Jack Draper and Alexander Bublik will face off in the 4^th round of the French Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 6:00 pm on Court SUZANNE-LENGLEN. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.138
Alexander Bublik -> 5.75

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Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. Alexander Bublik

This will be the 4^th time that Jack Draper and Alexander Bublik play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Draper (see full H2H stats

), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Draper won 7-6(2) 6-4 in the semifinal in Adelaide back in 2024.

Highlights Jack Draper vs Alexander Bublik – Adelaide 12-January-2024

Jack Draper

Ranked no. 5 (career-high), Draper reached the 4^th round after defeating Mattia Bellucci 3-6 6-1 6-4 6-2, Gael Monfils 6-3 4-6 6-3 7-5 and Joao Fonseca 6-2 6-4 6-2.

In the 3^rd round, Draper had a good straight sets win against Fonseca (6-2 6-4 6-2). During the match, Draper scored 92 points vs Fonseca’s 60. Jack was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Draper scored 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Jack Draper was quite effective on serve to win 93% (37/40) of his 1st serve and 61% (17/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Draper broke Fonseca 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jack has surrendered 2 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

Draper has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 70% of his matches (251-110). 12-3 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Draper has a compiled36-22 record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Holger Rune in the final 6-2 6-2.

Draper has an overall 25-6 win-loss record in 2025, 12-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Alexander Bublik

Ranked no. 62, the Kazakhstani got to the 4^th round after defeating James Duckworth 6-2 6-4 6-4, Alex De Minaur 2-6 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-2 and Henrique Rocha 7-5 6-1 6-2.

In the 3^rd round, Bublik had a good straight sets win against Rocha (7-5 6-1 6-2). During the match Bublik scored 94 points vs Rocha’s 67. Bublik was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about serving, Bublik struck 9 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Alexander Bublik was pretty efficient on serve to win 87% (41/47) of his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alexander broke Rocha 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Turin Challenger where he defeated Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3.

Alexander has a composed 21-15 win-loss record in 2025, 14-5 on clay (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously at the French Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2019, 2020, 2022 and 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Draper	Bublik
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	11	11
Tot Games	100	98
Pts	358-275	326-276
Total Points	633	602
Winners	142	142
%Winners	40%	44%

Both Draper and Bublik played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jack Draper surrendered 2 sets, while Alexander Bublik surrendered 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Draper and Bublik have played the same amount of sets 11. However, Draper played 2 games more than Bublik. Draper scored 142 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Alexander managed to score 142 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Draper	Bublik
Aces	24	37
Avg per match	8	12.3
1st in	184/285	177/300
%1st in	65%	59%
1st pts	142/184	142/177
%1st pts	77%	80%
2nd pts	60/101	60/123
%2nd pts	59%	49%

Draper bagged 24 aces (8 per match). Bublik bagged 37 aces (12.3 per match). Draper won 77% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Draper	Bublik
Won	18	15
Converted	18/51	15/34
% Converted	35%	44%
Conceded	18	19
Saved	12	13
% Saved	67%	68%
Times Broken	6	6

The Brit broke his opponents 18 times with a 35% conversion rate. Jack conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 15 times with a 44% conversion rate. Alexander conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Draper
	R1 Bellucci	R2 Monfils	R3 Fonseca	Total
Score	3-6 6-1 6-4 6-2	6-3 4-6 6-3 7-5	6-2 6-4 6-2
Tot Set	4	4	3	11
Tot Games	34	40	26	100
pts	118-94	148-121	92-60	358-275
Total points	212	269	152	633
Winners	51	54	37	142
%Winners	43%	36%	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	11	5	8	24
Double Faults	7	4	4	15
1st in	69/101	75/116	40/68	184/285
% 1st in	68%	65%	59%	65%
1st pts	51/69	54/75	37/40	142/184
% 1st pts	74%	72%	93%	77%
2nd pts	19/32	24/41	17/28	60/101
% 2nd pts	59%	59%	61%	59%
Breaks
Won	6	7	5	18
Converted	6/18	7/22	5/11	18/51
Converted %	33%	32%	45%	35%
Conceded	6	10	2	18
Saved	4/6	6/10	2/2	12
Saved %	67%	60%	100%	76%
Times Broken	2	4	0	6

Bublik
	R1 Duckworth	R2 De Minaur	R3 Rocha	Total
Score	6-2 6-4 6-4	2-6 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-2	7-5 6-1 6-2
Tot Set	3	5	3	11
Tot Games	28	43	27	98
pts	104-79	128-130	94-67	326-276
Total points	183	258	161	602
Winners	43	58	41	142
%Winners	41%	45%	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	16	12	9	37
Double Faults	9	12	6	27
1st in	51/91	79/130	47/79	177/300
% 1st in	56%	61%	59%	59%
1st pts	43/51	58/79	41/47	142/177
% 1st pts	84%	73%	87%	80%
2nd pts	21/40	22/51	17/32	60/123
% 2nd pts	53%	43%	53%	49%
Breaks
Won	4	6	5	15
Converted	4/9	6/14	5/11	15/34
Converted %	44%	43%	45%	44%
Conceded	4	13	2	19
Saved	4/4	7/13	2/2	13
Saved %	100%	54%	100%	85%
Times Broken	0	6	0	6

Tennis Scores – French Open

• Tommy PaulPaul – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Jack DraperDraper (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-5) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Andrey RublevRublev (6-3) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-2) – H2H and prediction