Madison Keys and Katie Boulter will play each other in the 2nd round of the French Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.136
Katie Boulter -> 5.8

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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Katie Boulter

There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Katie Boulter since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Madison Keys

Madison Keys

25 - 6win/loss

Hard
19-3
I Hard
0-0
Clay
6-3
Rank
8
High
5
LLWWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-9 19-3 9-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 8, Keys got to the 2nd round after beating Daria Saville 6-2 6-1.

In the 1st round, Madison had a good straight sets win against Gavrilova (6-2 6-1). During the match, Keys scored 55 points vs Gavrilova’s 27. Keys was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Keys scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 66% of her first serves in, winning 83% (24/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. Keys broke Gavrilova 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).

Keys has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (252-129). 6-3 on clay in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has a composed 64-34 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1 and at the Australian Open where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.

Keys has a composed 25-6 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

French Open
Keys's Record

Katie Boulter

Katie Boulter

12 - 7win/loss

Hard
4-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
8-3
Rank
43
High
23
LWWLWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-10 4-4 8-4 0-0 3-2 0-0
2024 38-23 24-12 3-6 3-2 8-3 0-0
2023 40-20 22-12 1-1 3-3 10-4 4-0
2022 29-18 4-7 0-0 16-7 9-4 0-0
2021 28-15 12-9 5-1 7-3 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 38, Katie got to the 2nd round after beating Carole Monnet 6-7(4) 6-1 6-1.

In the 1st round against Monnet, Katie recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-1 6-1). During the match Boulter scored 98 points vs Monnet’s 74. The Brit was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

About the serving games, Boulter scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Katie Boulter lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Boulter put 52% of her first serves in, winning 64% (25/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 72% (26/36) on the 2nd serve. Boulter broke Monnet 7 times after converting 44% of her break points (7/16).

Her best result of the current year was winning the title the Paris where she beat Chloe Paquet in the final 3-6 6-2 6-3.

Boulter has an overall 12-7 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See her history.

French Open
Boulter's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Keys
K.Boulter
0h:58
0h:58
Time on court​
!
2h:06
2h:06
!
0h:58
0h:58
Last match​
!
2h:06
2h:06
1
1
Match played
1
1
15
15
Games Played​
27
27
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
55
55
Total points​
98
98
55
55
Avg point​
98
98
24
24
Winners
25
25
24
24
Avg Winners​
25
25
44%
44%
Ratio winners
26%
26%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
1
1
1
1
Avg Aces
1
1
3
3
Double Faults
4
4
3
3
Avg Double Faults
4
4
24/29
24/29
1st won total​
25/39
25/39
!
83%
83%
1st won %
64%
64%
7/15
7/15
2nd won total​
26/36
26/36
47%
47%
2nd won %
!
72%
72%
-- Break Points --
5/10
5/10
BP won
7/16
7/16
5/10
5/10
Avg BP won
7/16
7/16
50%
50%
Won
44%
44%
3
3
Conceded
2
2
3
3
Avg Conceded
2
2
1
1
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
2
2
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Keys Boulter
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 15 27
Pts 55-27 98-74
Total Points 82 172
Winners 24 25
%Winners 44% 26%

Both Keys and Boulter played 1 match. At the moment, Katie Boulter conceded 1 set while Madison Keys hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Keys has played 1 set(s) less than Boulter (2 vs 3). Therefore, Keys played 12 games less than Boulter. Madison scored 24 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit fired 25 winners (26%).

Serve Performance

Serve Keys Boulter
Aces 1 1
Avg per match 1 1
1st in 29/44 39/75
%1st in 66% 52%
1st pts 24/29 25/39
%1st pts 83% 64%
2nd pts 7/15 26/36
%2nd pts 47% 72%

Keys managed to score 1 ace . Boulter also managed to score 1 ace . Keys won 83% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Boulter won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 72% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Keys Boulter
Won 5 7
Converted 5/10 7/16
% Converted 50% 44%
Conceded 3 2
Saved 2 0
% Saved 67% 0%
Times Broken 1 2

The American broke her opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Keys surrendered her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The Brit broke her opponent 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Boulter conceded her serve twice and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded.

Keys
R1
Gavrilova
Total
Score 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 15 15
pts 55-27 55-27
Total points 82 82
Winners 24 24
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 29/44 29/44
% 1st in 66% 66%
1st pts 24/29 24/29
% 1st pts 83% 83%
2nd pts 7/15 7/15
% 2nd pts 47% 47%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/10 5/10
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 1
Boulter
R1
Monnet
Total
Score 6-74 6-1 6-1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 27 27
pts 98-74 98-74
Total points 172 172
Winners 25 25
%Winners 26% 26%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 39/75 39/75
% 1st in 52% 52%
1st pts 25/39 25/39
% 1st pts 64% 64%
2nd pts 26/36 26/36
% 2nd pts 72% 72%
Breaks
Won 7 7
Converted 7/16 7/16
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 0/2 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 2 2

Tennis Scores – French Open

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