Ugo Humbert and Jacob Fearnley will square off in the 2nd round of the French Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on Court SIMONNE-MATHIEU. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ugo Humbert who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ugo Humbert is the pick to win this match.
Ugo Humbert -> 1.81
Jacob Fearnley -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Jacob Fearnley
There is no head to head record between Ugo Humbert and Jacob Fearnley since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-12 | 6-5 | 2-5 | 5-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-24 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, Ugo got to the 2nd round after beating Christopher O Connell 7-5 6-3 7-6(3).
In the 1st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against O Connell (7-5 6-3 7-63). During the match, Humbert scored 130 points vs O Connell’s 104. Humbert was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Humbert struck 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Ugo Humbert lost the serve 3 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Humbert put 55% of his first serves in, winning 63% (40/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (36/52) on the 2nd serve. Humbert broke O Connell 5 times after converting 29% of his break points (5/17).
Humbert has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (349-220). 2-4 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Humbert has an aggregate 49-54 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Marseille where he beat Hamad Medjedovic in the final 7-6(4) 6-4.
The French player has an overall 13-9 win-loss record in 2025, 2-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Jacob Fearnley
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-15 | 9-5 | 10-6 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-9 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 26-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 55, the Brit reached the 2nd round after beating Stan Wawrinka 7-6(6) 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round, Fearnley had a good straight sets win against Wawrinka (7-66 6-3 6-2). During the match Fearnley scored 98 points vs Wawrinka’s 80. Fearnley was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.
About the serving games, Fearnley bagged 9 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Jacob Fearnley lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Fearnley put 66% of his first serves in, winning 82% (50/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. Jacob broke Wawrinka 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
The Brit’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger.
Jacob has an aggregate 21-12 win-loss record in 2025, 9-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Fearnley has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Humbert | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 30 |
| Pts | 130-104 | 98-80 |
| Total Points | 234 | 178 |
| Winners | 40 | 50 |
| %Winners | 31% | 51% |
Both Humbert and Fearnley played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Humbert and Fearnley have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Humbert played 4 games more than Fearnley. Ugo scored 40 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Jacob recorded 50 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Humbert | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 9 |
| 1st in | 64/116 | 61/92 |
| %1st in | 55% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 40/64 | 50/61 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 36/52 | 14/31 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 45% |
Humbert bagged 8 aces . Fearnley blasted 9 aces . Humbert won 63% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Fearnley won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Humbert | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/17 | 5/7 |
| % Converted | 29% | 71% |
| Conceded | 15 | 5 |
| Saved | 12 | 3 |
| % Saved | 80% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Ugo broke his opponent 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. The French player dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Jacob broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Humbert | |||
| R1 O |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 130-104 | 130-104 | |
| Total points | 234 | 234 | |
| Winners | 40 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 64/116 | 64/116 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 40/64 | 40/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 36/52 | 36/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/17 | 5/17 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 15 | |
| Saved | 12/15 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Fearnley | |||
| R1 Wawrinka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 98-80 | 98-80 | |
| Total points | 178 | 178 | |
| Winners | 50 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 61/92 | 61/92 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 50/61 | 50/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/31 | 14/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLLLW
LWWLLWWLWL Tennis Scores – French Open
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- Ben SheltonShelton – Hugo GastonGaston (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexei PopyrinAlexei – Alejandro TabiloAlejandro (7-5 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
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