Jannik Sinner and Alexander Bublik will clash against each other in the quarter of the French Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.025
Alexander Bublik -> 15
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Bublik
This will be the 5th time that Jannik Sinner and Alexander Bublik square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Bublik won 7-5 2-0 ret. in the quarter in Halle back in 2023.
Highlights Alexander Bublik vs Jannik Sinner – Halle 23-June-2023
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-3 | 7-0 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Sinner reached the quarter after defeating Arthur Rinderknech 6-4 6-3 7-5, Richard Gasquet 6-3 6-0 6-4, Jiri Lehecka 6-0 6-1 6-2 and Andrey Rublev 6-1 6-3 6-4.
In the 4th round, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Rublev (6-1 6-3 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 94 points vs Rublev’s 63. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sinner recorded 5 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Jannik Sinner was quite effective on serve to win 81% (34/42) of his 1st serve and 77% (20/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Rublev 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jannik hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 61% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (362-122). 9-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has a compiled94-39 record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3.
The Italian has a composed 16-1 win-loss record in 2025, 9-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Alexander Bublik
22 - 15win/loss
45
17
WWWLWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-16 | 5-7 | 15-6 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 62, Alexander reached the quarter after defeating James Duckworth 6-2 6-4 6-4, Alex De Minaur 2-6 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-2, Henrique Rocha 7-5 6-1 6-2 and Jack Draper 5-7 6-3 6-2 6-4.
In the 4th round against Draper, The Kazakhstani recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-2 6-4). During the match Bublik scored 125 points vs Draper’s 110. Bublik was extremely aggressive to blast 62 winners.
About the serving games, Bublik made 8 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 60% of his first serves in, winning 81% (62/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (23/52) on the 2nd serve. Bublik broke Draper 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexander has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Turin Challenger where he beat Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3.
Alexander has an aggregate 22-15 win-loss record in 2025, 15-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019, 2020, 2022 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 12 | 15 |
| Tot Games | 103 | 137 |
| Pts | 377-246 | 451-386 |
| Total Points | 623 | 837 |
| Winners | 153 | 204 |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% |
Both Sinner and Bublik played 4 matches. At the moment, Alexander Bublik conceded 3 sets while Jannik Sinner hasn’t lost a set so far. Sinner has played 3 set(s) less than Bublik (12 vs 15). Therefore, Sinner played 34 games less than Bublik. Sinner scored 153 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Bublik bagged 204 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 45 |
| Avg per match | 3.8 | 11.3 |
| 1st in | 189/284 | 254/429 |
| %1st in | 67% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 153/189 | 204/254 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 66/95 | 83/175 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 47% |
Sinner scored 15 aces (3.8 per match). Bublik struck 45 aces (11.3 per match). Sinner won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 22 | 20 |
| Converted | 22/43 | 20/40 |
| % Converted | 51% | 50% |
| Conceded | 14 | 27 |
| Saved | 12 | 19 |
| % Saved | 86% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 8 |
Jannik broke his opponents 22 times with a 51% conversion rate. Sinner conceded his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Bublik broke his opponents 20 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alexander conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||||
| R1 Rinderknech |
R2 Gasquet |
R3 Lehecka |
R4 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 6-0 6-4 | 6-0 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 25 | 21 | 26 | 103 | |
| pts | 101-76 | 91-62 | 91-45 | 94-63 | 377-246 | |
| Total points | 177 | 153 | 136 | 157 | 623 | |
| Winners | 44 | 46 | 29 | 34 | 153 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 51% | 32% | 36% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 58/89 | 54/72 | 35/55 | 42/68 | 189/284 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 75% | 64% | 62% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 44/58 | 46/54 | 29/35 | 34/42 | 153/189 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 85% | 83% | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/31 | 8/18 | 17/20 | 20/26 | 66/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 44% | 85% | 77% | 69% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/11 | 7/18 | 5/8 | 22/43 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 45% | 39% | 63% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 93% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Bublik | ||||||
| R1 Duckworth |
R2 De Minaur |
R3 Rocha |
R4 Draper |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 6-4 | 2-6 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 6-1 6-2 | 5-7 6-3 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 43 | 27 | 39 | 137 | |
| pts | 104-79 | 128-130 | 94-67 | 125-110 | 451-386 | |
| Total points | 183 | 258 | 161 | 235 | 837 | |
| Winners | 43 | 58 | 41 | 62 | 204 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% | 44% | 50% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 16 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 45 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 34 | |
| 1st in | 51/91 | 79/130 | 47/79 | 77/129 | 254/429 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 61% | 59% | 60% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 43/51 | 58/79 | 41/47 | 62/77 | 204/254 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 73% | 87% | 81% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/40 | 22/51 | 17/32 | 23/52 | 83/175 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 43% | 53% | 44% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 6/14 | 5/11 | 5/6 | 20/40 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 43% | 45% | 83% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 27 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 7/13 | 2/2 | 6/8 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 54% | 100% | 75% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWWL
WWWLWWWWLW Tennis Scores – French Open
- Christian Harrison/Evan KingHarrison/Evan King – Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (5-8) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alexander BublikBublik (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (3-4) – H2H and prediction
