Rio Noguchi and Yi Zhou will face off in the quarter of the Tyler Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rio Noguchi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rio Noguchi is the pick to win this match.
Rio Noguchi -> 1.57
Yi Zhou -> 2.28

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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Yi Zhou

This will be the 2^nd time that Rio Noguchi and Yi Zhou fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Noguchi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Noguchi won 6-4 6-4 in the 1^st round in the Little Rock Challenger back in May 2025.

Rio Noguchi

Ranked no. 246, Noguchi reached the quarter after beating Christian Langmo 3-6 6-2 6-0 and Stefan Dostanic 5-7 6-2 6-1.

In the 2^nd round against Dostanic, Rio recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-2 6-1). During the match, Noguchi scored 115 points vs Dostanic’s 96. Rio was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Noguchi made 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Rio Noguchi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 61% of his first serves in, winning 68% (40/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (18/37) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Dostanic 7 times after converting 26% of his break points (7/27).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Noguchi has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (352-241). 23-13 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Noguchi has a composed 247-153 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he defeated Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.

The Japanese has an aggregate 23-13 win-loss record in 2025, 23-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Tyler Challenger

Rio has never competed in this tournament before.

Yi Zhou

Ranked no. 367, the Chinese got to the quarter after beating Trey Hilderbrand 6-1 6-4 and Yuta Shimizu 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Yi had a good straight sets win against Shimizu (6-3 6-4). During the match Zhou scored 67 points vs Shimizu’s 51. The Chinese was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about serving, Zhou struck 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Yi Zhou lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Zhou put 54% of his first serves in, winning 75% (21/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Yi broke Shimizu 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Chinese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points he played.

Zhou has a composed 6-11 win-loss record in 2025, 6-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Noguchi	Zhou
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	6	4
Tot Games	50	36
Pts	192-155	128-86
Total Points	347	214
Winners	73	48
%Winners	38%	38%

Both Noguchi and Zhou played 2 matches. At the moment, Rio Noguchi lost 2 sets while Yi Zhou hasn’t dropped a set so far. Noguchi has played 2 sets more than Zhou (6 vs 4). Therefore, Noguchi played 14 games more than Zhou. Noguchi scored 73 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese fired 48 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Noguchi	Zhou
Aces	12	13
Avg per match	6	6.5
1st in	100/160	59/99
%1st in	63%	60%
1st pts	73/100	48/59
%1st pts	73%	81%
2nd pts	29/60	22/40
%2nd pts	48%	55%

Noguchi bagged 12 aces (6 per match). Zhou recorded 13 aces (6.5 per match). Noguchi won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Zhou won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Noguchi	Zhou
Won	12	8
Converted	12/34	8/13
% Converted	35%	62%
Conceded	9	6
Saved	5	3
% Saved	56%	50%
Times Broken	4	3

The Japanese broke his opponents 12 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Japanese surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Zhou broke his opponents 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. Yi conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Noguchi
	R1 Langmo	R2 Dostanic	Total
Score	3-6 6-2 6-0	5-7 6-2 6-1
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	23	27	50
pts	77-59	115-96	192-155
Total points	136	211	347
Winners	33	40	73
%Winners	43%	35%	38%
SERVE
Aces	6	6	12
Double Faults	1	1	2
1st in	41/64	59/96	100/160
% 1st in	64%	61%	63%
1st pts	33/41	40/59	73/100
% 1st pts	80%	68%	73%
2nd pts	11/23	18/37	29/60
% 2nd pts	48%	49%	48%
Breaks
Won	5	7	12
Converted	5/7	7/27	12/34
Converted %	71%	26%	35%
Conceded	3	6	9
Saved	2/3	3/6	5
Saved %	67%	50%	59%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Zhou
	R1 Hilderbrand	R2 Shimizu	Total
Score	6-1 6-4	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	17	19	36
pts	61-35	67-51	128-86
Total points	96	118	214
Winners	27	21	48
%Winners	44%	31%	38%
SERVE
Aces	7	6	13
Double Faults	2	2	4
1st in	31/47	28/52	59/99
% 1st in	66%	54%	60%
1st pts	27/31	21/28	48/59
% 1st pts	87%	75%	81%
2nd pts	11/16	11/24	22/40
% 2nd pts	69%	46%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	5	8
Converted	3/5	5/8	8/13
Converted %	60%	63%	62%
Conceded	2	4	6
Saved	2/2	1/4	3
Saved %	100%	25%	63%
Times Broken	0	3	3

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