Li Tu and Alex Bolt will play each other in the 2nd round of the Birmingham Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Bolt who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Bolt is the pick to win this match.
Alex Bolt -> 1.46
Li Tu -> 2.56
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Prediction and head to head Li Tu vs. Alex Bolt
This will be the 4th time that Li Tu and Alex Bolt face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Tu (see full H2H stats), but Bolt leads 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they competed against each other, Bolt won 6-1 6-2 in the qualifications in the Nottingham 2 Challenger back in 2024.
Li Tu
11 - 14win/loss
164
164
LWLWLWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-17 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-28 | 37-21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-32 | 29-19 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-25 | 34-16 | 15-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-7 | 28-4 | 0-0 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 168, Li reached the 2nd round after defeating Oliver Crawford 6-4 7-6(12), Zachary Svajda 4-6 6-4 7-5 and Eliot Spizzirri 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, Li had a good straight sets win against Spizzirri (6-3 6-3). During the match, Tu scored 58 points vs Spizzirri’s 43. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tu fired 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Li Tu was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (25/32) of his 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian broke Spizzirri 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Tu has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 63% of his matches (183-107). 2-1 on grass in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Tu has an aggregate12-11 record in the last 6 years on grass.
Li has an aggregate 11-14 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Birmingham Challenger
Tu has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex Bolt
12 - 10win/loss
181
125
LWWLLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-13 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-78 | 26-21 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 21-56 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-22 | 22-17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-10 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-18 | 7-6 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 197, the Australian reached the 2nd round after beating Charles Broom 6-3 7-6(4), Giles Hussey 7-5 6-3 and Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-4 7-6(3).
In the 1st round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Mcdonald (6-4 7-63). During the match Bolt scored 74 points vs Mcdonald’s 65. Bolt was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Bolt fired 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alex Bolt lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Bolt put 59% of his first serves in, winning 89% (34/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Mcdonald twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Alex’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Wuxi Challenger.
The Australian has a composed 12-10 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tu | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 41 | 66 |
| Pts | 153-127 | 221-185 |
| Total Points | 280 | 406 |
| Winners | 77 | 108 |
| %Winners | 50% | 49% |
Tu played 2 matches while Bolt competed in 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Tu has played 2 set(s) less than Bolt (4 vs 6). Therefore, Tu played 25 games less than Bolt. Li scored 77 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Bolt bagged 108 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tu | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 30 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 15 | 9.3 |
| 1st in | 101/142 | 134/205 |
| %1st in | 71% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 77/101 | 108/134 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 25/41 | 39/71 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 55% |
Tu fired 30 aces (15 per match). Bolt fired 28 aces (9.3 per match). Tu won 76% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Bolt won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tu | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 7/17 |
| % Converted | 42% | 41% |
| Conceded | 9 | 14 |
| Saved | 8 | 11 |
| % Saved | 89% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Li broke his opponents 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Tu lost his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. Bolt broke his opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. Bolt conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tu | |||||
| Q1 Crawford |
Q3 Svajda |
R1 Spizzirri |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-612 | 4-6 6-4 7-5 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 32 | 18 | 73 | |
| pts | 95-84 | – | 58-43 | 153-127 | |
| Total points | 179 | 0 | 101 | 280 | |
| Winners | 52 | 25 | 77 | ||
| %Winners | 55% | 0% | 43% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 21 | 0 | 9 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 7 | ||
| 1st in | 69/93 | / | 32/49 | 101/142 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 0% | 65% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 52/69 | / | 25/32 | 77/101 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 0% | 78% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | / | 12/17 | 25/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 0% | 71% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | ||
| Converted | 2/7 | / | 3/5 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 0% | 60% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | 9 | ||
| Saved | 6/7 | 0/ | 2/2 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 86% | – | 100% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||
| Bolt | |||||
| Q1 Broom |
Q3 Hussey |
R1 Mcdonald |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 21 | 23 | 66 | |
| pts | 76-66 | 71-54 | 74-65 | 221-185 | |
| Total points | 142 | 125 | 139 | 406 | |
| Winners | 46 | 28 | 34 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 61% | 39% | 46% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 14 | 3 | 11 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 62/85 | 34/56 | 38/64 | 134/205 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 61% | 59% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 46/62 | 28/34 | 34/38 | 108/134 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 82% | 89% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 13/22 | 13/26 | 39/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 59% | 50% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 3/7 | 2/7 | 7/17 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 43% | 29% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 1 | 2 | 14 | |
| Saved | 10/11 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 91% | 0% | 50% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWLWLL
LWWLLWWWWL Tennis Scores in Birmingham Challenger
- Alex BoltBolt – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Johannus MondayMonday (6-1 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Otto VirtanenVirtanen – Aleksandar VukicVukic (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Alexander BlockxBlockx (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Brandon HoltHolt – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Martin LandaluceLandaluce – Mattia BellucciBellucci (4-6 6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Colton SmithSmith – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (6-2 6-73 6-4) – See score progression
- Murphy CassoneCassone – Daniel EvansEvans (7-65 7-65) – See score progression
- Li TuTu – Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (7-61 3-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Harold MayotMayot (7-61 6-4) – See score progression
- Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-78 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Billy HarrisHarris (6-1 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Lloyd HarrisHarris – Jay ClarkeClarke (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Martin LandaluceLandaluce – Mattia BellucciBellucci (4-6 6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Colton SmithSmith – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (6-2 6-7(3) 6-4) – See score progression
- Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran – Christopher O’ConnellO’Connell (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (6-4 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Harold MayotMayot (7-6(1) 6-4) – See score progression
- Otto VirtanenVirtanen – Aleksandar VukicVukic (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Murphy CassoneCassone – Daniel EvansEvans (7-6(5) 7-6(5)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Li TuTu – Alex BoltBolt (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon HoltHolt – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (1-0) – H2H and prediction
