Aryna Sabalenka and Qinwen Zheng will fight against each other in the quarter of the French Open for the 8^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:00 am on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.35
Qinwen Zheng -> 3.32

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Qinwen Zheng

This will be the 8^th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Qinwen Zheng play each other. The head to head is 6-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but Zheng has a winning record of 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Zheng won 6-4 6-3 in the quarter in Rome back in May 2025.

Highlights Qinwen Zheng vs Aryna Sabalenka – Rome 14-May-2025

Aryna Sabalenka

Currently world no. 1 Sabalenka reached the quarter after defeating Kamilla Rakhimova 6-1 6-0, Jil Teichmann 6-3 6-1, Olga Danilovic 6-2 6-3 and Amanda Anisimova 7-5 6-3.

In the 4^th round, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Anisimova (7-5 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 77 points vs Anisimova’s 66. Sabalenka was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka recorded 11 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (32/44) of her 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Sabalenka broke Anisimova 3 times after converting 27% of her break points (3/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sabalenka hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 58% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a tremendous record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (412-174). 15-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a composed 92-41 record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Sabalenka has a compiled 38-6 win-loss record in 2025, 15-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Qinwen Zheng

Ranked no. 7, Zheng reached the quarter after beating Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4 6-3, Emiliana Arango 6-2 6-3, Victoria Mboko 6-3 6-4 and Liudmila Samsonova 7-6(5) 1-6 6-3.

In the 4^th round, The Chinese defeated Samsonova (7-6⁵ 1-6 6-3).During the match Zheng scored less points (6) than Samsonova. In fact, the world no. 1 won 96 points vs Samsonova’s. That means that Zheng was more focused during the important points. Qinwen was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Zheng blasted 10 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve 5 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 55% of her first serves in, winning 65% (34/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (18/43) on the 2nd serve. Qinwen broke Samsonova 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Qinwen has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Zheng’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Rome.

Zheng has an overall 17-8 win-loss record in 2025, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2022. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Zheng
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	9
Tot Games	67	84
Pts	264-191	288-241
Total Points	455	529
Winners	107	111
%Winners	41%	39%

Both Sabalenka and Zheng played 4 matches. At the moment, Qinwen Zheng dropped 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t lost a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Zheng (8 vs 9). Therefore, Sabalenka played 17 games less than Zheng. Sabalenka scored 107 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese made 111 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Zheng
Aces	19	21
Avg per match	4.8	5.3
1st in	153/232	157/275
%1st in	66%	57%
1st pts	107/153	111/157
%1st pts	70%	71%
2nd pts	44/79	53/118
%2nd pts	56%	45%

Sabalenka recorded 19 aces (4.8 per match). Zheng struck 21 aces (5.3 per match). Sabalenka won 70% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Zheng won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Zheng
Won	18	19
Converted	18/39	19/31
% Converted	46%	61%
Conceded	15	26
Saved	11	13
% Saved	73%	50%
Times Broken	4	13

Aryna broke her opponents 18 times with a 46% conversion rate. Aryna dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded. Zheng broke her opponents 19 times with a 61% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R1 Rakhimova	R2 Belen Teichmann	R3 Danilovic	R4 Anisimova	Total
Score	6-1 6-0	6-3 6-1	6-2 6-3	7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	13	16	17	21	67
pts	59-31	63-45	65-49	77-66	264-191
Total points	90	108	114	143	455
Winners	25	26	24	32	107
%Winners	42%	41%	37%	42%	41%
SERVE
Aces	5	2	1	11	19
Double Faults	1	4	0	3	8
1st in	35/44	36/62	38/58	44/68	153/232
% 1st in	80%	58%	66%	65%	66%
1st pts	25/35	26/36	24/38	32/44	107/153
% 1st pts	71%	72%	63%	73%	70%
2nd pts	6/9	13/26	11/20	14/24	44/79
% 2nd pts	67%	50%	55%	58%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	5	5	3	18
Converted	5/11	5/8	5/9	3/11	18/39
Converted %	45%	63%	56%	27%	46%
Conceded	2	6	3	4	15
Saved	2/2	5/6	1/3	3/4	11
Saved %	100%	83%	33%	75%	73%
Times Broken	0	1	2	1	4

Zheng
	R1 Pavlyuchenkova	R2 Arango	R3 Mboko	R4 Samsonova	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	6-2 6-3	6-3 6-4	7-65 1-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	19	17	19	29	84
pts	62-44	66-49	64-46	96-102	288-241
Total points	106	115	110	198	529
Winners	24	25	28	34	111
%Winners	39%	38%	44%	35%	39%
SERVE
Aces	6	2	3	10	21
Double Faults	4	4	2	8	18
1st in	29/51	35/65	41/64	52/95	157/275
% 1st in	57%	54%	64%	55%	57%
1st pts	24/29	25/35	28/41	34/52	111/157
% 1st pts	83%	71%	68%	65%	71%
2nd pts	9/22	13/30	13/23	18/43	53/118
% 2nd pts	41%	43%	57%	42%	45%
Breaks
Won	5	6	4	4	19
Converted	5/7	6/8	4/4	4/12	19/31
Converted %	71%	75%	100%	33%	61%
Conceded	4	5	8	9	26
Saved	1/4	2/5	6/8	4/9	13
Saved %	25%	40%	75%	44%	46%
Times Broken	3	3	2	5	13

Tennis Scores – French Open

• Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Blake EllisEllis (7-5 6-7⁴ 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Shuichi SekiguchiSekiguchi (7-5 5-7 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander CrnokrakCrnokrak – Congsup CongcarCongcar (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sidharth RawatRawat – Rishab AgarwalAgarwal (5-7 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Madison KeysKeys – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-3) – H2H and prediction