Ignacio Buse and Luca Castagnola will play each other in the 2nd round of the Vicenza Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ignacio Buse who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ignacio Buse is the pick to win this match.
Ignacio Buse -> 1.156
Luca Castagnola -> 4.75
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Prediction and head to head Ignacio Buse vs. Luca Castagnola
There is no head to head record between Ignacio Buse and Luca Castagnola since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Ignacio Buse
15 - 14win/loss
104
104
LWWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 49-28 | 6-5 | 42-19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-28 | 3-3 | 44-24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-19 | 7-3 | 28-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-8 | 4-2 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 192, the Peruvian reached the 2nd round after beating Alejandro Moro Canas 6-4 2-6 7-5.
In the 1st round, Buse defeated Moro Canas (6-4 2-6 7-5). During the match, Buse scored 97 points vs Moro Canas’s 92. Buse was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Buse scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Ignacio Buse lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Buse put 57% of his first serves in, winning 75% (39/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (19/39) on the 2nd serve. Ignacio broke Moro Canas 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Buse has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 59% of his matches (113-77). 14-9 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Buse has an aggregate98-63 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
Buse’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Santiago Challenger,the Menorca Challenger and the Aix En Provence Challenger.
Buse has a compiled 15-14 win-loss record in 2025, 14-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Vicenza Challenger
Ignacio has never competed in this tournament before.
Luca Castagnola
16 - 12win/loss
664
575
LLLWLWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-32 | 14-15 | 13-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-30 | 14-11 | 10-17 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-31 | 10-6 | 31-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-31 | 5-3 | 44-27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-20 | 14-9 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 644, Castagnola got to the 2nd round after beating Luka Pavlovic 6-4 4-6 7-5.
In the 1st round, Luca defeated Pavlovic (6-4 4-6 7-5). During the match Castagnola scored 113 points vs Pavlovic’s 110. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 58 winners.
Talking about serving, Castagnola wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Luca Castagnola lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Castagnola put 81% of his first serves in, winning 64% (58/91) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the 2nd serve. Luca broke Pavlovic 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).
The Italian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Monastir.
The Italian has an overall 16-12 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Buse | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 32 |
| Pts | 97-92 | 113-110 |
| Total Points | 189 | 223 |
| Winners | 39 | 58 |
| %Winners | 40% | 51% |
Both Buse and Castagnola played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Ignacio Buse surrendered 1 set, while Luca Castagnola conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Buse and Castagnola have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Buse played 2 games less than Castagnola. Ignacio scored 39 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Luca blasted 58 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Buse | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 0 |
| 1st in | 52/91 | 91/113 |
| %1st in | 57% | 81% |
| 1st pts | 39/52 | 58/91 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 19/39 | 14/22 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 64% |
Buse managed to score 1 ace . Castagnola didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Buse won 75% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Castagnola won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Buse | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/10 | 3/13 |
| % Converted | 40% | 23% |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 |
| Saved | 7 | 9 |
| % Saved | 64% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Buse broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Buse dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Castagnola broke his opponent 3 times with a 23% conversion rate. Castagnola conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Buse | |||
| R1 Moro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 2-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 97-92 | 97-92 | |
| Total points | 189 | 189 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 52/91 | 52/91 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 39/52 | 39/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/39 | 19/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Castagnola | |||
| R1 Pavlovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 113-110 | 113-110 | |
| Total points | 223 | 223 | |
| Winners | 58 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 91/113 | 91/113 | |
| % 1st in | 81% | 81% | |
| 1st pts | 58/91 | 58/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 14/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/13 | 3/13 | |
| Converted % | 23% | 23% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 9/11 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWLWW
LLLWLWLWLL Tennis Scores in Vicenza Challenger
- Federico BondioliBondioli – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Adolfo Daniel VallejoDaniel Vallejo – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (6-74 6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Murkel DellienDellien (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Luca CastagnolaCastagnola – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi (6-2 7-66) – See score progression
- Jerome KymKym – Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh (6-4 6-76 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Ignacio BuseBuse – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (6-4 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Lukas NeumayerNeumayer – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (6-2 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – Gauthier OnclinOnclin (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Lorenzo CarboniCarboni – Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Murkel DellienDellien (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Federico BondioliBondioli – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (7-6(3) 6-2) – See score progression
- Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi (6-2 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Luca CastagnolaCastagnola – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Adolfo Daniel VallejoDaniel Vallejo – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (6-7(4) 6-3 7-6(6)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Facundo MenaMena – Jozef KovalikKovalik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – August HolmgrenHolmgren (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Chris RodeschRodesch – Mathys ErhardErhard (0-0) – H2H and prediction
