Tommy Paul and Alexei Popyrin will clash against each other in the 4^th round of the French Open for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on Court SUZANNE-LENGLEN. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.5
Alexei Popyrin -> 2.59

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Alexei Popyrin

This will be the 5^th time that Tommy Paul and Alexei Popyrin face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Paul (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Paul won 5-7 6-4 6-3 in the 2^nd round in S hertogenbosch back in 2024.

Highlights Tommy Paul vs Alexei Popyrin – S hertogenbosch 13-June-2024

Tommy Paul

Ranked no. 12, the American got to the 4^th round after defeating Elmer Moller 6-7(5) 6-2 6-3 6-1, Marton Fucsovics 4-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4 and Karen Khachanov 6-3 3-6 7-6(7) 3-6 6-3.

In the 3^rd round, The American had a tough win against Khachanov to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-3 3-6 7-6⁷ 3-6 6-3).During the match, Paul scored less points (4) than Khachanov. In fact, the world no. 12 won 160 points vs Khachanov’s. That means that Paul was more focused during the important points. Paul was extremely aggressive to blast 69 winners.

Regarding the service games, Paul made 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Tommy Paul lost the serve 6 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 63% of his first serves in, winning 69% (69/100) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (25/59) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Khachanov 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tommy has conceded 5 set in this competition to conquer 51% of the points he played.

Paul has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (369-209). 11-3 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paul has a composed 90-51 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Paul’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide, Dallas, Houston and Rome.

Tommy has a composed 24-8 win-loss record in 2025, 11-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Alexei Popyrin

Ranked no. 25, Popyrin reached the 4^th round after defeating Yoshihito Nishioka 7-5 6-4 1-2 ret., Alejandro Tabilo 7-5 6-3 6-4 and Nuno Borges 6-4 7-6(11) 7-6(5).

In the 3^rd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Borges (6-4 7-6¹¹ 7-6⁵). During the match Popyrin scored 133 points vs Borges’s 119. The Australian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 61 winners.

Talking about serving, Popyrin bagged 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Alexei Popyrin was very efficient on serve to win 80% (61/76) of his 1st serve and 52% (22/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Australian broke Borges 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Alexei has a compiled 11-12 win-loss record in 2025, 9-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2019. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Paul	Popyrin
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	14	10
Tot Games	135	92
Pts	436-414	319-269
Total Points	850	588
Winners	190	135
%Winners	44%	42%

Both Paul and Popyrin played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul conceded 5 sets, while Alexei Popyrin dropped 1 set. Paul has played 4 sets more than Popyrin (14 vs 10). Therefore, Paul played 43 games more than Popyrin. Paul scored 190 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian struck 135 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Paul	Popyrin
Aces	19	31
Avg per match	6.3	10.3
1st in	270/423	171/267
%1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	190/270	135/171
%1st pts	70%	79%
2nd pts	73/153	59/96
%2nd pts	48%	61%

Paul scored 19 aces (6.3 per match). Popyrin made 31 aces (10.3 per match). Paul won 70% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Paul	Popyrin
Won	21	11
Converted	21/47	11/31
% Converted	45%	35%
Conceded	35	15
Saved	20	11
% Saved	57%	73%
Times Broken	15	4

Tommy broke his opponents 21 times with a 45% conversion rate. Paul conceded his serve 15 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Alexei broke his opponents 11 times with a 35% conversion rate. Alexei conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Paul
	R1 Moller	R2 Fucsovics	R3 Khachanov	Total
Score	6-75 6-2 6-3 6-1	4-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4	6-3 3-6 7-67 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	4	5	5	14
Tot Games	37	49	49	135
pts	135-112	141-138	160-164	436-414
Total points	247	279	324	850
Winners	46	75	69	190
%Winners	34%	53%	43%	44%
SERVE
Aces	5	6	8	19
Double Faults	4	3	4	11
1st in	72/126	98/138	100/159	270/423
% 1st in	57%	71%	63%	64%
1st pts	46/72	75/98	69/100	190/270
% 1st pts	64%	77%	69%	70%
2nd pts	31/54	17/40	25/59	73/153
% 2nd pts	57%	43%	42%	48%
Breaks
Won	10	5	6	21
Converted	10/21	5/14	6/12	21/47
Converted %	48%	36%	50%	45%
Conceded	9	11	15	35
Saved	5/9	6/11	9/15	20
Saved %	56%	55%	60%	57%
Times Broken	4	5	6	15

Popyrin
	R1 Nishioka	R2 Tabilo	R3 Borges	Total
Score	7-5 6-4 1-2 ret.	7-5 6-3 6-4	6-4 7-611 7-65
Tot Set	3	3	3	9
Tot Games	25	31	36	92
pts	81-65	105-85	133-119	319-269
Total points	146	190	252	588
Winners	32	42	61	135
%Winners	40%	40%	46%	42%
SERVE
Aces	10	8	13	31
Double Faults	1	1	1	3
1st in	39/63	56/86	76/118	171/267
% 1st in	62%	65%	64%	64%
1st pts	32/39	42/56	61/76	135/171
% 1st pts	82%	75%	80%	79%
2nd pts	19/24	18/30	22/42	59/96
% 2nd pts	79%	60%	52%	61%
Breaks
Won	2	6	3	11
Converted	2/8	6/12	3/11	11/31
Converted %	25%	50%	27%	35%
Conceded	0	8	7	15
Saved	0/0	6/8	5/7	11
Saved %	–	75%	71%	49%
Times Broken	0	2	2	4

Tennis Scores – French Open

• Alexander BublikBublik – Henrique RochaRocha (7-5 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 7-6⁴ 6-1) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-0 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Ethan QuinnQuinn (4-6 6-1 6-7² 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-2 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Mariano NavoneNavone (4-6 6-4 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-3 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Quentin HalysHalys (4-6 6-2 5-7 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-4 7-6¹¹ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur FilsFils (w/o) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 3-6 7-6⁷ 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Sebastian KordaKorda (7-6⁶ 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-0 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur FilsFils (w/o) – See score progression
• Alexander BublikBublik – Henrique RochaRocha (7-5 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-2 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 7-6(4) 6-1) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Ethan QuinnQuinn (4-6 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Filip MisolicMisolic – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Andrey RublevRublev (6-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Jack DraperDraper (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-2) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Tommy PaulPaul (1-3) – H2H and prediction