Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz will square off in the final of the French Open for the 13th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.909
Jannik Sinner -> 1.93
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz
This will be the 13th time that Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz fight against each other. The head to head is 8-4 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Alcaraz won 7-6(5) 6-1 in the final in Rome back in May 2025.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner – Rome 18-May-2025
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-3 | 7-0 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Jannik got to the final after beating Arthur Rinderknech 6-4 6-3 7-5, Richard Gasquet 6-3 6-0 6-4, Jiri Lehecka 6-0 6-1 6-2, Andrey Rublev 6-1 6-3 6-4, Alexander Bublik 6-1 7-5 6-0 and Novak Djokovic 6-4 7-5 7-6(3).
In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Djokovic (6-4 7-5 7-63). During the match, Sinner scored 120 points vs Djokovic’s 105. Jannik was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sinner recorded 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jannik Sinner was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (45/57) of his 1st serve and 63% (34/54) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Jannik broke Djokovic 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jannik hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (364-122). 11-1 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has an overall96-39 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3.
Sinner has a composed 18-1 win-loss record in 2025, 11-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 42-5 | 10-4 | 22-1 | 5-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Carlos reached the final after defeating Giulio Zeppieri 6-3 6-4 6-2, Fabian Marozsan 6-1 4-6 6-1 6-2, Damir Dzumhur 6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4, Ben Shelton 7-6(8) 6-3 4-6 6-4, Tommy Paul 6-0 6-1 6-4 and Lorenzo Musetti 4-6 7-6(3) 6-0 2-0 ret..
In the semifinal against Musetti, Alcaraz had a free pass after Musetti retired on a 4-6 7-63 6-0 2-0 . scoreline.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he beat Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0 and in Rome where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 36-5 win-loss record in 2025, 21-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 18 | 23 |
| Tot Games | 163 | 191 |
| Pts | 598-416 | 693-536 |
| Total Points | 1014 | 1229 |
| Winners | 233 | 292 |
| %Winners | 39% | 42% |
Both Sinner and Alcaraz played 6 matches. At the moment, Carlos Alcaraz conceded 4 sets while Jannik Sinner hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sinner has played 5 set(s) less than Alcaraz (18 vs 23). Therefore, Sinner played 28 games less than Alcaraz. The Italian scored 233 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Carlos bagged 292 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 30 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 291/472 | 408/587 |
| %1st in | 62% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 233/291 | 292/408 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 122/181 | 113/179 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 63% |
Sinner fired 30 aces (5 per match). Alcaraz managed to score 21 aces (3.5 per match). Sinner won 80% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 31 | 34 |
| Converted | 31/66 | 34/82 |
| % Converted | 47% | 41% |
| Conceded | 22 | 30 |
| Saved | 19 | 20 |
| % Saved | 86% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 10 |
Jannik broke his opponents 31 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Alcaraz broke his opponents 34 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||||||
| R1 Rinderknech |
R2 Gasquet |
R3 Lehecka |
R4 Rublev |
1/4 Bublik |
1/2 Djokovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 6-0 6-4 | 6-0 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 7-5 6-0 | 6-4 7-5 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 25 | 21 | 26 | 25 | 35 | 163 | |
| pts | 101-76 | 91-62 | 91-45 | 94-63 | 101-65 | 120-105 | 598-416 | |
| Total points | 177 | 153 | 136 | 157 | 166 | 225 | 1014 | |
| Winners | 44 | 46 | 29 | 34 | 35 | 45 | 233 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 51% | 32% | 36% | 35% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 58/89 | 54/72 | 35/55 | 42/68 | 45/77 | 57/111 | 291/472 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 75% | 64% | 62% | 58% | 51% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 44/58 | 46/54 | 29/35 | 34/42 | 35/45 | 45/57 | 233/291 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 85% | 83% | 81% | 78% | 79% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/31 | 8/18 | 17/20 | 20/26 | 22/32 | 34/54 | 122/181 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 44% | 85% | 77% | 69% | 63% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 31 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/11 | 7/18 | 5/8 | 6/14 | 3/9 | 31/66 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 45% | 39% | 63% | 43% | 33% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 5/6 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 83% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Alcaraz | ||||||||
| R1 Zeppieri |
R2 Marozsan |
R3 Dzumhur |
R4 Shelton |
1/4 Paul |
1/2 Musetti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 4-6 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4 | 7-68 6-3 4-6 6-4 | 6-0 6-1 6-4 | 4-6 7-63 6-0 2-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 32 | 36 | 42 | 23 | 31 | 191 | |
| pts | 98-73 | 121-84 | 139-118 | 140-131 | 91-51 | 104-79 | 693-536 | |
| Total points | 171 | 205 | 257 | 271 | 142 | 183 | 1229 | |
| Winners | 44 | 50 | 59 | 67 | 38 | 34 | 292 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 41% | 42% | 48% | 42% | 33% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 57/86 | 70/92 | 92/131 | 99/142 | 43/55 | 47/81 | 408/587 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 76% | 70% | 70% | 78% | 58% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 44/57 | 50/70 | 59/92 | 67/99 | 38/43 | 34/47 | 292/408 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 71% | 64% | 68% | 88% | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 13/22 | 22/39 | 29/43 | 10/12 | 22/34 | 113/179 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | 56% | 67% | 83% | 65% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 4 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 34 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 8/17 | 7/21 | 3/7 | 6/17 | 6/12 | 34/82 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 47% | 33% | 43% | 35% | 50% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 30 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 1/3 | 9/12 | 7/9 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 75% | 78% | – | 0% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWWL
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores – French Open
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski (6-0 6-75 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (4-8) – H2H and prediction
