Guy Den Ouden and Ignacio Buse will fight against each other in the final of the Heilbronn Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on HOERTKORN COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ignacio Buse who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ignacio Buse is the pick to win this match.
Ignacio Buse -> 1.61
Guy Den Ouden -> 2.2

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Prediction and head to head Guy Den Ouden vs. Ignacio Buse

There is no head to head record between Guy Den Ouden and Ignacio Buse since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Guy Den Ouden

Ranked no. 187 (career-high), the Dutch got to the final after beating Elmer Moller 7-6(5) 7-5, Gauthier Onclin 6-3 6-2, Emilio Nava 7-5 6-3 and Marko Topo 7-5 6-3.

In the semifinal, Den Ouden had a good straight sets win against Topo (7-5 6-3). During the match, Den Ouden scored 73 points vs Topo’s 60. The Dutch was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Den Ouden scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 4 double faults. Guy Den Ouden lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Den Ouden put 53% of his first serves in, winning 69% (27/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the 2nd serve. Guy broke Topo 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Dutch hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Den Ouden has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (172-83). 32-10 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Den Ouden has an overall100-42 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.

The Dutch’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Antalya,the Kigali 2 Challenger,M25 Santa Margherita di Pula and the Prague Challenger.

Guy has a composed 33-11 win-loss record in 2025, 32-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Heilbronn Challenger

Den Ouden has never competed in this tournament before.

Ignacio Buse

Ranked no. 192, Buse reached the final after beating Timofey Skatov 6-1 7-6(4), Denis Yevseyev 6-0 6-3, Francesco Passaro 3-6 6-1 6-4 and Marco Trungelliti 6-4 7-6(3).

In the semifinal, Ignacio had a good straight sets win against Trungelliti (6-4 7-6³

). During the match Buse scored 71 points vs Trungelliti’s 62. Buse was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Buse scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Ignacio Buse lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Buse put 65% of his first serves in, winning 68% (30/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the 2nd serve. The Peruvian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Trungelliti twice.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Peruvian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Ignacio’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Santiago Challenger,the Menorca Challenger,the Aix En Provence Challenger and the Heilbronn Challenger.

Ignacio has an overall 20-15 win-loss record in 2025, 19-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Den Ouden	Buse
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	9
Tot Games	84	84
Pts	293-240	295-232
Total Points	533	527
Winners	114	118
%Winners	39%	40%

Both Den Ouden and Buse played 4 matches. At the moment, Ignacio Buse lost 1 set while Guy Den Ouden hasn’t conceded a set so far. Den Ouden has played 1 set(s) less than Buse (8 vs 9). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (84). Den Ouden scored 114 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Peruvian scored 118 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Den Ouden	Buse
Aces	14	8
Avg per match	3.5	2
1st in	159/274	163/249
%1st in	58%	65%
1st pts	114/159	118/163
%1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	58/115	54/86
%2nd pts	50%	63%

Den Ouden scored 14 aces (3.5 per match). Buse scored 8 aces (2 per match). Den Ouden won 72% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Buse won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Den Ouden	Buse
Won	17	14
Converted	17/30	14/25
% Converted	57%	56%
Conceded	23	16
Saved	14	12
% Saved	61%	75%
Times Broken	9	4

Guy broke his opponents 17 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Dutch conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded. The Peruvian broke his opponents 14 times with a 56% conversion rate. Buse conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Den Ouden
	R1 Moller	R2 Onclin	1/4 Nava	1/2 Topo	Total
Score	7-65 7-5	6-3 6-2	7-5 6-3	7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	25	17	21	21	84
pts	91-79	56-34	73-67	73-60	293-240
Total points	170	90	140	133	533
Winners	34	20	33	27	114
%Winners	37%	36%	45%	37%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	5	7	1	14
Double Faults	7	2	6	4	19
1st in	48/80	25/46	47/74	39/74	159/274
% 1st in	60%	54%	64%	53%	58%
1st pts	34/48	20/25	33/47	27/39	114/159
% 1st pts	71%	80%	70%	69%	72%
2nd pts	15/32	14/21	11/27	18/35	58/115
% 2nd pts	47%	67%	41%	51%	50%
Breaks
Won	5	4	4	4	17
Converted	5/11	4/5	4/8	4/6	17/30
Converted %	45%	80%	50%	67%	57%
Conceded	10	2	5	6	23
Saved	6/10	1/2	3/5	4/6	14
Saved %	60%	50%	60%	67%	59%
Times Broken	4	1	2	2	9

Buse
	R1 Skatov	R2 Yevseyev	1/4 Passaro	1/2 Trungelliti	Total
Score	6-1 7-64	6-0 6-3	3-6 6-1 6-4	6-4 7-63
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	20	15	26	23	84
pts	79-65	56-29	89-76	71-62	295-232
Total points	144	85	165	133	527
Winners	27	20	41	30	118
%Winners	34%	36%	46%	42%	40%
SERVE
Aces	4	1	2	1	8
Double Faults	2	1	3	1	7
1st in	37/71	25/37	57/73	44/68	163/249
% 1st in	52%	68%	78%	65%	65%
1st pts	27/37	20/25	41/57	30/44	118/163
% 1st pts	73%	80%	72%	68%	72%
2nd pts	18/34	9/12	11/16	16/24	54/86
% 2nd pts	53%	75%	69%	67%	63%
Breaks
Won	4	5	3	2	14
Converted	4/8	5/7	3/8	2/2	14/25
Converted %	50%	71%	38%	100%	56%
Conceded	5	0	4	7	16
Saved	3/5	0/0	3/4	6/7	12
Saved %	60%	–	75%	86%	55%
Times Broken	2	0	1	1	4

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