Yibing Wu and Alex Rybakov will fight against each other in the quarter of the Tyler Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yibing Wu who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Yibing Wu is the pick to win this match.
Yibing Wu -> 1.172
Alex Rybakov -> 4.5

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Prediction and head to head Yibing Wu vs. Alex Rybakov

This will be the 2^nd time that Yibing Wu and Alex Rybakov face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Wu (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Wu won 6-3 6-3 in the quarter in the Indianapolis Challenger back in 2022.

Yibing Wu

Ranked no. 401, the Chinese reached the quarter after beating Keisuke Saitoh 6-1 6-3, Maxime Cressy 7-5 ret., Patrick Maloney 7-5 4-6 6-2 and Antoine Escoffier 7-6(3) 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against Escoffier (7-6³ 7-5). During the match, Wu scored 77 points vs Escoffier’s 73. The Chinese was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Wu made 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Yibing Wu lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Wu put 63% of his first serves in, winning 65% (30/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the 2nd serve. Yibing broke Escoffier 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Wu started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.

Wu has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (126-74). 4-1 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Wu has a composed73-48 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Yibing has a composed 6-3 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Tyler Challenger

Yibing has never competed in this tournament before.

Alex Rybakov

Ranked no. 413, Alex reached the quarter after beating Strong Kirchheimer 6-7(1) 6-3 6-4, Moerani Bouzige 6-7(4) 7-6(5) 3-0 ret., Govind Nanda 6-4 6-3 and Nicolas Mejia 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Rybakov had a good straight sets win against Mejia (6-3 6-4). During the match Rybakov scored 57 points vs Mejia’s 42. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Rybakov managed to score 6 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alex Rybakov was quite effective on serve to win 85% (28/33) of his 1st serve and 80% (12/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rybakov broke Mejia twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rybakov started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Alex’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Montreal,M25 Bakersfield and M25 Pensacola.

Alex has a composed 29-11 win-loss record in 2025, 11-3 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in the Tyler Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Wu	Rybakov
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	11
Tot Games	83	99
Pts	274-222	338-287
Total Points	496	625
Winners	106	150
%Winners	39%	44%

Both Wu and Rybakov played 4 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Yibing Wu dropped 1 set, while Alex Rybakov lost 2 sets. Wu has played 2 set(s) less than Rybakov (9 vs 11). Therefore, Wu played 16 games less than Rybakov. The Chinese scored 106 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 150 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Wu	Rybakov
Aces	16	26
Avg per match	4	6.5
1st in	150/233	202/320
%1st in	64%	63%
1st pts	106/150	150/202
%1st pts	71%	74%
2nd pts	49/83	72/118
%2nd pts	59%	61%

Wu scored 16 aces (4 per match). Rybakov recorded 26 aces (6.5 per match). Wu won 71% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Rybakov won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Wu	Rybakov
Won	15	12
Converted	15/31	12/32
% Converted	48%	38%
Conceded	12	17
Saved	5	12
% Saved	42%	71%
Times Broken	7	5

Wu broke his opponents 15 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Chinese lost his serve 7 times and he saved 42% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 12 times with a 38% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Wu
	Q1 Saitoh	Q3 Cressy	R1 Maloney	R2 Escoffier	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	7-5 ret.	7-5 4-6 6-2	7-63 7-5
Tot Set	2	1	3	2	8
Tot Games	16	12	30	25	83
pts	60-38	40-30	97-81	77-73	274-222
Total points	98	70	178	150	496
Winners	21	16	39	30	106
%Winners	35%	40%	40%	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	3	9	3	16
Double Faults	1	0	2	3	6
1st in	27/43	18/31	59/86	46/73	150/233
% 1st in	63%	58%	69%	63%	64%
1st pts	21/27	16/18	39/59	30/46	106/150
% 1st pts	78%	89%	66%	65%	71%
2nd pts	12/16	6/13	14/27	17/27	49/83
% 2nd pts	75%	46%	52%	63%	59%
Breaks
Won	4	2	6	3	15
Converted	4/5	2/5	6/13	3/8	15/31
Converted %	80%	40%	46%	38%	48%
Conceded	0	1	6	5	12
Saved	0/0	0/1	2/6	3/5	5
Saved %	–	0%	33%	60%	23%
Times Broken	0	1	4	2	7

Rybakov
	Q1 Kirchheimer	Q3 Bouzige	R1 Nanda	R2 Mejia	Total
Score	6-71 6-3 6-4	6-74 7-65 3-0 ret.	6-4 6-3	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	2	2	10
Tot Games	32	29	19	19	99
pts	100-90	110-97	71-58	57-42	338-287
Total points	190	207	129	99	625
Winners	46	47	29	28	150
%Winners	46%	43%	41%	49%	44%
SERVE
Aces	8	11	1	6	26
Double Faults	4	1	3	0	8
1st in	63/101	67/104	39/67	33/48	202/320
% 1st in	62%	64%	58%	69%	63%
1st pts	46/63	47/67	29/39	28/33	150/202
% 1st pts	73%	70%	74%	85%	74%
2nd pts	22/38	24/37	14/28	12/15	72/118
% 2nd pts	58%	65%	50%	80%	61%
Breaks
Won	3	3	4	2	12
Converted	3/8	3/11	4/9	2/4	12/32
Converted %	38%	27%	44%	50%	38%
Conceded	4	8	5	0	17
Saved	3/4	6/8	3/5	0/0	12
Saved %	75%	75%	60%	–	53%
Times Broken	1	2	2	0	5

Tennis Scores in Tyler Challenger

• Luis Britto/Pruchya IsarowBritto/Pruchya Isarow – Mac Kiger/Patrick MaloneyKiger/Patrick Maloney (3-6 7-6⁴ 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Finn Reynolds/James WattReynolds/James Watt – Aoran Wang/Yi ZhouWang/Yi Zhou (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Karue SellSell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yibing WuWu – Alex RybakovRybakov (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Patrick KypsonKypson – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Rio NoguchiNoguchi – (1-0) – H2H and prediction