
Tommy Paul and Karen Khachanov will face off in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court SIMONNE-MATHIEU. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.75
Karen Khachanov -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Karen Khachanov
This will be the 3rd time that Tommy Paul and Karen Khachanov square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Paul won 6-3 3-6 6-2 in the 3rd round in Madrid back in April 2025.
Highlights Tommy Paul vs Karen Khachanov – Madrid 29-April-2025
Tommy Paul
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 27-12 | 11-5 | 12-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Elmer Moller 6-7(5) 6-2 6-3 6-1 and Marton Fucsovics 4-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Paul had a tough win against Fucsovics to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (4-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4). During the match, Paul scored 141 points vs Fucsovics’s 138. Paul was extremely aggressive to blast 75 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paul blasted 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Tommy Paul lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 71% of his first serves in, winning 77% (75/98) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (17/40) on the 2nd serve. Paul broke Fucsovics 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paul has lost 3 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Paul has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (368-209). 10-3 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paul has a composed 89-51 record in the last years on clay.
Tommy’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide, Dallas, Houston and Rome.
Paul has an aggregate 23-8 win-loss record in 2025, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Karen Khachanov
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 29-17 | 12-7 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
2024 | 37-22 | 14-12 | 8-4 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Khachanov got to the 3rd round after beating Aleksandar Vukic 6-4 6-4 6-4 and Sebastian Ofner 7-5 3-6 7-5 4-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Karen had a tough win against Ofner to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (7-5 3-6 7-5 4-6 6-2). During the match Khachanov scored 180 points vs Ofner’s 168. Karen was quite aggressive to blast 80 winners.
About the serving games, Khachanov made 7 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Karen Khachanov lost the serve 5 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Khachanov put 62% of his first serves in, winning 76% (80/105) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (26/64) on the 2nd serve. Karen broke Ofner 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karen has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Khachanov’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Barcelona.
The Russian has a compiled 14-12 win-loss record in 2025, 9-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2019 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Paul | Khachanov |
---|---|---|
Match played | 2 | 2 |
Tot Set | 9 | 8 |
Tot Games | 86 | 81 |
Pts | 276-250 | 283-254 |
Total Points | 526 | 537 |
Winners | 121 | 122 |
%Winners | 44% | 43% |
Both Paul and Khachanov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul conceded 3 sets, while Karen Khachanov lost 2 sets. Paul has played 1 set more than Khachanov (9 vs 8). Therefore, Paul played 5 games more than Khachanov. The American scored 121 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Karen bagged 122 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Paul | Khachanov |
---|---|---|
Aces | 11 | 16 |
Avg per match | 5.5 | 8 |
1st in | 170/264 | 159/256 |
%1st in | 64% | 62% |
1st pts | 121/170 | 122/159 |
%1st pts | 71% | 77% |
2nd pts | 48/94 | 43/97 |
%2nd pts | 51% | 44% |
Paul bagged 11 aces (5.5 per match). Khachanov managed to score 16 aces (8 per match). Paul won 71% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Paul | Khachanov |
---|---|---|
Won | 15 | 12 |
Converted | 15/35 | 12/28 |
% Converted | 43% | 43% |
Conceded | 20 | 19 |
Saved | 11 | 12 |
% Saved | 55% | 63% |
Times Broken | 9 | 7 |
Paul broke his opponents 15 times with a 43% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
Paul | ||||
R1 Moller |
R2 Fucsovics |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-75 6-2 6-3 6-1 | 4-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
Tot Games | 37 | 49 | 86 | |
pts | 135-112 | 141-138 | 276-250 | |
Total points | 247 | 279 | 526 | |
Winners | 46 | 75 | 121 | |
%Winners | 34% | 53% | 44% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
1st in | 72/126 | 98/138 | 170/264 | |
% 1st in | 57% | 71% | 64% | |
1st pts | 46/72 | 75/98 | 121/170 | |
% 1st pts | 64% | 77% | 71% | |
2nd pts | 31/54 | 17/40 | 48/94 | |
% 2nd pts | 57% | 43% | 51% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 10 | 5 | 15 | |
Converted | 10/21 | 5/14 | 15/35 | |
Converted % | 48% | 36% | 43% | |
Conceded | 9 | 11 | 20 | |
Saved | 5/9 | 6/11 | 11 | |
Saved % | 56% | 55% | 56% | |
Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Khachanov | ||||
R1 Vukic |
R2 Ofner |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-4 6-4 | 7-5 3-6 7-5 4-6 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
Tot Games | 30 | 51 | 81 | |
pts | 103-86 | 180-168 | 283-254 | |
Total points | 189 | 348 | 537 | |
Winners | 42 | 80 | 122 | |
%Winners | 41% | 44% | 43% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 9 | 7 | 16 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 7 | 8 | |
1st in | 54/87 | 105/169 | 159/256 | |
% 1st in | 62% | 62% | 62% | |
1st pts | 42/54 | 80/105 | 122/159 | |
% 1st pts | 78% | 76% | 77% | |
2nd pts | 17/33 | 26/64 | 43/97 | |
% 2nd pts | 52% | 41% | 44% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
Converted | 5/12 | 7/16 | 12/28 | |
Converted % | 42% | 44% | 43% | |
Conceded | 4 | 15 | 19 | |
Saved | 2/4 | 10/15 | 12 | |
Saved % | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Head 2 Head



Tennis Scores – French Open
- Henrique RochaRocha – Jakub MensikMensik (2-6 1-6 6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (2-6 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 3-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Matteo GiganteGigante – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 5-7 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Casper RuudRuud (2-6 6-4 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Emilio NavaNava (6-3 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Sebastian OfnerOfner (7-5 3-6 7-5 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-4 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (4-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (7-64 6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Vit KoprivaKopriva (6-2 4-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Quentin HalysHalys – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (4-6 6-3 7-62 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (7-5 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-1 4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-1 6-2 7-62) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-3 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (6-1 7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Hugo GastonGaston (w/o) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 3-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (2-6 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Henrique RochaRocha – Jakub MensikMensik (2-6 1-6 6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jack DraperDraper (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Tommy PaulPaul (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Sebastian KordaKorda (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Filip MisolicMisolic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Richard GasquetGasquet (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Mariano NavoneNavone (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-0) – H2H and prediction