Madison Keys and Katie Boulter will play each other in the 2nd round of the French Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
Madison Keys -> 1.136
Katie Boulter -> 5.8
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Katie Boulter
There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Katie Boulter since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Madison Keys
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 30-9 | 19-3 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Keys got to the 2nd round after beating Daria Saville 6-2 6-1.
In the 1st round, Madison had a good straight sets win against Gavrilova (6-2 6-1). During the match, Keys scored 55 points vs Gavrilova’s 27. Keys was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Keys scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 66% of her first serves in, winning 83% (24/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. Keys broke Gavrilova 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Keys has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (252-129). 6-3 on clay in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has a composed 64-34 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1 and at the Australian Open where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.
Keys has a composed 25-6 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Katie Boulter
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 15-10 | 4-4 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
2024 | 38-23 | 24-12 | 3-6 | 3-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 40-20 | 22-12 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 10-4 | 4-0 |
2022 | 29-18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 16-7 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 28-15 | 12-9 | 5-1 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 38, Katie got to the 2nd round after beating Carole Monnet 6-7(4) 6-1 6-1.
In the 1st round against Monnet, Katie recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-1 6-1). During the match Boulter scored 98 points vs Monnet’s 74. The Brit was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Boulter scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Katie Boulter lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Boulter put 52% of her first serves in, winning 64% (25/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 72% (26/36) on the 2nd serve. Boulter broke Monnet 7 times after converting 44% of her break points (7/16).
Her best result of the current year was winning the title the Paris where she beat Chloe Paquet in the final 3-6 6-2 6-3.
Boulter has an overall 12-7 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Keys | Boulter |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
Tot Games | 15 | 27 |
Pts | 55-27 | 98-74 |
Total Points | 82 | 172 |
Winners | 24 | 25 |
%Winners | 44% | 26% |
Both Keys and Boulter played 1 match. At the moment, Katie Boulter conceded 1 set while Madison Keys hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Keys has played 1 set(s) less than Boulter (2 vs 3). Therefore, Keys played 12 games less than Boulter. Madison scored 24 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit fired 25 winners (26%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Keys | Boulter |
---|---|---|
Aces | 1 | 1 |
Avg per match | 1 | 1 |
1st in | 29/44 | 39/75 |
%1st in | 66% | 52% |
1st pts | 24/29 | 25/39 |
%1st pts | 83% | 64% |
2nd pts | 7/15 | 26/36 |
%2nd pts | 47% | 72% |
Keys managed to score 1 ace . Boulter also managed to score 1 ace . Keys won 83% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Boulter won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 72% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Keys | Boulter |
---|---|---|
Won | 5 | 7 |
Converted | 5/10 | 7/16 |
% Converted | 50% | 44% |
Conceded | 3 | 2 |
Saved | 2 | 0 |
% Saved | 67% | 0% |
Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The American broke her opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Keys surrendered her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The Brit broke her opponent 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Boulter conceded her serve twice and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded.
Keys | |||
R1 Gavrilova | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
pts | 55-27 | 55-27 | |
Total points | 82 | 82 | |
Winners | 24 | 24 | |
%Winners | 44% | 44% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 1 | 1 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
1st in | 29/44 | 29/44 | |
% 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
1st pts | 24/29 | 24/29 | |
% 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
2nd pts | 7/15 | 7/15 | |
% 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 5 | 5 | |
Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Boulter | |||
R1 Monnet | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-74 6-1 6-1 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
pts | 98-74 | 98-74 | |
Total points | 172 | 172 | |
Winners | 25 | 25 | |
%Winners | 26% | 26% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 1 | 1 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
1st in | 39/75 | 39/75 | |
% 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
1st pts | 25/39 | 25/39 | |
% 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
2nd pts | 26/36 | 26/36 | |
% 2nd pts | 72% | 72% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 7 | 7 | |
Converted | 7/16 | 7/16 | |
Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Tennis Scores – French Open
- Victoria MbokoMboko – Eva LysLys (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Emiliana ArangoArango (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rishab AgarwalAgarwal – Chanchin Sookton-EngSookton-Eng (3-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Shuichi SekiguchiSekiguchi – Chayanon KaewsutoKaewsuto (6-2 5-7 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Anton ChekhovChekhov (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Blake EllisEllis – Palaphoom KovapituktedKovapitukted (7-65 6-710 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander CrnokrakCrnokrak – Boris ButulijaButulija (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sidharth RawatRawat – Kasidit SamrejSamrej (4-6 6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Congsup CongcarCongcar – Alexander KlintcharovKlintcharov (6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Jose Fco. Vidal AzorinFco. Vidal Azorin (2-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jasmine PaoliniJasmine – Ajla TomljanovicAjla (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Clara TausonTauson – Arantxa RusRus (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leyre Romero GormazRomero Gormaz – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Bernarda PeraPera (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BondarBondar – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline DolehideDolehide – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Joanna GarlandGarland – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Leolia JeanjeanJeanjean (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alycia ParksParks – Elsa JacquemotJacquemot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ann LiLi – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Katie BoulterBoulter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Sofia KeninKenin (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Nao HibinoHibino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction