Alex De Minaur and Alexander Bublik will face off in the 2nd round of the French Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on Court 14. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.148
Alexander Bublik -> 5.5
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Alexander Bublik
This will be the 4th time that Alex De Minaur and Alexander Bublik clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, De Minaur won 7-5 6-0 in the 3rd round in Indian wells back in 2024.
Alex De Minaur
27 - 10win/loss
11
6
LLWLWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-12 | 12-5 | 10-5 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Alex got to the 2nd round after defeating Laslo Djere 6-3 6-4 7-6(6).
In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Djere (6-3 6-4 7-66). During the match, De Minaur scored 111 points vs Djere’s 96. Alex was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, De Minaur scored 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was extremely efficient on serve to win 74% (32/43) of his 1st serve and 61% (34/56) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. De Minaur broke Djere 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (386-215). 10-4 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, De Minaur has an aggregate 69-52 match record in the last years on clay.
The Australian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Rotterdam.
De Minaur has an overall 27-10 win-loss record in 2025, 10-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Alexander Bublik
19 - 15win/loss
30
17
WWWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-16 | 5-7 | 15-6 | 2-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 62, Alexander reached the 2nd round after defeating James Duckworth 6-2 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, Bublik had a good straight sets win against Duckworth (6-2 6-4 6-4). During the match Bublik scored 104 points vs Duckworth’s 79. Bublik was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Bublik fired 16 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Alexander Bublik was quite effective on serve to win 84% (43/51) of his 1st serve and 53% (21/40) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bublik broke Duckworth 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Turin Challenger where he beat Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3.
Alexander has a compiled 19-15 win-loss record in 2025, 12-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019, 2020, 2022 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 28 |
| Pts | 111-96 | 104-79 |
| Total Points | 207 | 183 |
| Winners | 32 | 43 |
| %Winners | 29% | 41% |
Both De Minaur and Bublik played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, De Minaur and Bublik have played the same amount of sets 3. However, De Minaur played 4 games more than Bublik. De Minaur scored 32 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Alexander scored 43 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 16 |
| 1st in | 43/99 | 51/91 |
| %1st in | 43% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 32/43 | 43/51 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 34/56 | 21/40 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 53% |
De Minaur blasted 2 aces . Bublik fired 16 aces . De Minaur won 74% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 84% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 80% | 44% |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 60% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
The Australian broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Bublik broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.
| De Minaur | |||
| R1 Djere |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 111-96 | 111-96 | |
| Total points | 207 | 207 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 43/99 | 43/99 | |
| % 1st in | 43% | 43% | |
| 1st pts | 32/43 | 32/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 34/56 | 34/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Bublik | |||
| R1 Duckworth |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 104-79 | 104-79 | |
| Total points | 183 | 183 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 16 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 51/91 | 51/91 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 43/51 | 43/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/40 | 21/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWLWWL
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