Yosuke Watanuki and Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Birmingham Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 4. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yosuke Watanuki who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yosuke Watanuki is the pick to win this match.
Yosuke Watanuki -> 1.36
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg -> 2.94
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Prediction and head to head Yosuke Watanuki vs. Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
There is no head to head record between Yosuke Watanuki and Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Yosuke Watanuki
15 - 10win/loss
182
72
LLLWWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-13 | 13-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 11-11 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 29-12 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-22 | 19-11 | 6-4 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-17 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 6-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 183, the Japanese got to the qualifications after defeating Alastair Gray 6-4 6-7(3) 6-1.
In the qualifications, Yousuke defeated Gray (6-4 6-73 6-1). During the match, Watanuki scored 99 points vs Gray’s 80. Watanuki was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Regarding the service games, Watanuki struck 13 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Yosuke Watanuki was extremely efficient on serve to win 82% (46/56) of his 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Gray 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Watanuki has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (240-153). 1-0 on grass in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Watanuki has a compiled 11-8 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
Yousuke’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Gwangju Challenger.
Yousuke has a composed 15-10 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Birmingham Challenger
Yousuke has never competed in this tournament before.
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
16 - 18win/loss
262
245
LLLWLWLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-21 | 3-5 | 4-10 | 8-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-30 | 11-10 | 13-7 | 15-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 34-27 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 23-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 45-24 | 16-7 | 7-5 | 22-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 10-9 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 263, Gueymard got to the qualifications after beating Beibit Zhukayev 6-3 6-1.
In the qualifications, Sascha had a good straight sets win against Zhukayev (6-3 6-1). During the match Gueymard scored 56 points vs Zhukayev’s 35. The French player was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
About the serving games, Gueymard blasted 4 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg was pretty efficient on serve to win 83% (20/24) of his 1st serve and 76% (13/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sascha broke Zhukayev 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Quimper Challenger where he overcame Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the final 6-7(3) 6-1 6-2.
The French player has an overall 16-18 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Watanuki | Gueymard |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 16 |
| Pts | 99-80 | 56-35 |
| Total Points | 179 | 91 |
| Winners | 46 | 20 |
| %Winners | 46% | 36% |
Both Watanuki and Gueymard played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Yosuke Watanuki conceded 1 set while Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg hasn’t dropped a set so far. Watanuki has played 1 set more than Gueymard (3 vs 2). Therefore, Watanuki played 14 games more than Gueymard. The Japanese scored 46 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Sascha made 20 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Watanuki | Gueymard |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 4 |
| 1st in | 56/89 | 24/41 |
| %1st in | 63% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 46/56 | 20/24 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 19/33 | 13/17 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 76% |
Watanuki recorded 13 aces . Gueymard scored 4 aces . Watanuki won 82% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Gueymard won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 76% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Watanuki | Gueymard |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 33% | 44% |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Yousuke broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Watanuki very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. Sascha broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Gueymard was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Watanuki | |||
| Q1 Gray |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-73 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 99-80 | 99-80 | |
| Total points | 179 | 179 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 56/89 | 56/89 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 46/56 | 46/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/33 | 19/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Gueymard | |||
| Q1 Zhukayev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 56-35 | 56-35 | |
| Total points | 91 | 91 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 24/41 | 24/41 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 20/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/17 | 13/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 76% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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