Cori Gauff and Madison Keys will face off in the quarter of the French Open for the 6^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11:00 am on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.444
Madison Keys -> 2.86

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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Madison Keys

This will be the 6^th time that Cori Gauff and Madison Keys square off. The head to head is 3-2 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Keys won 7-6(4) 4-6 6-4 in the 4^th round in Madrid back in 2024.

Highlights Madison Keys vs Cori Gauff – Madrid 29-April-2024

Cori Gauff

Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Gauff reached the quarter after beating Olivia Gadecki 6-2 6-2, Tereza Valentova 6-2 6-4, Marie Bouzkova 6-1 7-6(3) and Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-0 7-5.

In the 4^th round, Gauff had a good straight sets win against Alexandrova (6-0 7-5). During the match, Gauff scored 72 points vs Alexandrova’s 50. Cori was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gauff scored 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve once and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 59% of her first serves in, winning 65% (28/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the 2nd serve. Cori broke Alexandrova 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cori hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 59% of the points she played.

Gauff has a fantastic match record in the last 9 years having won 70% of her matches (257-108). 15-3 on clay in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Gauff has a compiled76-29 record in the last 9 years on clay.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.

Gauff has a compiled 28-8 win-loss record in 2025, 15-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Madison Keys

Ranked no. 8, the American got to the quarter after defeating Daria Saville 6-2 6-1, Katie Boulter 6-1 6-3, Sofia Kenin 4-6 6-3 7-5 and Hailey Baptiste 6-3 7-5.

In the 4^th round, Keys had a good straight sets win against Baptiste (6-3 7-5). During the match Keys scored 78 points vs Baptiste’s 61. Keys was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Keys blasted 7 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Madison Keys was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (34/45) of her 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The American broke Baptiste 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Madison has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1 and at the Australian Open where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.

The American has a composed 28-6 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gauff	Keys
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	9
Tot Games	72	83
Pts	275-192	319-230
Total Points	467	549
Winners	97	125
%Winners	35%	39%

Both Gauff and Keys played 4 matches. At the moment, Madison Keys lost 1 set while Cori Gauff hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Gauff has played 1 set(s) less than Keys (8 vs 9). Therefore, Gauff played 11 games less than Keys. Gauff scored 97 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Madison bagged 125 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gauff	Keys
Aces	5	17
Avg per match	1.3	4.3
1st in	146/235	161/257
%1st in	62%	63%
1st pts	97/146	125/161
%1st pts	66%	78%
2nd pts	41/89	54/96
%2nd pts	46%	56%

Gauff made 5 aces (1.3 per match). Keys struck 17 aces (4.3 per match). Gauff won 66% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Keys won 78% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gauff	Keys
Won	25	16
Converted	25/41	16/42
% Converted	61%	38%
Conceded	26	20
Saved	14	15
% Saved	54%	75%
Times Broken	12	5

The American broke her opponents 25 times with a 61% conversion rate. Cori lost her serve 12 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 16 times with a 38% conversion rate. Madison conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.

Gauff
	R1 Gadecki	R2 Valentova	R3 Bouzkova	R4 Alexandrova	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	6-2 6-4	6-1 7-63	6-0 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	16	18	20	18	72
pts	62-40	63-48	78-54	72-50	275-192
Total points	102	111	132	122	467
Winners	21	23	25	28	97
%Winners	34%	37%	32%	39%	35%
SERVE
Aces	0	2	0	3	5
Double Faults	7	6	4	4	21
1st in	31/52	38/54	34/56	43/73	146/235
% 1st in	60%	70%	61%	59%	62%
1st pts	21/31	23/38	25/34	28/43	97/146
% 1st pts	68%	61%	74%	65%	66%
2nd pts	10/21	3/16	10/22	18/30	41/89
% 2nd pts	48%	19%	45%	60%	46%
Breaks
Won	6	8	6	5	25
Converted	6/8	8/13	6/11	5/9	25/41
Converted %	75%	62%	55%	56%	61%
Conceded	6	7	4	9	26
Saved	4/6	2/7	0/4	8/9	14
Saved %	67%	29%	0%	89%	46%
Times Broken	2	5	4	1	12

Keys
	R1 Gavrilova	R2 Boulter	R3 Kenin	R4 Baptiste	Total
Score	6-2 6-1	6-1 6-3	4-6 6-3 7-5	6-3 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	15	16	31	21	83
pts	55-27	73-49	113-93	78-61	319-230
Total points	82	122	206	139	549
Winners	24	23	44	34	125
%Winners	44%	32%	39%	44%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	8	7	17
Double Faults	3	1	1	2	7
1st in	29/44	29/46	58/100	45/67	161/257
% 1st in	66%	63%	58%	67%	63%
1st pts	24/29	23/29	44/58	34/45	125/161
% 1st pts	83%	79%	76%	76%	78%
2nd pts	7/15	10/17	25/42	12/22	54/96
% 2nd pts	47%	59%	60%	55%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	5	3	3	16
Converted	5/10	5/17	3/8	3/7	16/42
Converted %	50%	29%	38%	43%	38%
Conceded	3	3	11	3	20
Saved	2/3	2/3	9/11	2/3	15
Saved %	67%	67%	82%	67%	71%
Times Broken	1	1	2	1	5

Tennis Scores – French Open

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (7-6³ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander CrnokrakCrnokrak – Congsup CongcarCongcar (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sidharth RawatRawat – Rishab AgarwalAgarwal (5-7 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Blake EllisEllis (7-5 6-7⁴ 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Shuichi SekiguchiSekiguchi (7-5 5-7 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Cori GauffGauff (3-2) – H2H and prediction