Jannik Sinner and Andrey Rublev will clash against each other in the 4th round of the French Open for the 10th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 8:15 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.068
Andrey Rublev -> 8.6
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Andrey Rublev
This will be the 10th time that Jannik Sinner and Andrey Rublev play each other. The head to head is 6-3 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Sinner won 4-6 7-5 6-4 in the quarter in Cincinnati back in 2024.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev – Cincinnati 17-August-2024
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-3 | 7-0 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Italian reached the 4th round after beating Arthur Rinderknech 6-4 6-3 7-5, Richard Gasquet 6-3 6-0 6-4 and Jiri Lehecka 6-0 6-1 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Lehecka (6-0 6-1 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 91 points vs Lehecka’s 45. Sinner was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner scored 3 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Jannik Sinner was pretty efficient on serve to win 83% (29/35) of his 1st serve and 85% (17/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Lehecka 7 times after converting 39% of his break points (7/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 61% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (361-122). 8-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has an aggregate93-39 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3.
Jannik has a composed 15-1 win-loss record in 2025, 8-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-14 | 5-5 | 8-6 | 4-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, Rublev reached the 4th round after defeating Lloyd Harris 6-4 4-6 6-3 6-1, Adam Walton 7-6(1) 6-1 7-6(5) and Arthur Fils w/o.
In the 3rd round, Andrey defeated Fils (w/o). During the match Rublev and Fils scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 1 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Andrey was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
About the serving games, Rublev couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Andrey Rublev conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andrey has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Doha where he beat Jack Draper in the final 7-5 5-7 6-1.
Andrey has a compiled 17-12 win-loss record in 2025, 8-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2020 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 77 | 69 |
| Pts | 283-183 | 244-189 |
| Total Points | 466 | 433 |
| Winners | 119 | 95 |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% |
Sinner played 3 matches while Rublev competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Andrey Rublev conceded 1 set while Jannik Sinner hasn’t lost a set so far. Sinner has played 2 sets more than Rublev (9 vs 7). Therefore, Sinner played 8 games more than Rublev. Sinner scored 119 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian made 95 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 31 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 15.5 |
| 1st in | 147/216 | 123/204 |
| %1st in | 68% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 119/147 | 95/123 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 46/69 | 52/81 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 64% |
Sinner made 10 aces (3.3 per match). Rublev blasted 31 aces (15.5 per match). Sinner won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 9 |
| Converted | 17/35 | 9/28 |
| % Converted | 49% | 32% |
| Conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Saved | 9 | 6 |
| % Saved | 82% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Jannik broke his opponents 17 times with a 49% conversion rate. Jannik conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Rublev broke his opponents 9 times with a 32% conversion rate. Rublev conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||||
| R1 Rinderknech |
R2 Gasquet |
R3 Lehecka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 6-0 6-4 | 6-0 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 25 | 21 | 77 | |
| pts | 101-76 | 91-62 | 91-45 | 283-183 | |
| Total points | 177 | 153 | 136 | 466 | |
| Winners | 44 | 46 | 29 | 119 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 51% | 32% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 58/89 | 54/72 | 35/55 | 147/216 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 75% | 64% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 44/58 | 46/54 | 29/35 | 119/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 85% | 83% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/31 | 8/18 | 17/20 | 46/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 44% | 85% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 7 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/11 | 7/18 | 17/35 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 45% | 39% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 1 | 11 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 100% | 100% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Rublev | |||||
| R1 Lloyd |
R2 Walton |
R3 Fils |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-3 6-1 | 7-61 6-1 7-65 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | – | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 33 | – | 69 | |
| pts | 122-95 | 122-94 | – | 244-189 | |
| Total points | 217 | 216 | – | 433 | |
| Winners | 46 | 49 | – | 95 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% | – | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 13 | 18 | – | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | – | 6 | |
| 1st in | 65/103 | 58/101 | – | 123/204 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 57% | – | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 46/65 | 49/58 | – | 95/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 84% | – | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/38 | 26/43 | – | 52/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 60% | – | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | – | 9 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 3/14 | – | 9/28 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 21% | – | 32% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | – | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 1/2 | – | 6 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 50% | – | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | – | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWWL
LWLWWLWWWW Tennis Scores – French Open
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Ben SheltonShelton (7-68 6-3 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Holger RuneRune (7-5 3-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Jack DraperDraper (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-5) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Andrey RublevRublev (6-3) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (3-4) – H2H and prediction
