Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul will square off in the quarter of the French Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 8:15 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.094
Tommy Paul -> 7.8
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul
This will be the 7th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Alcaraz won 6-3 7-6(7) in the quarter in Paris back in 2024.
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 52-6 | 14-4 | 22-1 | 5-0 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard reached the quarter after defeating Giulio Zeppieri 6-3 6-4 6-2, Fabian Marozsan 6-1 4-6 6-1 6-2, Damir Dzumhur 6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4 and Ben Shelton 7-6(8) 6-3 4-6 6-4.
In the 4th round, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Shelton (7-68 6-3 4-6 6-4). During the match, Alcaraz scored 140 points vs Shelton’s 131. Carlos was pretty aggressive to blast 67 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 70% of his first serves in, winning 68% (67/99) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (29/43) on the 2nd serve. Alcaraz broke Shelton 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has lost 3 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 80% of his matches (321-81). 19-1 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has an overall160-36 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0 and in Rome where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.
The Spaniard has an overall 34-5 win-loss record in 2025, 19-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-12 | 11-5 | 12-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, the American got to the quarter after beating Elmer Moller 6-7(5) 6-2 6-3 6-1, Marton Fucsovics 4-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4, Karen Khachanov 6-3 3-6 7-6(7) 3-6 6-3 and Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-3 6-3.
In the 4th round, Tommy had a good straight sets win against Popyrin (6-3 6-3 6-3). During the match Paul scored 93 points vs Popyrin’s 67. Paul was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Paul scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Tommy Paul lost the serve once and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 61% of his first serves in, winning 69% (37/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 74% (25/34) on the 2nd serve. Tommy broke Popyrin 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 5 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide, Dallas, Houston and Rome.
Paul has an aggregate 25-8 win-loss record in 2025, 12-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 15 | 17 |
| Tot Games | 137 | 162 |
| Pts | 498-406 | 529-481 |
| Total Points | 904 | 1010 |
| Winners | 220 | 227 |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% |
Both Alcaraz and Paul played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz dropped 3 sets, while Tommy Paul surrendered 5 sets. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Paul (15 vs 17). Therefore, Alcaraz played 25 games less than Paul. Carlos scored 220 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The American made 227 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 318/451 | 324/511 |
| %1st in | 71% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 220/318 | 227/324 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 81/133 | 98/187 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 52% |
Alcaraz scored 17 aces (4.3 per match). Paul fired 20 aces (5 per match). Alcaraz won 69% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 22 | 26 |
| Converted | 22/53 | 26/53 |
| % Converted | 42% | 49% |
| Conceded | 27 | 45 |
| Saved | 20 | 29 |
| % Saved | 74% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 16 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 22 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Spaniard dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. Tommy broke his opponents 26 times with a 49% conversion rate. Tommy conceded his serve 16 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||||
| R1 Zeppieri |
R2 Marozsan |
R3 Dzumhur |
R4 Shelton |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 4-6 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4 | 7-68 6-3 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 32 | 36 | 42 | 137 | |
| pts | 98-73 | 121-84 | 139-118 | 140-131 | 498-406 | |
| Total points | 171 | 205 | 257 | 271 | 904 | |
| Winners | 44 | 50 | 59 | 67 | 220 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 41% | 42% | 48% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 57/86 | 70/92 | 92/131 | 99/142 | 318/451 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 76% | 70% | 70% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 44/57 | 50/70 | 59/92 | 67/99 | 220/318 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 71% | 64% | 68% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 13/22 | 22/39 | 29/43 | 81/133 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | 56% | 67% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 8/17 | 7/21 | 3/7 | 22/53 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 47% | 33% | 43% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 27 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 1/3 | 9/12 | 7/9 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 75% | 78% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Paul | ||||||
| R1 Moller |
R2 Fucsovics |
R3 Khachanov |
R4 Popyrin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-2 6-3 6-1 | 4-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 3-6 7-67 3-6 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 17 | |
| Tot Games | 37 | 49 | 49 | 27 | 162 | |
| pts | 135-112 | 141-138 | 160-164 | 93-67 | 529-481 | |
| Total points | 247 | 279 | 324 | 160 | 1010 | |
| Winners | 46 | 75 | 69 | 37 | 227 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 53% | 43% | 40% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 72/126 | 98/138 | 100/159 | 54/88 | 324/511 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 71% | 63% | 61% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 46/72 | 75/98 | 69/100 | 37/54 | 227/324 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 77% | 69% | 69% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 31/54 | 17/40 | 25/59 | 25/34 | 98/187 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 43% | 42% | 74% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 10 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | |
| Converted | 10/21 | 5/14 | 6/12 | 5/6 | 26/53 | |
| Converted % | 48% | 36% | 50% | 83% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 45 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 6/11 | 9/15 | 9/10 | 29 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 55% | 60% | 90% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 16 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWWWWW
LWLWLLWWWW Tennis Scores – French Open
- Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski – Nuno Borges/Arthur RinderknechBorges/Arthur Rinderknech (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Rohan Bopanna/Adam PavlasekBopanna/Adam Pavlasek (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Santiago Gonzalez/Austin KrajicekGonzalez/Austin Krajicek (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Christian Harrison/Evan KingHarrison/Evan King – Yuki Bhambri/Robert GallowayBhambri/Robert Galloway (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Ivan Dodig/Orlando LuzDodig/Orlando Luz – Fernando Romboli/John-Patrick SmithRomboli/John-Patrick Smith (4-6 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-3 7-61 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Henrique RochaRocha (7-5 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Filip MisolicMisolic (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Ethan QuinnQuinn (4-6 6-1 6-72 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-0 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-2 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-4 7-611 7-65) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-3 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Quentin HalysHalys (4-6 6-2 5-7 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Mariano NavoneNavone (4-6 6-4 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Sebastian KordaKorda (7-66 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur FilsFils (w/o) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 3-6 7-67 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Jack DraperDraper (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-5) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Andrey RublevRublev (6-3) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (3-4) – H2H and prediction
