30/58 | 30/58 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 22/30 | 22/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 18/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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WLLWLWWLWW 
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