Rio Noguchi and Paul Jubb will square off in the 2^nd round of the Little Rock Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT 13. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paul Jubb who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Paul Jubb is the pick to win this match.
Paul Jubb -> 1.83
Rio Noguchi -> 1.89

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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Paul Jubb

This will be the 3^rd time that Rio Noguchi and Paul Jubb face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Jubb (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Jubb won 6-3 6-3 in the semifinal in M15 Sharm El Sheikh back in 2021.

Rio Noguchi

Ranked no. 246, the Japanese got to the 2^nd round after defeating Yi Zhou 6-4 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Rio had a good straight sets win against Zhou (6-4 6-4). During the match, Noguchi scored 66 points vs Zhou’s 59. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Noguchi wasn’t able to score even 1 ace and he committed only 2 double faults. Rio Noguchi conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 60% of his first serves in, winning 63% (24/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 80% (20/25) on the 2nd serve. Rio broke Zhou twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Noguchi has good record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (349-240). 20-12 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Noguchi has a compiled 244-152 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he defeated Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.

Noguchi has a compiled 20-12 win-loss record in 2025, 20-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Little Rock Challenger

The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.

Paul Jubb

Ranked no. 254, Jubb got to the 2^nd round after beating Karue Sell 7-5 6-3.

In the 1^st round, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Sell (7-5 6-3). During the match Jubb scored 76 points vs Sell’s 61. Paul was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Jubb managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Paul Jubb lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Jubb put 70% of his first serves in, winning 64% (28/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 74% (14/19) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Sell 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Jubb’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Santa margherita di Pula.

Paul has a composed 7-10 win-loss record in 2025, 1-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Noguchi	Jubb
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	21
Pts	66-59	76-61
Total Points	125	137
Winners	24	28
%Winners	36%	37%

Both Noguchi and Jubb played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Noguchi and Jubb have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Noguchi played 1 game less than Jubb. Rio scored 24 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Paul recorded 28 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Noguchi	Jubb
Aces	0	2
Avg per match	0	2
1st in	38/63	44/63
%1st in	60%	70%
1st pts	24/38	28/44
%1st pts	63%	64%
2nd pts	20/25	14/19
%2nd pts	80%	74%

Noguchi didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Jubb fired 2 aces . Noguchi won 63% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 80% of the points. On the other side, Jubb won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 74% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Noguchi	Jubb
Won	2	4
Converted	2/4	4/12
% Converted	50%	33%
Conceded	4	5
Saved	4	4
% Saved	100%	80%
Times Broken	0	1

The Japanese broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Noguchi pretty effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points. Paul broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Jubb conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Noguchi
	R1 Zhou	Total
Score	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	66-59	66-59
Total points	125	125
Winners	24	24
%Winners	36%	36%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	38/63	38/63
% 1st in	60%	60%
1st pts	24/38	24/38
% 1st pts	63%	63%
2nd pts	20/25	20/25
% 2nd pts	80%	80%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/4	2/4
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	4/4	4
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Jubb
	R1 Sell	Total
Score	7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	21
pts	76-61	76-61
Total points	137	137
Winners	28	28
%Winners	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	44/63	44/63
% 1st in	70%	70%
1st pts	28/44	28/44
% 1st pts	64%	64%
2nd pts	14/19	14/19
% 2nd pts	74%	74%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/12	4/12
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	4/5	4
Saved %	80%	80%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Little Rock Challenger

• Michael ZhengZheng – Christian LangmoLangmo (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Stefan KozlovKozlov – Aziz DougazDougaz (5-7 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Kenta MiyoshiMiyoshi – Santiago Rodriguez TavernaRodriguez Taverna (7-5 5-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Patrick KypsonKypson – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniel MilavskyMilavsky – Moerani BouzigeBouzige (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Yi ZhouZhou (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Paul JubbJubb – Karue SellSell (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Patrick MaloneyMaloney – Nicolas KickerKicker (5-7 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Andres AndradeAndrade – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (7-6⁴ 6-2) – See score progression
• Naoki NakagawaNakagawa – Alexander KotzenKotzen (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Liam DraxlDraxl – Rafael JodarJodar (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Nicolas MejiaMejia (7-6⁴ 6-0) – See score progression
• Andres MartinMartin – Hyeon ChungChung (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Adria Soriano BarreraSoriano Barrera – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (7-5 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Tyler ZinkZink – Tung-Lin WuWu (7-6³ 5-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Govind NandaNanda (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Patrick KypsonKypson – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniel MilavskyMilavsky – Moerani BouzigeBouzige (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Patrick MaloneyMaloney – Nicolas KickerKicker (5-7 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Liam DraxlDraxl – Rafael JodarJodar (7-5 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Adria Soriano BarreraSoriano Barrera – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Andres AndradeAndrade – Stefan KozlovKozlov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Naoki NakagawaNakagawa (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Patrick KypsonKypson – Tyler ZinkZink (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Paul JubbJubb (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Patrick MaloneyMaloney – Liam DraxlDraxl (0-4) – H2H and prediction