[UPDATED R4]. Prediction, H2H of Madison Keys’s draw vs Baptiste, Gauff, Pegula, Sabalenka to win the French Open

French Open draw preview with H2H - Madison Keys may need to overcome Hailey Baptiste, Cori Gauff, Jessica Pegula, Aryna Sabalenka to conquer the event in the French Open.

Madison Keys Stats info

Madison Keys is 4 wins away to conquer the title at the French Open. Madison has defeated Daria Saville 6-2 6-1, Katie Boulter 6-1 6-3 and Sofia Kenin 4-6 6-3 7-5 to reach the 4th round where she will face Hailey Baptiste.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Madison Keys’s projected draw withherlikely opponents at the French Open. Madison has a neutral record (9-9) against the likely opposition.

R1 – Daria Saville (137) – 6-2 6-1
R2 – Katie Boulter (38) – 6-1 6-3
R3 – Sofia Kenin (30) – 4-6 6-3 7-5
R4 – Hailey Baptiste (70) – H2H 2-1
1/4 – Cori Gauff (2) – H2H 3-2
or Ekaterina Alexandrova (20) – H2H 1-0
1/2 – Jessica Pegula (3) – H2H 2-1
or Mirra Andreeva (6) – H2H 1-0
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 2-5
or Iga Swiatek (5) – H2H 2-5
Keys
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R4 – Hailey Baptiste’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Madison Keys

22 - 15win/loss in 2025

Rank
54
High
54
LWLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-15 7-6 11-6 3-1 1-2 0-0
2024 43-27 29-16 10-8 3-1 1-2 0-0
2023 41-32 17-15 22-15 2-2 0-0 0-0
2022 23-19 12-11 11-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 18-21 8-12 7-6 1-2 2-1 0-0
2020 9-10 6-8 3-1 0-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-13 15-7 14-6 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 31-9 16-4 15-5 0-0 0-0 0-0

Hailey Baptiste has a 21-12 win-loss record in 2025, 11-5 on clay. During the last 10 years, Baptiste has a 96-57 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Baptiste won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Last year at the French Open Hailey capitulated to Jasmine Paolini in the 2nd round 6-4 7-6(6).

H2H Madison Keys vs. Hailey Baptiste

This match would represent the 4th time that Madison Keys and Hailey Baptiste face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.

1/4 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Madison Keys

31 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
2
LWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 31-9 13-5 18-3 0-0 0-1 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 27-8 record in 2025, 14-3 on clay. In the last 9 years, Gauff has a 75-29 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Gauff won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of this season was winning the title in Australia where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year at the French Open Gauff capitulated to Iga Swiatek in the semifinal 6-2 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Cori Gauff

This contest would be 6th time that Madison Keys and Cori Gauff play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Yet, Madison Keys could compete against Ekaterina Alexandrova. Their H2H record is 1-0 for Madison Keys.

1/2 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Madison Keys

32 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
3
WLLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-12 20-6 11-5 0-0 1-1 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0

Jessica Pegula has a 31-10 record in 2025, 11-4 on clay. During the last 17 years, Pegula has a 128-78 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The American won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the year was winning the competition in Austin where she overcame Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Charleston where she overcame Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5.

Last year at the French Open the American didn’t compete in this event.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Jessica Pegula

This match would represent the 4th time that Madison Keys and Jessica Pegula fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay in major tournaments.

Yet, Madison Keys could play Mirra Andreeva. Their H2H is 1-0 for Madison Keys.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

42 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 42-8 23-4 17-3 0-0 2-1 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 38-6 win-loss record in 2025, 15-2 on clay. Talking about the previous 10 years, the Belarussian has a 92-41 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Belarussian won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of this season was conquering the tournament in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Madrid where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Last year at the French Open Sabalenka lost to Mirra Andreeva in the quarter 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This would be the 8th time that Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka face off. The head to head is 5-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Madison Keys could square off with Iga Swiatek. Their head to head is 5-2 for Iga Swiatek.