H2H, prediction of Elena Rybakina vs Jelena Ostapenko at the French Open with odds, preview, pick | 30th May 2025

PREVIEW. Paris. Rybakina and Ostapenko will square off in the 3rd round of the French Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Friday the 30th of May

Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Jelena Ostapenko

Elena Rybakina and Jelena Ostapenko will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on Court SUZANNE-LENGLEN. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.56
Jelena Ostapenko -> 2.43

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Jelena Ostapenko

This will be the 6th time that Elena Rybakina and Jelena Ostapenko fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Rybakina won 6-7(6) 6-2 6-4 in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2023.

Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Jelena Ostapenko – Cincinnati 16-August-2023

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina
Elena Rybakina

25 - 9win/loss

Hard
15-7
I Hard
2-0
Clay
8-2
Rank
13
High
3
LWWLWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 31-13 15-7 9-3 2-0 5-3 0-0
2024 43-11 23-5 12-2 2-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0

Ranked no. 11, Rybakina got to the 3rd round after beating Julia Riera 6-1 4-6 6-4 and Iva Jovic 6-3 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Jovic (6-3 6-3). During the match, Rybakina scored 65 points vs Jovic’s 48. The Kazakhstani was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rybakina managed to score 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Elena Rybakina lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 61% of her first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Jovic 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points she played.

Rybakina has an extraordinary match record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (350-150). 8-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has a compiled 89-37 match record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Strasbourg where she beat Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1.

Rybakina has a compiled 25-9 win-loss record in 2025, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Rybakina
French Open
Rybakina's Record

Jelena Ostapenko

Jelena Ostapenko
Jelena Ostapenko

15 - 11win/loss

Hard
6-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
9-3
Rank
25
High
5
LLWLWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-14 6-8 9-4 0-0 1-2 0-0
2024 31-19 14-10 8-6 4-0 5-3 0-0
2023 37-22 21-15 7-4 1-1 8-2 0-0
2022 33-19 19-10 3-3 3-3 8-3 0-0
2021 32-19 12-9 5-4 7-4 8-2 0-0

Ranked no. 21, Jelena reached the 3rd round after defeating Polina Kudermetova 5-7 6-0 6-2 and Caroline Dolehide 5-7 6-3 6-3.

In the 2nd round against Dolehide, Jelena recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-3). During the match Ostapenko scored 89 points vs Dolehide’s 86. Ostapenko was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.

About the serving games, Ostapenko bagged 4 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 57% of her first serves in, winning 67% (35/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (18/40) on the 2nd serve. Ostapenko broke Dolehide 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ostapenko has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Stuttgart where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-4 6-1.

Jelena has a composed 15-11 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, she won this tournament once in 2017. See her history.

Ostapenko
French Open
Ostapenko's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Rybakina
J.Ostapenko
3h:00
3h:00
Time on court​
3h:53
3h:53
1h:15
1h:15
Last match​
1h:59
1h:59
2
2
Match played
2
2
45
45
Games Played​
56
56
5
5
Set played​​
6
6
151
151
Total points​
186
186
75.5
75.5
Avg point​
93
93
59
59
Winners
66
66
29.5
29.5
Avg Winners​
33
33
39%
39%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
10
10
6
6
Avg Aces
5
5
3
3
Double Faults
14
14
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
!
7
7
59/87
59/87
1st won total​
66/96
66/96
68%
68%
1st won %
69%
69%
27/49
27/49
2nd won total​
40/83
40/83
55%
55%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
11/22
11/22
BP won
13/19
13/19
5.5/11
5.5/11
Avg BP won
6.5/9.5
6.5/9.5
50%
50%
Won
!
68%
68%
11
11
Conceded
17
17
5.5
5.5
Avg Conceded
8.5
8.5
6
6
Broken
7
7
3
3
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
5
5
Saved
10
10

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rybakina Ostapenko
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 6
Tot Games 45 56
Pts 151-118 186-160
Total Points 269 346
Winners 59 66
%Winners 39% 35%

Both Rybakina and Ostapenko played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina surrendered 1 set, while Jelena Ostapenko surrendered 2 sets. Rybakina has played 1 set(s) less than Ostapenko (5 vs 6). Therefore, Rybakina played 11 games less than Ostapenko. Elena scored 59 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Jelena made 66 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rybakina Ostapenko
Aces 12 10
Avg per match 6 5
1st in 87/136 96/179
%1st in 64% 54%
1st pts 59/87 66/96
%1st pts 68% 69%
2nd pts 27/49 40/83
%2nd pts 55% 48%

Rybakina blasted 12 aces (6 per match). Ostapenko recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Rybakina won 68% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Ostapenko won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rybakina Ostapenko
Won 11 13
Converted 11/22 13/19
% Converted 50% 68%
Conceded 11 17
Saved 5 10
% Saved 45% 59%
Times Broken 6 7

The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. Elena conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 45% of the break points that she conceded. The Latvian broke her opponents 13 times with a 68% conversion rate. The Latvian conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
R1
Riera
R2
Jovic
Total
Score 6-1 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 27 18 45
pts 86-70 65-48 151-118
Total points 156 113 269
Winners 35 24 59
%Winners 41% 37% 39%
SERVE
Aces 7 5 12
Double Faults 2 1 3
1st in 52/79 35/57 87/136
% 1st in 66% 61% 64%
1st pts 35/52 24/35 59/87
% 1st pts 67% 69% 68%
2nd pts 13/27 14/22 27/49
% 2nd pts 48% 64% 55%
Breaks
Won 7 4 11
Converted 7/12 4/10 11/22
Converted % 58% 40% 50%
Conceded 8 3 11
Saved 3/8 2/3 5
Saved % 38% 67% 53%
Times Broken 5 1 6
Ostapenko
R1
Kudermetova
R2
Dolehide
Total
Score 5-7 6-0 6-2 5-7 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 26 30 56
pts 97-74 89-86 186-160
Total points 171 175 346
Winners 31 35 66
%Winners 32% 39% 35%
SERVE
Aces 6 4 10
Double Faults 7 7 14
1st in 44/87 52/92 96/179
% 1st in 51% 57% 54%
1st pts 31/44 35/52 66/96
% 1st pts 70% 67% 69%
2nd pts 22/43 18/40 40/83
% 2nd pts 51% 45% 48%
Breaks
Won 7 6 13
Converted 7/11 6/8 13/19
Converted % 64% 75% 68%
Conceded 9 8 17
Saved 6/9 4/8 10
Saved % 67% 50% 59%
Times Broken 3 4 7

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Rybakina
LWWLWWLWLW
Ostapenko
LLWLWWLWLW
2025 2024 2023
31 - 13
16 - 14
15-7
Hard
6-8
2-0
I Hard
0-0
9-3
Clay
9-4
5-3
Grass
1-2

Tennis Scores – French Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

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