Frances Tiafoe and Sebastian Korda will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:00 pm on Court SUZANNE-LENGLEN. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Korda who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sebastian Korda is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Korda -> 1.83
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.98

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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Sebastian Korda

This will be the 7th time that Frances Tiafoe and Sebastian Korda square off. The head to head is 3-3 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Korda won 6-4 6-4 in the semifinal in Washington back in 2024.

Highlights Sebastian Korda vs Frances Tiafoe – Washington 03-August-2024

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

15 - 12win/loss

Hard
5-5
I Hard
1-1
Clay
9-6
Rank
12
High
10
LLWWWWLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-14 5-5 11-7 1-1 0-1 0-0
2024 33-27 21-13 5-6 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 40-21 21-10 8-4 4-5 7-2 0-0
2022 35-25 19-11 8-6 5-5 3-3 0-0
2021 42-27 19-13 4-7 10-4 9-3 0-0

Ranked no. 16, Tiafoe got to the 3rd round after beating Roman Safiullin 6-4 7-5 6-4 and Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-4 6-3 6-1.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Carreno-Busta (6-4 6-3 6-1). During the match, Tiafoe scored 89 points vs Carreno-Busta’s 62. Francis was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about the service games, Tiafoe blasted 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Frances Tiafoe was extremely effective on serve to win 83% (33/40) of his 1st serve and 73% (19/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Carreno-Busta 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tiafoe hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.

Tiafoe has good record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (317-236). 9-6 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Tiafoe has a composed 71-53 match record in the last years on clay.

Francis’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Houston.

Tiafoe has an aggregate 15-12 win-loss record in 2025, 9-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

French Open
Tiafoe's Record

Sebastian Korda

Sebastian Korda

11 - 9win/loss

Hard
6-4
I Hard
0-1
Clay
5-4
Rank
33
High
15
LWWLWLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-10 6-4 5-5 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 31-19 17-9 5-5 2-2 7-3 0-0
2023 26-16 18-8 1-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2022 34-22 13-9 8-6 12-5 1-2 0-0
2021 36-20 12-8 6-5 13-5 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 23, the American reached the 3rd round after defeating Luciano Darderi 6-2 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Jenson Brooksby 6-1 6-2 7-6(2).

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (6-1 6-2 7-62). During the match Korda scored 107 points vs Brooksby’s 78. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Korda recorded 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Korda lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Korda put 59% of his first serves in, winning 69% (40/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Brooksby 7 times after converting 50% of his break points (7/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Korda has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Korda’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Adelaide.

Korda has a compiled 11-9 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2020. See his history.

French Open
Korda's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

F.Tiafoe
S.Korda
3h:58
3h:58
Time on court​
4h:32
4h:32
1h:37
1h:37
Last match​
!
2h:11
2h:11
2
2
Match played
2
2
58
58
Games Played​
63
63
6
6
Set played​​
7
7
195
195
Total points​
222
222
97.5
97.5
Avg point​
111
111
78
78
Winners
85
85
39
39
Avg Winners​
42.5
42.5
40%
40%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
18
18
Aces
10
10
9
9
Avg Aces
5
5
3
3
Double Faults
3
3
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
78/99
78/99
1st won total​
85/126
85/126
!
79%
79%
1st won %
67%
67%
44/66
44/66
2nd won total​
49/79
49/79
!
67%
67%
2nd won %
!
62%
62%
-- Break Points --
9/25
9/25
BP won
13/26
13/26
4.5/12.5
4.5/12.5
Avg BP won
6.5/13
6.5/13
36%
36%
Won
50%
50%
7
7
Conceded
15
15
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
7.5
7.5
1
1
Broken
5
5
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
6
6
Saved
10
10

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tiafoe Korda
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 7
Tot Games 58 63
Pts 195-150 222-166
Total Points 345 388
Winners 78 85
%Winners 40% 38%

Both Tiafoe and Korda played 2 matches. At the moment, Sebastian Korda conceded 1 set while Frances Tiafoe hasn’t lost a set so far. Tiafoe has played 1 set(s) less than Korda (6 vs 7). Therefore, Tiafoe played 5 games less than Korda. Francis scored 78 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The American struck 85 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tiafoe Korda
Aces 18 10
Avg per match 9 5
1st in 99/165 126/205
%1st in 60% 61%
1st pts 78/99 85/126
%1st pts 79% 67%
2nd pts 44/66 49/79
%2nd pts 67% 62%

Tiafoe managed to score 18 aces (9 per match). Korda fired 10 aces (5 per match). Tiafoe won 79% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tiafoe Korda
Won 9 13
Converted 9/25 13/26
% Converted 36% 50%
Conceded 7 15
Saved 6 10
% Saved 86% 67%
Times Broken 1 5

The American broke his opponents 9 times with a 36% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Korda conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Tiafoe
R1
Safiullin
R2
Carreno-Busta
Total
Score 6-4 7-5 6-4 6-4 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 32 26 58
pts 106-88 89-62 195-150
Total points 194 151 345
Winners 45 33 78
%Winners 42% 37% 40%
SERVE
Aces 9 9 18
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 59/99 40/66 99/165
% 1st in 60% 61% 60%
1st pts 45/59 33/40 78/99
% 1st pts 76% 83% 79%
2nd pts 25/40 19/26 44/66
% 2nd pts 63% 73% 67%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/12 5/13 9/25
Converted % 33% 38% 36%
Conceded 7 0 7
Saved 6/7 0/0 6
Saved % 86% 43%
Times Broken 1 0 1
Korda
R1
Darderi
R2
Brooksby
Total
Score 6-2 4-6 6-3 6-2 6-1 6-2 7-62
Tot Set 4 3 7
Tot Games 35 28 63
pts 115-88 107-78 222-166
Total points 203 185 388
Winners 45 40 85
%Winners 39% 37% 38%
SERVE
Aces 7 3 10
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 68/107 58/98 126/205
% 1st in 64% 59% 61%
1st pts 45/68 40/58 85/126
% 1st pts 66% 69% 67%
2nd pts 27/39 22/40 49/79
% 2nd pts 69% 55% 62%
Breaks
Won 6 7 13
Converted 6/12 7/14 13/26
Converted % 50% 50% 50%
Conceded 6 9 15
Saved 4/6 6/9 10
Saved % 67% 67% 67%
Times Broken 2 3 5

Tennis Scores – French Open

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