Madison Keys and Hailey Baptiste will clash against each other in the 4^th round of the French Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 4:00 pm on Court SUZANNE-LENGLEN. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.1
Hailey Baptiste -> 6.95

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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Hailey Baptiste

This will be the 4^th time that Madison Keys and Hailey Baptiste play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Keys won 6-4 4-6 7-6(4) in the 2^nd round in Indian Wells back in 2024.

Madison Keys

Ranked no. 8, Keys got to the 4^th round after defeating Daria Saville 6-2 6-1, Katie Boulter 6-1 6-3 and Sofia Kenin 4-6 6-3 7-5.

In the 3^rd round against Kenin, Keys recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-5). During the match, Keys scored 113 points vs Kenin’s 93. Madison was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Regarding the service games, Keys recorded 8 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Madison Keys was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (44/58) of her 1st serve and 60% (25/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Madison broke Kenin 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Keys has conceded 1 set in this event to win 59% of the points she played.

Keys has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (254-129). 8-3 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has an aggregate 66-34 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1 and at the Australian Open where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.

The American has an aggregate 27-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Hailey Baptiste

Ranked no. 70 (career-high), Baptiste reached the 4^th round after beating Beatriz Haddad Maia 4-6 6-3 6-1, Nao Hibino 6-3 6-2 and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 7-6(4) 6-1.

In the 3^rd round, Hailey had a good straight sets win against Bouzas Maneiro (7-6⁴ 6-1). During the match Baptiste scored 71 points vs Bouzas Maneiro’s 50. Baptiste was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

About the serving games, Baptiste blasted 4 aces and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Hailey Baptiste was pretty effective on serve to win 86% (25/29) of her 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Baptiste broke Bouzas Maneiro 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Baptiste has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Baptiste has an aggregate 21-12 win-loss record in 2025, 11-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2021 and 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Keys	Baptiste
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	7
Tot Games	62	63
Pts	241-169	239-185
Total Points	410	424
Winners	91	77
%Winners	38%	32%

Both Keys and Baptiste played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Madison Keys surrendered 1 set, while Hailey Baptiste conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Keys and Baptiste have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Keys played 1 game less than Baptiste. The American scored 91 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 77 winners (32%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Keys	Baptiste
Aces	10	18
Avg per match	3.3	6
1st in	116/190	100/191
%1st in	61%	52%
1st pts	91/116	77/100
%1st pts	78%	77%
2nd pts	42/74	49/91
%2nd pts	57%	54%

Keys made 10 aces (3.3 per match). Baptiste scored 18 aces (6 per match). Keys won 78% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Baptiste won 77% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Keys	Baptiste
Won	13	14
Converted	13/35	14/36
% Converted	37%	39%
Conceded	17	14
Saved	13	9
% Saved	76%	64%
Times Broken	4	5

Keys broke her opponents 13 times with a 37% conversion rate. Madison surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 76% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 14 times with a 39% conversion rate. Hailey conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.

Keys
	R1 Gavrilova	R2 Boulter	R3 Kenin	Total
Score	6-2 6-1	6-1 6-3	4-6 6-3 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	15	16	31	62
pts	55-27	73-49	113-93	241-169
Total points	82	122	206	410
Winners	24	23	44	91
%Winners	44%	32%	39%	38%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	8	10
Double Faults	3	1	1	5
1st in	29/44	29/46	58/100	116/190
% 1st in	66%	63%	58%	61%
1st pts	24/29	23/29	44/58	91/116
% 1st pts	83%	79%	76%	78%
2nd pts	7/15	10/17	25/42	42/74
% 2nd pts	47%	59%	60%	57%
Breaks
Won	5	5	3	13
Converted	5/10	5/17	3/8	13/35
Converted %	50%	29%	38%	37%
Conceded	3	3	11	17
Saved	2/3	2/3	9/11	13
Saved %	67%	67%	82%	72%
Times Broken	1	1	2	4

Baptiste
	R1 Haddad Maia	R2 Hibino	R3 Bouzas	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 6-1	6-3 6-2	7-64 6-1
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	26	17	20	63
pts	97-81	71-54	71-50	239-185
Total points	178	125	121	424
Winners	35	17	25	77
%Winners	36%	24%	35%	32%
SERVE
Aces	8	6	4	18
Double Faults	5	0	0	5
1st in	46/84	25/58	29/49	100/191
% 1st in	55%	43%	59%	52%
1st pts	35/46	17/25	25/29	77/100
% 1st pts	76%	68%	86%	77%
2nd pts	16/38	22/33	11/20	49/91
% 2nd pts	42%	67%	55%	54%
Breaks
Won	6	4	4	14
Converted	6/17	4/11	4/8	14/36
Converted %	35%	36%	50%	39%
Conceded	9	4	1	14
Saved	6/9	3/4	0/1	9
Saved %	67%	75%	0%	47%
Times Broken	3	1	1	5

Tennis Scores – French Open

• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (4-6 7-6⁶ 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (2-5) – H2H and prediction
• Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (4-4) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Cori GauffGauff (1-3) – H2H and prediction