Carlos Alcaraz and Ben Shelton will fight against each other in the 4th round of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.051
Ben Shelton -> 9.8
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Ben Shelton
This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Ben Shelton fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Alcaraz won 6-4 6-4 in the R in Laver cup back in 2024.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Ben Shelton – Laver cup 21-September-2024
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-6 | 10-4 | 22-1 | 5-0 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard got to the 4th round after beating Giulio Zeppieri 6-3 6-4 6-2, Fabian Marozsan 6-1 4-6 6-1 6-2 and Damir Dzumhur 6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Dzumhur (6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4). During the match, Alcaraz scored 139 points vs Dzumhur’s 118. Alcaraz was very aggressive to blast 59 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz scored 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve 3 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 70% of his first serves in, winning 64% (59/92) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (22/39) on the 2nd serve. Alcaraz broke Dzumhur 7 times after converting 33% of his break points (7/21).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 80% of his matches (320-81). 18-1 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a compiled159-36 record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0 and in Rome where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.
Alcaraz has an overall 33-5 win-loss record in 2025, 18-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Ben Shelton
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-15 | 9-5 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-26 | 22-13 | 8-4 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-26 | 21-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-11 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 24-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-7 | 7-3 | 5-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Shelton got to the 4th round after beating Lorenzo Sonego 6-4 4-6 3-6 6-2 6-3, Hugo Gaston w/o and Matteo Gigante 6-3 6-3 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Shelton had a good straight sets win against Gigante (6-3 6-3 6-4). During the match Shelton scored 101 points vs Gigante’s 82. Ben was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Shelton made 10 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Ben Shelton was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (37/47) of his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Shelton broke Gigante 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shelton has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Munich.
The American has a composed 17-10 win-loss record in 2025, 7-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 95 | 74 |
| Pts | 358-275 | 242-207 |
| Total Points | 633 | 449 |
| Winners | 153 | 109 |
| %Winners | 43% | 45% |
Alcaraz played 3 matches while Shelton competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz conceded 2 sets, while Ben Shelton conceded 2 sets. Alcaraz has played 3 sets more than Shelton (11 vs 8). Therefore, Alcaraz played 21 games more than Shelton. Carlos scored 153 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Shelton fired 109 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 12.5 |
| 1st in | 219/309 | 150/222 |
| %1st in | 71% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 153/219 | 109/150 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 52/90 | 40/72 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 56% |
Alcaraz blasted 12 aces (4 per match). Shelton made 25 aces (12.5 per match). Alcaraz won 70% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Shelton won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 11 |
| Converted | 19/46 | 11/20 |
| % Converted | 41% | 55% |
| Conceded | 18 | 14 |
| Saved | 13 | 9 |
| % Saved | 72% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 |
Carlos broke his opponents 19 times with a 41% conversion rate. Alcaraz dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Ben conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||
| R1 Zeppieri |
R2 Marozsan |
R3 Dzumhur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 4-6 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 32 | 36 | 95 | |
| pts | 98-73 | 121-84 | 139-118 | 358-275 | |
| Total points | 171 | 205 | 257 | 633 | |
| Winners | 44 | 50 | 59 | 153 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 41% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 57/86 | 70/92 | 92/131 | 219/309 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 76% | 70% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 44/57 | 50/70 | 59/92 | 153/219 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 71% | 64% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 13/22 | 22/39 | 52/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | 56% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 8 | 7 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 8/17 | 7/21 | 19/46 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 47% | 33% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 1/3 | 9/12 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 75% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Shelton | |||||
| R1 Sonego |
R2 Gaston |
R3 Gigante |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 3-6 6-2 6-3 | w/o | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | – | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 46 | – | 28 | 74 | |
| pts | 141-125 | – | 101-82 | 242-207 | |
| Total points | 266 | – | 183 | 449 | |
| Winners | 72 | – | 37 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 51% | – | 37% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 15 | – | 10 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | – | 7 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 103/140 | – | 47/82 | 150/222 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | – | 57% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 72/103 | – | 37/47 | 109/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | – | 79% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/37 | – | 20/35 | 40/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | – | 57% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | – | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | – | 5/11 | 11/20 | |
| Converted % | 67% | – | 45% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 10 | – | 4 | 14 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | – | 3/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 60% | – | 75% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | – | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWWW
LWWWWLLLWW Tennis Scores – French Open
- Alexander BublikBublik – Henrique RochaRocha (7-5 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-0 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Ethan QuinnQuinn (4-6 6-1 6-72 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-2 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-3 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Quentin HalysHalys (4-6 6-2 5-7 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-4 7-611 7-65) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur FilsFils (w/o) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 3-6 7-67 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Sebastian KordaKorda (7-66 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Mariano NavoneNavone (4-6 6-4 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-0 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur FilsFils (w/o) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Henrique RochaRocha (7-5 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-2 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 7-6(4) 6-1) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Ethan QuinnQuinn (4-6 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Filip MisolicMisolic – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Andrey RublevRublev (6-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Jack DraperDraper (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Tommy PaulPaul (1-3) – H2H and prediction
