Moerani Bouzige and Alex Rybakov will square off in the qualifications of the Tyler Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:00 am on STADIUM 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Rybakov who should win in 3 sets.
Alex Rybakov -> 1.49
Moerani Bouzige -> 2.48
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Prediction and head to head Moerani Bouzige vs. Alex Rybakov
There is no head to head record between Moerani Bouzige and Alex Rybakov since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Moerani Bouzige
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-35 | 35-34 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-33 | 42-32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-36 | 33-27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-19 | 13-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-4 | 21-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 369 (career-high), Moerani got to the qualifications after beating Hayden Jones 6-2 4-6 6-4.
In the qualifications, Bouzige defeated Jones (6-2 4-6 6-4). During the match, Bouzige scored 95 points vs Jones’s 88. Bouzige was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bouzige managed to score 11 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Moerani Bouzige lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Bouzige put 62% of his first serves in, winning 73% (41/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. Bouzige broke Jones 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Bouzige has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (179-145). 20-15 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Bouzige has an overall 166-127 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Bouzige’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Noumea Challenger.
The Australian has an overall 20-15 win-loss record in 2025, 20-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tyler Challenger
Alex Rybakov
27 - 11win/loss
280
261
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-26 | 24-13 | 8-6 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-20 | 11-8 | 12-8 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-25 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-23 | 5-7 | 20-12 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-26 | 4-4 | 35-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 413, the American reached the qualifications after defeating Strong Kirchheimer 6-7(1) 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications against Kirchheimer, Alex recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-71 6-3 6-4). During the match Rybakov scored 100 points vs Kirchheimer’s 90. Rybakov was pretty aggressive to blast 46 winners.
About the serving games, Rybakov bagged 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Alex Rybakov was very efficient on serve to win 73% (46/63) of his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alex broke Kirchheimer 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Alex’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Montreal,M25 Bakersfield and M25 Pensacola.
The American has an overall 26-11 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tyler Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bouzige | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 32 |
| Pts | 95-88 | 100-90 |
| Total Points | 183 | 190 |
| Winners | 41 | 46 |
| %Winners | 43% | 46% |
Both Bouzige and Rybakov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Moerani Bouzige surrendered 1 set, while Alex Rybakov conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Bouzige and Rybakov have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Bouzige played 4 games less than Rybakov. Moerani scored 41 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 46 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bouzige | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 8 |
| 1st in | 56/90 | 63/101 |
| %1st in | 62% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 41/56 | 46/63 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 17/34 | 22/38 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 58% |
Bouzige scored 11 aces . Rybakov struck 8 aces . Bouzige won 73% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Rybakov won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bouzige | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/11 | 3/8 |
| % Converted | 36% | 38% |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 |
| Saved | 4 | 3 |
| % Saved | 67% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Moerani broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Bouzige lost his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Rybakov broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bouzige | |||
| Q1 Jones | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 95-88 | 95-88 | |
| Total points | 183 | 183 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 56/90 | 56/90 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 41/56 | 41/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/34 | 17/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Rybakov | |||
| Q1 Kirchheimer | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-71 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 100-90 | 100-90 | |
| Total points | 190 | 190 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 63/101 | 63/101 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 46/63 | 46/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/38 | 22/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
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- Patrick MaloneyMaloney – Naoki NakagawaNakagawa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tyler ZinkZink – Nicolas MejiaMejia (0-1) – H2H and prediction