H2H, prediction of Tommy Paul vs Karen Khachanov at the French Open with odds, preview, pick | 30th May 2025

PREVIEW. Paris. Paul and Khachanov will square off in the 3rd round of the French Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Friday the 30th of May

Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Karen Khachanov

Tommy Paul and Karen Khachanov will face off in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court SIMONNE-MATHIEU. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 5 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.75
Karen Khachanov -> 2.08

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Karen Khachanov

This will be the 3rd time that Tommy Paul and Karen Khachanov square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Paul won 6-3 3-6 6-2 in the 3rd round in Madrid back in April 2025.

Highlights Tommy Paul vs Karen Khachanov – Madrid 29-April-2025

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul

23 - 8win/loss

Hard
10-4
I Hard
3-1
Clay
10-3
Rank
16
High
8
LWLWLLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-12 11-5 12-4 3-1 1-2 0-0
2024 45-20 17-12 10-4 8-2 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 12, the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Elmer Moller 6-7(5) 6-2 6-3 6-1 and Marton Fucsovics 4-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Paul had a tough win against Fucsovics to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (4-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4). During the match, Paul scored 141 points vs Fucsovics’s 138. Paul was extremely aggressive to blast 75 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paul blasted 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Tommy Paul lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 71% of his first serves in, winning 77% (75/98) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (17/40) on the 2nd serve. Paul broke Fucsovics 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Paul has lost 3 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Paul has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (368-209). 10-3 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paul has a composed 89-51 record in the last years on clay.

Tommy’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide, Dallas, Houston and Rome.

Paul has an aggregate 23-8 win-loss record in 2025, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Paul
French Open
Paul's Record

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov
Karen Khachanov

14 - 12win/loss

Hard
5-6
I Hard
0-1
Clay
9-5
Rank
12
High
8
WWLWWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-17 12-7 9-6 0-1 8-3 0-0
2024 37-22 14-12 8-4 14-3 1-3 0-0
2023 34-18 18-10 10-5 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 24, Khachanov got to the 3rd round after beating Aleksandar Vukic 6-4 6-4 6-4 and Sebastian Ofner 7-5 3-6 7-5 4-6 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Karen had a tough win against Ofner to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (7-5 3-6 7-5 4-6 6-2). During the match Khachanov scored 180 points vs Ofner’s 168. Karen was quite aggressive to blast 80 winners.

About the serving games, Khachanov made 7 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Karen Khachanov lost the serve 5 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Khachanov put 62% of his first serves in, winning 76% (80/105) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (26/64) on the 2nd serve. Karen broke Ofner 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Karen has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Khachanov’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Barcelona.

The Russian has a compiled 14-12 win-loss record in 2025, 9-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2019 and 2023. See his history.

Khachanov
French Open
Khachanov's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Paul
K.Khachanov
6h:38
6h:38
Time on court​
6h:09
6h:09
!
3h:38
3h:38
Last match​
!
3h:58
3h:58
2
2
Match played
2
2
86
86
Games Played​
81
81
9
9
Set played​​
8
8
276
276
Total points​
283
283
138
138
Avg point​
141.5
141.5
121
121
Winners
122
122
60.5
60.5
Avg Winners​
61
61
44%
44%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
16
16
5.5
5.5
Avg Aces
8
8
7
7
Double Faults
8
8
3.5
3.5
Avg Double Faults
4
4
121/170
121/170
1st won total​
122/159
122/159
!
71%
71%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
48/94
48/94
2nd won total​
43/97
43/97
51%
51%
2nd won %
44%
44%
-- Break Points --
15/35
15/35
BP won
12/28
12/28
7.5/17.5
7.5/17.5
Avg BP won
6/14
6/14
43%
43%
Won
43%
43%
20
20
Conceded
19
19
10
10
Avg Conceded
9.5
9.5
9
9
Broken
7
7
!
4.5
4.5
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
11
11
Saved
12
12

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paul Khachanov
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 9 8
Tot Games 86 81
Pts 276-250 283-254
Total Points 526 537
Winners 121 122
%Winners 44% 43%

Both Paul and Khachanov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul conceded 3 sets, while Karen Khachanov lost 2 sets. Paul has played 1 set more than Khachanov (9 vs 8). Therefore, Paul played 5 games more than Khachanov. The American scored 121 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Karen bagged 122 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paul Khachanov
Aces 11 16
Avg per match 5.5 8
1st in 170/264 159/256
%1st in 64% 62%
1st pts 121/170 122/159
%1st pts 71% 77%
2nd pts 48/94 43/97
%2nd pts 51% 44%

Paul bagged 11 aces (5.5 per match). Khachanov managed to score 16 aces (8 per match). Paul won 71% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paul Khachanov
Won 15 12
Converted 15/35 12/28
% Converted 43% 43%
Conceded 20 19
Saved 11 12
% Saved 55% 63%
Times Broken 9 7

Paul broke his opponents 15 times with a 43% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Paul
R1
Moller
R2
Fucsovics
Total
Score 6-75 6-2 6-3 6-1 4-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 4 5 9
Tot Games 37 49 86
pts 135-112 141-138 276-250
Total points 247 279 526
Winners 46 75 121
%Winners 34% 53% 44%
SERVE
Aces 5 6 11
Double Faults 4 3 7
1st in 72/126 98/138 170/264
% 1st in 57% 71% 64%
1st pts 46/72 75/98 121/170
% 1st pts 64% 77% 71%
2nd pts 31/54 17/40 48/94
% 2nd pts 57% 43% 51%
Breaks
Won 10 5 15
Converted 10/21 5/14 15/35
Converted % 48% 36% 43%
Conceded 9 11 20
Saved 5/9 6/11 11
Saved % 56% 55% 56%
Times Broken 4 5 9
Khachanov
R1
Vukic
R2
Ofner
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-4 7-5 3-6 7-5 4-6 6-2
Tot Set 3 5 8
Tot Games 30 51 81
pts 103-86 180-168 283-254
Total points 189 348 537
Winners 42 80 122
%Winners 41% 44% 43%
SERVE
Aces 9 7 16
Double Faults 1 7 8
1st in 54/87 105/169 159/256
% 1st in 62% 62% 62%
1st pts 42/54 80/105 122/159
% 1st pts 78% 76% 77%
2nd pts 17/33 26/64 43/97
% 2nd pts 52% 41% 44%
Breaks
Won 5 7 12
Converted 5/12 7/16 12/28
Converted % 42% 44% 43%
Conceded 4 15 19
Saved 2/4 10/15 12
Saved % 50% 67% 59%
Times Broken 2 5 7

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Paul
LWLWLLWWWW
Khachanov
WWLWWWWWLW
2025 2024 2023
27 - 12
29 - 17
11-5
Hard
12-7
3-1
I Hard
0-1
12-4
Clay
9-6
1-2
Grass
8-3

Tennis Scores – French Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw