Lorenzo Musetti and Frances Tiafoe will clash against each other in the quarter of the French Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 3:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.24
Frances Tiafoe -> 4.25
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Frances Tiafoe
This will be the 8th time that Lorenzo Musetti and Frances Tiafoe clash against each other. The head to head is 4-3 for Tiafoe (see full H2H stats), but Musetti has a winning record of 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Tiafoe won 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2024.
Highlights Frances Tiafoe vs Lorenzo Musetti – Cincinnati 14-August-2024
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-8 | 6-4 | 19-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7 (career-high), Lorenzo got to the quarter after defeating Yannick Hanfmann 7-5 6-2 6-0, Daniel Elahi Galan 6-4 6-0 6-4, Mariano Navone 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-2 and Holger Rune 7-5 3-6 6-3 6-2.
In the 4th round, The Italian defeated Rune (7-5 3-6 6-3 6-2). During the match, Musetti scored 129 points vs Rune’s 115. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Regarding the service games, Musetti fired 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 64% of his first serves in, winning 67% (53/79) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (25/45) on the 2nd serve. Musetti broke Rune 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Lorenzo has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Musetti has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (244-168). 18-3 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a composed137-69 record in the last 8 years on clay.
Lorenzo’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Carlo.
Musetti has a compiled 24-7 win-loss record in 2025, 18-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Frances Tiafoe
17 - 12win/loss
12
10
LLWWWWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-14 | 5-5 | 11-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-27 | 21-13 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-21 | 21-10 | 8-4 | 4-5 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-25 | 19-11 | 8-6 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 10-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, Francis got to the quarter after defeating Roman Safiullin 6-4 7-5 6-4, Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-4 6-3 6-1, Sebastian Korda 7-6(6) 6-3 6-4 and Daniel Altmaier 6-3 6-4 7-6(4).
In the 4th round, Francis had a good straight sets win against Altmaier (6-3 6-4 7-64). During the match Tiafoe scored 109 points vs Altmaier’s 86. Francis was extremely aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about serving, Tiafoe managed to score 6 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Frances Tiafoe was very effective on serve to win 72% (47/65) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The American broke Altmaier 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Francis hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Francis’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Houston.
The American has a composed 17-12 win-loss record in 2025, 11-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 14 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 127 | 122 |
| Pts | 458-364 | 417-330 |
| Total Points | 822 | 747 |
| Winners | 180 | 165 |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% |
Both Musetti and Tiafoe played 4 matches. At the moment, Lorenzo Musetti surrendered 2 sets while Frances Tiafoe hasn’t conceded a set so far. Musetti has played 2 sets more than Tiafoe (14 vs 12). Therefore, Musetti played 5 games more than Tiafoe. Lorenzo scored 180 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The American managed to score 165 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 33 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 8.3 |
| 1st in | 257/392 | 216/361 |
| %1st in | 66% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 180/257 | 165/216 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 77/135 | 97/145 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 67% |
Musetti scored 18 aces (4.5 per match). Tiafoe blasted 33 aces (8.3 per match). Musetti won 70% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 26 | 16 |
| Converted | 26/53 | 16/36 |
| % Converted | 49% | 44% |
| Conceded | 21 | 12 |
| Saved | 12 | 8 |
| % Saved | 57% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 4 |
The Italian broke his opponents 26 times with a 49% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 9 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Tiafoe broke his opponents 16 times with a 44% conversion rate. Tiafoe conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Musetti | ||||||
| R1 Hanfmann |
R2 Elahi Galan Riveros |
R3 Navone |
R4 Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 6-0 | 6-4 6-0 6-4 | 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 3-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | 37 | 38 | 127 | |
| pts | 101-68 | 94-68 | 134-113 | 129-115 | 458-364 | |
| Total points | 169 | 162 | 247 | 244 | 822 | |
| Winners | 38 | 37 | 52 | 53 | 180 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% | 39% | 41% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 46/70 | 57/83 | 75/115 | 79/124 | 257/392 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 69% | 65% | 64% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 38/46 | 37/57 | 52/75 | 53/79 | 180/257 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 65% | 69% | 67% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 19/26 | 18/40 | 25/45 | 77/135 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 73% | 45% | 56% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 26 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/12 | 8/19 | 6/9 | 26/53 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 50% | 42% | 67% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 21 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/7 | 4/9 | 2/5 | 12 | |
| Saved % | – | 86% | 44% | 40% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tiafoe | ||||||
| R1 Safiullin |
R2 Carreno-Busta |
R3 Korda |
R4 Altmaier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 6-1 | 7-66 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 26 | 32 | 32 | 122 | |
| pts | 106-88 | 89-62 | 113-94 | 109-86 | 417-330 | |
| Total points | 194 | 151 | 207 | 195 | 747 | |
| Winners | 45 | 33 | 40 | 47 | 165 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 37% | 35% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 33 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 59/99 | 40/66 | 52/100 | 65/96 | 216/361 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 61% | 52% | 68% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 45/59 | 33/40 | 40/52 | 47/65 | 165/216 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 83% | 77% | 72% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/40 | 19/26 | 35/48 | 18/31 | 97/145 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 73% | 73% | 58% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 5/13 | 2/3 | 5/8 | 16/36 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 38% | 67% | 63% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 86% | – | 100% | 0% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWLWWW
LLWWWWLWLL Tennis Scores – French Open
- Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski – Nuno Borges/Arthur RinderknechBorges/Arthur Rinderknech (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Santiago Gonzalez/Austin KrajicekGonzalez/Austin Krajicek (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Christian Harrison/Evan KingHarrison/Evan King – Yuki Bhambri/Robert GallowayBhambri/Robert Galloway (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Ivan Dodig/Orlando LuzDodig/Orlando Luz – Fernando Romboli/John-Patrick SmithRomboli/John-Patrick Smith (4-6 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Rohan Bopanna/Adam PavlasekBopanna/Adam Pavlasek (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Filip MisolicMisolic (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Ethan QuinnQuinn (4-6 6-1 6-72 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-0 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-2 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-3 7-61 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Henrique RochaRocha (7-5 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-4 7-611 7-65) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-3 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Quentin HalysHalys (4-6 6-2 5-7 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Mariano NavoneNavone (4-6 6-4 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Sebastian KordaKorda (7-66 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur FilsFils (w/o) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 3-6 7-67 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Jack DraperDraper (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-5) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Andrey RublevRublev (6-3) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (3-4) – H2H and prediction
