Aryna Sabalenka and Cori Gauff will play each other in the final of the French Open for the 11^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.54
Cori Gauff -> 2.54

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Cori Gauff

This will be the 11^th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Cori Gauff clash against each other. The head to head is 5-5 for Sabalenka and Gauff (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Sabalenka won 6-3 7-6(3) in the final in Madrid back in May 2025.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Cori Gauff – Madrid 03-May-2025

Aryna Sabalenka

Currently world no. 1 the Belarussian got to the final after beating Kamilla Rakhimova 6-1 6-0, Jil Teichmann 6-3 6-1, Olga Danilovic 6-2 6-3, Amanda Anisimova 7-5 6-3, Qinwen Zheng 7-6(3) 6-3 and Iga Swiatek 7-6(1) 4-6 6-0.

In the semifinal, Sabalenka defeated Swiatek (7-6¹ 4-6 6-0). During the match, Sabalenka scored 97 points vs Swiatek’s 73. Sabalenka was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka blasted 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 6 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 57% of her first serves in, winning 71% (37/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (17/39) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Swiatek 8 times after converting 80% of her break points (8/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sabalenka has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 57% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has an impressive match record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (414-174). 17-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a composed 94-41 match record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Sabalenka has a compiled 40-6 win-loss record in 2025, 17-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Cori Gauff

Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Gauff got to the final after defeating Olivia Gadecki 6-2 6-2, Tereza Valentova 6-2 6-4, Marie Bouzkova 6-1 7-6(3), Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-0 7-5, Madison Keys 6-7(6) 6-4 6-1 and Lois Boisson 6-1 6-2.

In the semifinal, The American had a good straight sets win against Boisson (6-1 6-2). During the match Gauff scored 57 points vs Boisson’s 33. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 16 winners.

About the serving games, Gauff couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 57% of her first serves in, winning 62% (16/26) of the points behind her 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the 2nd serve. Gauff broke Boisson 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gauff has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Australia where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.

Gauff has an overall 30-8 win-loss record in 2025, 17-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2022. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Gauff
Match played	6	6
Tot Set	13	13
Tot Games	118	117
Pts	436-328	441-315
Total Points	764	756
Winners	168	152
%Winners	39%	34%

Both Sabalenka and Gauff played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka conceded 1 set, while Cori Gauff conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Gauff have played the same amount of sets 13. However, Sabalenka played 1 game more than Gauff. The Belarussian scored 168 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Cori struck 152 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Gauff
Aces	28	6
Avg per match	4.7	1
1st in	245/385	224/371
%1st in	64%	60%
1st pts	168/245	152/224
%1st pts	69%	68%
2nd pts	76/140	68/147
%2nd pts	54%	46%

Sabalenka blasted 28 aces (4.7 per match). Gauff fired 6 aces (1 per match). Sabalenka won 69% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Gauff won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Gauff
Won	30	40
Converted	30/55	40/65
% Converted	55%	62%
Conceded	28	41
Saved	16	23
% Saved	57%	56%
Times Broken	12	18

Aryna broke her opponents 30 times with a 55% conversion rate. Aryna lost her serve 12 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 40 times with a 62% conversion rate. Cori conceded her serve 18 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R1 Rakhimova	R2 Belen Teichmann	R3 Danilovic	R4 Anisimova	1/4 Zheng	1/2 Swiatek	Total
Score	6-1 6-0	6-3 6-1	6-2 6-3	7-5 6-3	7-63 6-3	7-61 4-6 6-0
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	2	3	13
Tot Games	13	16	17	21	22	29	118
pts	59-31	63-45	65-49	77-66	75-64	97-73	436-328
Total points	90	108	114	143	139	170	764
Winners	25	26	24	32	24	37	168
%Winners	42%	41%	37%	42%	32%	38%	39%
SERVE
Aces	5	2	1	11	6	3	28
Double Faults	1	4	0	3	2	2	12
1st in	35/44	36/62	38/58	44/68	40/62	52/91	245/385
% 1st in	80%	58%	66%	65%	65%	57%	64%
1st pts	25/35	26/36	24/38	32/44	24/40	37/52	168/245
% 1st pts	71%	72%	63%	73%	60%	71%	69%
2nd pts	6/9	13/26	11/20	14/24	15/22	17/39	76/140
% 2nd pts	67%	50%	55%	58%	68%	44%	54%
Breaks
Won	5	5	5	3	4	8	30
Converted	5/11	5/8	5/9	3/11	4/6	8/10	30/55
Converted %	45%	63%	56%	27%	67%	80%	55%
Conceded	2	6	3	4	2	11	28
Saved	2/2	5/6	1/3	3/4	0/2	5/11	16
Saved %	100%	83%	33%	75%	0%	45%	56%
Times Broken	0	1	2	1	2	6	12

Gauff
	R1 Gadecki	R2 Valentova	R3 Bouzkova	R4 Alexandrova	1/4 Keys	1/2 Boisson	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	6-2 6-4	6-1 7-63	6-0 7-5	6-76 6-4 6-1	6-1 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	3	2	13
Tot Games	16	18	20	18	30	15	117
pts	62-40	63-48	78-54	72-50	109-90	57-33	441-315
Total points	102	111	132	122	199	90	756
Winners	21	23	25	28	39	16	152
%Winners	34%	37%	32%	39%	36%	28%	34%
SERVE
Aces	0	2	0	3	1	0	6
Double Faults	7	6	4	4	10	2	33
1st in	31/52	38/54	34/56	43/73	52/90	26/46	224/371
% 1st in	60%	70%	61%	59%	58%	57%	60%
1st pts	21/31	23/38	25/34	28/43	39/52	16/26	152/224
% 1st pts	68%	61%	74%	65%	75%	62%	68%
2nd pts	10/21	3/16	10/22	18/30	13/38	14/20	68/147
% 2nd pts	48%	19%	45%	60%	34%	70%	46%
Breaks
Won	6	8	6	5	9	6	40
Converted	6/8	8/13	6/11	5/9	9/17	6/7	40/65
Converted %	75%	62%	55%	56%	53%	86%	62%
Conceded	6	7	4	9	10	5	41
Saved	4/6	2/7	0/4	8/9	5/10	4/5	23
Saved %	67%	29%	0%	89%	50%	80%	53%
Times Broken	2	5	4	1	5	1	18

Tennis Scores – French Open

• Sidharth RawatRawat – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (7-5 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Cori GauffGauff (5-5) – H2H and prediction