Lorenzo Musetti and Holger Rune will face off in the 4^th round of the French Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 8:15pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.56
Holger Rune -> 2.43

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Holger Rune

This will be the 3^rd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Holger Rune face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Rune (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Rune won 6-2 7-6(5) in the 3^rd round in Indian wells back in 2024.

Highlights Holger Rune vs Lorenzo Musetti – Indian wells 11-March-2024

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 7 (career-high), Lorenzo got to the 4^th round after defeating Yannick Hanfmann 7-5 6-2 6-0, Daniel Elahi Galan 6-4 6-0 6-4 and Mariano Navone 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-2.

In the 3^rd round against Navone, Lorenzo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3 6-2). During the match, Musetti scored 134 points vs Navone’s 113. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 52 winners.

Talking about the service games, Musetti blasted 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve 5 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 65% of his first serves in, winning 69% (52/75) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (18/40) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Navone 8 times after converting 42% of his break points (8/19).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Musetti has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Musetti has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (243-168). 17-3 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Musetti has a composed136-69 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

Lorenzo’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Carlo.

Musetti has a compiled 23-7 win-loss record in 2025, 17-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Holger Rune

Ranked no. 10, the Dane got to the 4^th round after beating Roberto Bautista Agut 6-7(4) 6-4 6-3 6-2, Emilio Nava 6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 and Quentin Halys 4-6 6-2 5-7 7-5 6-2.

In the 3^rd round, Holger had a tough win against Halys to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (4-6 6-2 5-7 7-5 6-2). During the match Rune scored 149 points vs Halys’s 130. The Dane was exceptionally aggressive to blast 78 winners.

Talking about serving, Rune scored 8 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Holger Rune lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 73% of his first serves in, winning 79% (78/99) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (16/37) on the 2nd serve. Holger broke Halys 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Holger has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Barcelona where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Holger has a compiled 20-11 win-loss record in 2025, 9-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022 and 2023. See his history

.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Musetti	Rune
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	10	12
Tot Games	89	121
Pts	329-249	394-336
Total Points	578	730
Winners	127	190
%Winners	39%	48%

Both Musetti and Rune played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti dropped 1 set, while Holger Rune dropped 3 sets. Musetti has played 2 set(s) less than Rune (10 vs 12). Therefore, Musetti played 32 games less than Rune. Musetti scored 127 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Holger struck 190 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Musetti	Rune
Aces	14	21
Avg per match	4.7	7
1st in	178/268	255/368
%1st in	66%	69%
1st pts	127/178	190/255
%1st pts	71%	75%
2nd pts	52/90	62/113
%2nd pts	58%	55%

Musetti fired 14 aces (4.7 per match). Rune scored 21 aces (7 per match). Musetti won 71% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Musetti	Rune
Won	20	16
Converted	20/44	16/36
% Converted	45%	44%
Conceded	16	31
Saved	10	24
% Saved	63%	77%
Times Broken	6	7

Lorenzo broke his opponents 20 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Holger broke his opponents 16 times with a 44% conversion rate. Rune conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
	R1 Hanfmann	R2 Elahi Galan Riveros	R3 Navone	Total
Score	7-5 6-2 6-0	6-4 6-0 6-4	4-6 6-4 6-3 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	4	10
Tot Games	26	26	37	89
pts	101-68	94-68	134-113	329-249
Total points	169	162	247	578
Winners	38	37	52	127
%Winners	38%	39%	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	5	6	3	14
Double Faults	1	0	4	5
1st in	46/70	57/83	75/115	178/268
% 1st in	66%	69%	65%	66%
1st pts	38/46	37/57	52/75	127/178
% 1st pts	83%	65%	69%	71%
2nd pts	15/24	19/26	18/40	52/90
% 2nd pts	63%	73%	45%	58%
Breaks
Won	6	6	8	20
Converted	6/13	6/12	8/19	20/44
Converted %	46%	50%	42%	45%
Conceded	0	7	9	16
Saved	0/0	6/7	4/9	10
Saved %	–	86%	44%	43%
Times Broken	0	1	5	6

Rune
	R1 Bautista-Agut	R2 Nava	R3 Halys	Total
Score	6-74 6-4 6-3 6-2	6-3 7-65 6-3	4-6 6-2 5-7 7-5 6-2
Tot Set	4	3	5	12
Tot Games	40	31	50	121
pts	134-118	111-88	149-130	394-336
Total points	252	199	279	730
Winners	65	47	78	190
%Winners	49%	42%	52%	48%
SERVE
Aces	9	4	8	21
Double Faults	0	3	0	3
1st in	92/135	64/97	99/136	255/368
% 1st in	68%	66%	73%	69%
1st pts	65/92	47/64	78/99	190/255
% 1st pts	71%	73%	79%	75%
2nd pts	25/43	21/33	16/37	62/113
% 2nd pts	58%	64%	43%	55%
Breaks
Won	5	4	7	16
Converted	5/13	4/12	7/11	16/36
Converted %	38%	33%	64%	44%
Conceded	11	9	11	31
Saved	10/11	7/9	7/11	24
Saved %	91%	78%	64%	78%
Times Broken	1	2	4	7

Tennis Scores – French Open

• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Ethan QuinnQuinn (4-6 6-1 6-7² 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-2 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander BublikBublik – Henrique RochaRocha (7-5 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 7-6⁴ 6-1) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-0 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 3-6 7-6⁷ 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Sebastian KordaKorda (7-6⁶ 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Mariano NavoneNavone (4-6 6-4 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-3 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Quentin HalysHalys (4-6 6-2 5-7 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-4 7-6¹¹ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur FilsFils (w/o) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-0 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur FilsFils (w/o) – See score progression
• Alexander BublikBublik – Henrique RochaRocha (7-5 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-2 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-2 7-6(4) 6-1) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Ethan QuinnQuinn (4-6 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Filip MisolicMisolic – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Andrey RublevRublev (6-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Jack DraperDraper (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-2) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Tommy PaulPaul (1-3) – H2H and prediction