Madison Keys and Hailey Baptiste will clash against each other in the 4th round of the French Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 4:00 pm on Court SUZANNE-LENGLEN. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.1
Hailey Baptiste -> 6.95
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Hailey Baptiste
This will be the 4th time that Madison Keys and Hailey Baptiste play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Keys won 6-4 4-6 7-6(4) in the 2nd round in Indian Wells back in 2024.
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-9 | 19-3 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Keys got to the 4th round after defeating Daria Saville 6-2 6-1, Katie Boulter 6-1 6-3 and Sofia Kenin 4-6 6-3 7-5.
In the 3rd round against Kenin, Keys recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-5). During the match, Keys scored 113 points vs Kenin’s 93. Madison was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Keys recorded 8 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Madison Keys was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (44/58) of her 1st serve and 60% (25/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Madison broke Kenin 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Keys has conceded 1 set in this event to win 59% of the points she played.
Keys has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (254-129). 8-3 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has an aggregate 66-34 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1 and at the Australian Open where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.
The American has an aggregate 27-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Hailey Baptiste
21 - 12win/loss
54
54
LWLLWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-15 | 7-6 | 11-6 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-27 | 29-16 | 10-8 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-32 | 17-15 | 22-15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-19 | 12-11 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-21 | 8-12 | 7-6 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 70 (career-high), Baptiste reached the 4th round after beating Beatriz Haddad Maia 4-6 6-3 6-1, Nao Hibino 6-3 6-2 and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 7-6(4) 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Hailey had a good straight sets win against Bouzas Maneiro (7-64 6-1). During the match Baptiste scored 71 points vs Bouzas Maneiro’s 50. Baptiste was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Baptiste blasted 4 aces and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Hailey Baptiste was pretty effective on serve to win 86% (25/29) of her 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Baptiste broke Bouzas Maneiro 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Baptiste has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Baptiste has an aggregate 21-12 win-loss record in 2025, 11-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 63 |
| Pts | 241-169 | 239-185 |
| Total Points | 410 | 424 |
| Winners | 91 | 77 |
| %Winners | 38% | 32% |
Both Keys and Baptiste played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Madison Keys surrendered 1 set, while Hailey Baptiste conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Keys and Baptiste have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Keys played 1 game less than Baptiste. The American scored 91 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 77 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 6 |
| 1st in | 116/190 | 100/191 |
| %1st in | 61% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 91/116 | 77/100 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 42/74 | 49/91 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 54% |
Keys made 10 aces (3.3 per match). Baptiste scored 18 aces (6 per match). Keys won 78% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Baptiste won 77% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 14 |
| Converted | 13/35 | 14/36 |
| % Converted | 37% | 39% |
| Conceded | 17 | 14 |
| Saved | 13 | 9 |
| % Saved | 76% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Keys broke her opponents 13 times with a 37% conversion rate. Madison surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 76% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 14 times with a 39% conversion rate. Hailey conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | |||||
| R1 Gavrilova |
R2 Boulter |
R3 Kenin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-1 6-3 | 4-6 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 | 31 | 62 | |
| pts | 55-27 | 73-49 | 113-93 | 241-169 | |
| Total points | 82 | 122 | 206 | 410 | |
| Winners | 24 | 23 | 44 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 32% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 29/44 | 29/46 | 58/100 | 116/190 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 63% | 58% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 23/29 | 44/58 | 91/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 79% | 76% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 10/17 | 25/42 | 42/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 59% | 60% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/17 | 3/8 | 13/35 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 29% | 38% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2/3 | 9/11 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 82% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Baptiste | |||||
| R1 Haddad Maia |
R2 Hibino |
R3 Bouzas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | 7-64 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 17 | 20 | 63 | |
| pts | 97-81 | 71-54 | 71-50 | 239-185 | |
| Total points | 178 | 125 | 121 | 424 | |
| Winners | 35 | 17 | 25 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 24% | 35% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 6 | 4 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 46/84 | 25/58 | 29/49 | 100/191 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 43% | 59% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 35/46 | 17/25 | 25/29 | 77/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 68% | 86% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/38 | 22/33 | 11/20 | 49/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 67% | 55% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 6/17 | 4/11 | 4/8 | 14/36 | |
| Converted % | 35% | 36% | 50% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 4 | 1 | 14 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 75% | 0% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWWWL
LWLLWWWLWL Tennis Scores – French Open
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (4-6 7-66 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (2-5) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (4-4) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Cori GauffGauff (1-3) – H2H and prediction
