Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek will clash against each other in the semifinal of the French Open for the 13th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.92
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.92
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Iga Swiatek
This will be the 13th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek clash against each other. The head to head is 8-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Sabalenka won 6-3 6-3 in the semifinal in Cincinnati back in 2024.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek – Cincinnati 18-August-2024
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 50-9 | 26-4 | 17-3 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Sabalenka reached the semifinal after defeating Kamilla Rakhimova 6-1 6-0, Jil Teichmann 6-3 6-1, Olga Danilovic 6-2 6-3, Amanda Anisimova 7-5 6-3 and Qinwen Zheng 7-6(3) 6-3.
In the quarter, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Zheng (7-63 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 75 points vs Zheng’s 64. Sabalenka was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka struck 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 65% of her first serves in, winning 60% (24/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the 2nd serve. Aryna broke Zheng 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a marvellous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (413-174). 16-2 on clay in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an overall 93-41 record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).
Aryna has a compiled 39-6 win-loss record in 2025, 16-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-12 | 25-7 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Iga reached the semifinal after beating Rebecca Sramkova 6-3 6-3, Emma Raducanu 6-1 6-2, Jaqueline Cristian 6-2 7-5, Elena Rybakina 1-6 6-3 7-5 and Elina Svitolina 6-1 7-5.
In the quarter, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Svitolina (6-1 7-5). During the match Swiatek scored 72 points vs Svitolina’s 59. The Pole was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Swiatek made 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 58% of her first serves in, winning 74% (31/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. The Pole broke Svitolina 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Iga has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Swiatek’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Australia.
The Pole has an overall 32-9 win-loss record in 2025, 11-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, she won this tournament 4 times in 2020, 2022, 2023 and 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 89 | 100 |
| Pts | 339-255 | 372-301 |
| Total Points | 594 | 673 |
| Winners | 131 | 145 |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% |
Both Sabalenka and Swiatek played 5 matches. At the moment, Iga Swiatek lost 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Swiatek (10 vs 11). Therefore, Sabalenka played 11 games less than Swiatek. Sabalenka scored 131 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Pole bagged 145 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1.8 |
| 1st in | 193/294 | 208/351 |
| %1st in | 66% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 131/193 | 145/208 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 59/101 | 80/143 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 56% |
Sabalenka made 25 aces (5 per match). Swiatek recorded 9 aces (1.8 per match). Sabalenka won 68% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Swiatek won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 22 | 19 |
| Converted | 22/45 | 19/41 |
| % Converted | 49% | 46% |
| Conceded | 17 | 29 |
| Saved | 11 | 23 |
| % Saved | 65% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 22 times with a 49% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded. Iga broke her opponents 19 times with a 46% conversion rate. Iga conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 79% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||||
| R1 Rakhimova |
R2 Belen Teichmann |
R3 Danilovic |
R4 Anisimova |
1/4 Zheng |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 | 7-63 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 16 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 89 | |
| pts | 59-31 | 63-45 | 65-49 | 77-66 | 75-64 | 339-255 | |
| Total points | 90 | 108 | 114 | 143 | 139 | 594 | |
| Winners | 25 | 26 | 24 | 32 | 24 | 131 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% | 37% | 42% | 32% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 35/44 | 36/62 | 38/58 | 44/68 | 40/62 | 193/294 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 58% | 66% | 65% | 65% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 25/35 | 26/36 | 24/38 | 32/44 | 24/40 | 131/193 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 72% | 63% | 73% | 60% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/9 | 13/26 | 11/20 | 14/24 | 15/22 | 59/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 50% | 55% | 58% | 68% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/8 | 5/9 | 3/11 | 4/6 | 22/45 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 63% | 56% | 27% | 67% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 5/6 | 1/3 | 3/4 | 0/2 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 83% | 33% | 75% | 0% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| Swiatek | |||||||
| R1 Sramkova |
R2 Raducanu |
R3 Cristian |
R4 Rybakina |
1/4 Svitolina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 7-5 | 1-6 6-3 7-5 | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 15 | 20 | 28 | 19 | 100 | |
| pts | 67-54 | 63-39 | 78-57 | 92-92 | 72-59 | 372-301 | |
| Total points | 121 | 102 | 135 | 184 | 131 | 673 | |
| Winners | 26 | 28 | 24 | 36 | 31 | 145 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% | 31% | 39% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 37/55 | 40/60 | 32/64 | 57/100 | 42/72 | 208/351 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 50% | 57% | 58% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 28/40 | 24/32 | 36/57 | 31/42 | 145/208 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | 75% | 63% | 74% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 12/20 | 22/32 | 21/43 | 15/30 | 80/143 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 60% | 69% | 49% | 50% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/8 | 3/7 | 4/8 | 4/8 | 19/41 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 50% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 29 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 4/4 | 6/6 | 10/14 | 3/4 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 100% | 71% | 75% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWWWWL
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