Brandon Holt and Adrian Mannarino will fight against each other in the quarter of the Birmingham Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on COURT 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adrian Mannarino who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Adrian Mannarino is the pick to win this match.
Adrian Mannarino -> 1.69
Brandon Holt -> 2.07
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Holt vs. Adrian Mannarino
There is no head to head record between Brandon Holt and Adrian Mannarino since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Brandon Holt
34 - 14win/loss
104
101
LLLWWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-17 | 29-11 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-31 | 37-24 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-24 | 14-16 | 1-2 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 52-21 | 48-17 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 101 (career-high), Brandon reached the quarter after defeating James Duckworth 6-2 7-5 and Murphy Cassone 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Holt had a good straight sets win against Cassone (6-2 6-2). During the match, Holt scored 60 points vs Cassone’s 36. Holt was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Holt bagged 6 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Brandon Holt was extremely efficient on serve to win 73% (24/33) of his 1st serve and 85% (11/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Holt broke Cassone 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.
Holt has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (209-130). 2-0 on grass in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Holt has a composed 3-2 record in the last years on grass.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger where he beat Vit Kopriva in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Bengaluru Challenger where he overcame Shintaro Mochizuki in the final 6-3 6-3.
Brandon has a composed 34-14 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Birmingham Challenger
Holt has never competed in this tournament before.
Adrian Mannarino
9 - 21win/loss
128
17
LWLWLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-25 | 2-9 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 130, Mannarino got to the quarter after defeating Yoshihito Nishioka 7-6(1) 3-2 ret. and Nicolas Jarry 7-6(6) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Mannarino had a good straight sets win against Jarry (7-66 6-3). During the match Mannarino scored 77 points vs Jarry’s 65. Adrian was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Mannarino recorded 6 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was exceptionally effective on serve to win 80% (32/40) of his 1st serve and 74% (14/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mannarino broke Jarry twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
The French player best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Mexico City Challenger.
The French player has an aggregate 9-21 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Holt | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 40 |
| Pts | 133-97 | 136-115 |
| Total Points | 230 | 251 |
| Winners | 59 | 63 |
| %Winners | 44% | 46% |
Both Holt and Mannarino played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Holt has played 1 set(s) less than Mannarino (4 vs 5). Therefore, Holt played 4 games less than Mannarino. Brandon scored 59 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Adrian blasted 63 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Holt | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 7 |
| 1st in | 82/122 | 76/112 |
| %1st in | 67% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 59/82 | 63/76 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 23/40 | 23/36 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 64% |
Holt bagged 14 aces (7 per match). Mannarino fired 14 aces (7 per match). Holt won 72% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Holt | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 3 |
| Converted | 8/10 | 3/12 |
| % Converted | 80% | 25% |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Saved | 4 | 3 |
| % Saved | 80% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Holt broke his opponents 8 times with a 80% conversion rate. The American lost his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Mannarino broke his opponents 3 times with a 25% conversion rate. Mannarino conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Holt | ||||
| R1 Duckworth |
R2 Cassone |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 16 | 36 | |
| pts | 73-61 | 60-36 | 133-97 | |
| Total points | 134 | 96 | 230 | |
| Winners | 35 | 24 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 40% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 49/76 | 33/46 | 82/122 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 72% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 35/49 | 24/33 | 59/82 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 73% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/27 | 11/13 | 23/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 85% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | 8/10 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | – | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Mannarino | ||||
| R1 Nishioka |
R2 Jarry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 3-2 ret. | 7-66 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 | 40 | |
| pts | 59-50 | 77-65 | 136-115 | |
| Total points | 109 | 142 | 251 | |
| Winners | 31 | 32 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 42% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 40/59 | 76/112 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 31/36 | 32/40 | 63/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 80% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 14/19 | 23/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 74% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 2/9 | 3/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 22% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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