Lorenzo Musetti and Mariano Navone will play each other in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on Court SUZANNE-LENGLEN. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.127
Mariano Navone -> 6.05
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Mariano Navone
This will be the 3rd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Mariano Navone fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Musetti and Navone (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they played, Musetti won 7-6(2) 6-3 in the 2nd round in Paris back in 2024.
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-8 | 6-4 | 19-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7 (career-high), the Italian got to the 3rd round after beating Yannick Hanfmann 7-5 6-2 6-0 and Daniel Elahi Galan 6-4 6-0 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Lorenzo had a good straight sets win against Elahi Galan Riveros (6-4 6-0 6-4). During the match, Musetti scored 94 points vs Elahi Galan Riveros’s 68. Lorenzo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Musetti blasted 6 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 69% of his first serves in, winning 65% (37/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 73% (19/26) on the 2nd serve. Lorenzo broke Elahi Galan Riveros 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 59% of the points he played.
Musetti has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (242-168). 16-3 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a composed135-69 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Musetti’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Carlo.
Musetti has a composed 22-7 win-loss record in 2025, 16-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Mariano Navone
17 - 16win/loss
91
29
LWLWWLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-18 | 2-5 | 14-11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-28 | 2-7 | 27-14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-23 | 0-1 | 40-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 0-1 | 44-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-24 | 0-0 | 40-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 97, Mariano reached the 3rd round after beating Brandon Nakashima 7-6(2) 4-6 6-1 6-2 and Reilly Opelka 6-1 7-6(1) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Navone had a good straight sets win against Opelka (6-1 7-61 6-3). During the match Navone scored 111 points vs Opelka’s 87. The Argentine was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about serving, Navone recorded 3 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Mariano Navone was extremely effective on serve to win 72% (50/69) of his 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Mariano broke Opelka 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Navone has a composed 17-16 win-loss record in 2025, 14-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 67 |
| Pts | 195-136 | 255-205 |
| Total Points | 331 | 460 |
| Winners | 75 | 114 |
| %Winners | 38% | 45% |
Both Musetti and Navone played 2 matches. At the moment, Mariano Navone dropped 1 set while Lorenzo Musetti hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Musetti has played 1 set(s) less than Navone (6 vs 7). Therefore, Musetti played 15 games less than Navone. The Italian scored 75 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Mariano scored 114 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 103/153 | 163/237 |
| %1st in | 67% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 75/103 | 114/163 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 34/50 | 34/74 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 46% |
Musetti managed to score 11 aces (5.5 per match). Navone made 8 aces (4 per match). Musetti won 73% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Navone won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 14 |
| Converted | 12/25 | 14/33 |
| % Converted | 48% | 42% |
| Conceded | 7 | 30 |
| Saved | 6 | 22 |
| % Saved | 86% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 8 |
The Italian broke his opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Musetti surrendered his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Navone broke his opponents 14 times with a 42% conversion rate. Mariano conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Musetti | ||||
| R1 Hanfmann |
R2 Elahi Galan Riveros |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 6-0 | 6-4 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | 52 | |
| pts | 101-68 | 94-68 | 195-136 | |
| Total points | 169 | 162 | 331 | |
| Winners | 38 | 37 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 46/70 | 57/83 | 103/153 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 69% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 38/46 | 37/57 | 75/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 65% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 19/26 | 34/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 73% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/12 | 12/25 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | – | 86% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Navone | ||||
| R1 Nakashima |
R2 Opelka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 4-6 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 7-61 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 38 | 29 | 67 | |
| pts | 144-118 | 111-87 | 255-205 | |
| Total points | 262 | 198 | 460 | |
| Winners | 64 | 50 | 114 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 94/138 | 69/99 | 163/237 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 70% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 64/94 | 50/69 | 114/163 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 72% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/44 | 16/30 | 34/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 53% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 9/17 | 5/16 | 14/33 | |
| Converted % | 53% | 31% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 18 | 12 | 30 | |
| Saved | 12/18 | 10/12 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 83% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWLWWW
LWLWWLLWLW Tennis Scores – French Open
- Alexander BublikBublik – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (2-6 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 3-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Henrique RochaRocha – Jakub MensikMensik (2-6 1-6 6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Quentin HalysHalys – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (4-6 6-3 7-62 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (7-5 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-1 4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-1 6-2 7-62) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-3 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (6-1 7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo GiganteGigante – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 5-7 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Casper RuudRuud (2-6 6-4 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Emilio NavaNava (6-3 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Sebastian OfnerOfner (7-5 3-6 7-5 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-4 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (4-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (7-64 6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Vit KoprivaKopriva (6-2 4-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Hugo GastonGaston (w/o) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 3-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (2-6 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Henrique RochaRocha – Jakub MensikMensik (2-6 1-6 6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jack DraperDraper (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Tommy PaulPaul (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Sebastian KordaKorda (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Filip MisolicMisolic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Richard GasquetGasquet (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Mariano NavoneNavone (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-0) – H2H and prediction
