Nicolas Mejia and Alex Rybakov will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Tyler Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Mejia who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolas Mejia is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Mejia -> 1.63
Alex Rybakov -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Mejia vs. Alex Rybakov
This will be the 2nd time that Nicolas Mejia and Alex Rybakov fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Rybakov (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Rybakov won 7-5 6-3 in the semifinal in M15 Sunrise back in 2024.
Nicolas Mejia
16 - 15win/loss
245
190
LWWWLWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-16 | 9-10 | 9-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 44-33 | 18-21 | 23-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-33 | 6-13 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-35 | 13-12 | 15-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-28 | 16-10 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 250, Mejia reached the 2nd round after defeating Tyler Zink 6-3 7-6(6).
In the 1st round, Mejia had a good straight sets win against Zink (6-3 7-66). During the match, Mejia scored 79 points vs Zink’s 62. Mejia was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mejia blasted 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Nicolas Mejia lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Mejia put 61% of his first serves in, winning 70% (26/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the 2nd serve. Nicolas broke Zink 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Mejia has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (223-193). 6-8 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mejia has an aggregate 89-82 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Savannah Challenger where he beat Liam Draxl in the final 2-6 6-2 7-6(3).
The Colombian has a composed 16-14 win-loss record in 2025, 6-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tyler Challenger
Alex Rybakov
29 - 11win/loss
387
289
WWLWWWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-12 | 13-4 | 8-6 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-20 | 11-8 | 12-8 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-25 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-23 | 5-7 | 20-12 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-26 | 4-4 | 35-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 413, the American got to the 2nd round after defeating Strong Kirchheimer 6-7(1) 6-3 6-4, Moerani Bouzige 6-7(4) 7-6(5) 3-0 ret. and Govind Nanda 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Nanda (6-4 6-3). During the match Rybakov scored 71 points vs Nanda’s 58. Rybakov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Rybakov scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Alex Rybakov lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rybakov put 58% of his first serves in, winning 74% (29/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Nanda 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
The American’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Montreal,M25 Bakersfield and M25 Pensacola.
Alex has a composed 28-11 win-loss record in 2025, 10-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tyler Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mejia | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 80 |
| Pts | 79-62 | 281-245 |
| Total Points | 141 | 526 |
| Winners | 26 | 122 |
| %Winners | 33% | 43% |
Mejia played 1 match while Rybakov competed in 3 matches. Rybakov started his run from the qualifications while Mejia had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Alex Rybakov conceded 2 sets while Nicolas Mejia hasn’t dropped a set so far. Mejia has played 7 set(s) less than Rybakov (2 vs 9). Therefore, Mejia played 58 games less than Rybakov. Mejia scored 26 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Alex blasted 122 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mejia | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 6.7 |
| 1st in | 37/61 | 169/272 |
| %1st in | 61% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 122/169 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 60/103 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 58% |
Mejia bagged 7 aces . Rybakov managed to score 20 aces (6.7 per match). Mejia won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Rybakov won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mejia | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 10 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 10/28 |
| % Converted | 56% | 36% |
| Conceded | 4 | 17 |
| Saved | 1 | 12 |
| % Saved | 25% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Mejia broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Colombian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 10 times with a 36% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mejia | |||
| R1 Zink |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 79-62 | 79-62 | |
| Total points | 141 | 141 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 37/61 | 37/61 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 26/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 14/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Rybakov | |||||
| Q1 Kirchheimer |
Q3 Bouzige |
R1 Nanda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-71 6-3 6-4 | 6-74 7-65 3-0 ret. | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 29 | 19 | 80 | |
| pts | 100-90 | 110-97 | 71-58 | 281-245 | |
| Total points | 190 | 207 | 129 | 526 | |
| Winners | 46 | 47 | 29 | 122 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 43% | 41% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 11 | 1 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 63/101 | 67/104 | 39/67 | 169/272 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 64% | 58% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 46/63 | 47/67 | 29/39 | 122/169 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 70% | 74% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/38 | 24/37 | 14/28 | 60/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 65% | 50% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/11 | 4/9 | 10/28 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 27% | 44% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 6/8 | 3/5 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | 60% | 210% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWLLWW
WWLWWWWLLW Tennis Scores in Tyler Challenger
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Stefan DostanicDostanic (5-7 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karue SellSell – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yi ZhouZhou – Yuta ShimizuShimizu (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andres MartinMartin – Rafael JodarJodar (7-5 2-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karue SellSell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex RybakovRybakov – Nicolas MejiaMejia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Paul JubbJubb – Patrick KypsonKypson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
