Frances Tiafoe and Pablo Carreno-Busta will face off in the 2nd round of the French Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on Court 7. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Frances Tiafoe who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Frances Tiafoe is the pick to win this match.
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.6
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 2.34

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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

This will be the 2nd time that Frances Tiafoe and Pablo Carreno-Busta square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Tiafoe (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Tiafoe won 6-2 6-3 in the semifinal in Estoril back in 2018.

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

14 - 12win/loss

Hard
5-5
I Hard
1-1
Clay
8-6
Rank
30
High
10
LLLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-23 13-13 11-7 1-1 1-2 0-0
2024 33-27 21-13 5-6 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 40-21 21-10 8-4 4-5 7-2 0-0
2022 35-25 19-11 8-6 5-5 3-3 0-0
2021 42-27 19-13 4-7 10-4 9-3 0-0

Ranked no. 16, Tiafoe reached the 2nd round after beating Roman Safiullin 6-4 7-5 6-4.

In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Safiullin (6-4 7-5 6-4). During the match, Tiafoe scored 106 points vs Safiullin’s 88. Tiafoe was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about the service games, Tiafoe managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Frances Tiafoe was quite effective on serve to win 76% (45/59) of his 1st serve and 63% (25/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Safiullin 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Tiafoe has good match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (316-236). 8-6 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tiafoe has a compiled 70-53 record in the last years on clay.

Tiafoe’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Houston.

The American has an overall 14-12 win-loss record in 2025, 8-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

French Open
Tiafoe's Record

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Pablo Carreno-Busta

21 - 14win/loss

Hard
13-5
I Hard
1-1
Clay
7-8
Rank
89
High
10
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-26 25-10 14-14 1-2 0-0 0-0
2024 10-12 7-6 2-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 2-5 2-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 99, the Spaniard got to the 2nd round after defeating Francisco Comesana 6-2 7-6(3) 7-5.

In the 1st round, Pablo had a good straight sets win against Comesana (6-2 7-63 7-5). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 124 points vs Comesana’s 100. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 56 winners.

Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 66% of his first serves in, winning 72% (56/78) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (20/40) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Comesana 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he defeated Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he defeated Filip Misolic in the final 6-3 6-2.

The Spaniard has a compiled 21-14 win-loss record in 2025, 7-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2017 and 2020. See his history.

French Open
Carreno-Busta's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

F.Tiafoe
P.Carreno-Busta
2h:21
2h:21
Time on court​
2h:50
2h:50
!
2h:21
2h:21
Last match​
!
2h:50
2h:50
1
1
Match played
1
1
32
32
Games Played​
33
33
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
106
106
Total points​
124
124
106
106
Avg point​
124
124
45
45
Winners
56
56
45
45
Avg Winners​
56
56
42%
42%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
0
0
9
9
Avg Aces
0
0
1
1
Double Faults
3
3
1
1
Avg Double Faults
3
3
45/59
45/59
1st won total​
56/78
56/78
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
25/40
25/40
2nd won total​
20/40
20/40
!
63%
63%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
4/12
4/12
BP won
5/8
5/8
4/12
4/12
Avg BP won
5/8
5/8
33%
33%
Won
!
63%
63%
7
7
Conceded
7
7
7
7
Avg Conceded
7
7
1
1
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
6
6
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tiafoe Carreno-Busta
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 32 33
Pts 106-88 124-100
Total Points 194 224
Winners 45 56
%Winners 42% 45%

Both Tiafoe and Carreno-Busta played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Tiafoe and Carreno-Busta have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Tiafoe played 1 game less than Carreno-Busta. The American scored 45 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard struck 56 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tiafoe Carreno-Busta
Aces 9 0
Avg per match 9 0
1st in 59/99 78/118
%1st in 60% 66%
1st pts 45/59 56/78
%1st pts 76% 72%
2nd pts 25/40 20/40
%2nd pts 63% 50%

Tiafoe scored 9 aces . Carreno-Busta didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Tiafoe won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tiafoe Carreno-Busta
Won 4 5
Converted 4/12 5/8
% Converted 33% 63%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 6 5
% Saved 86% 71%
Times Broken 1 2

The American broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The American lost his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Carreno-Busta broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Tiafoe
R1
Safiullin
Total
Score 6-4 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 32 32
pts 106-88 106-88
Total points 194 194
Winners 45 45
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 59/99 59/99
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 45/59 45/59
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 25/40 25/40
% 2nd pts 63% 63%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/12
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 6/7 6
Saved % 86% 86%
Times Broken 1 1
Carreno-Busta
R1
Comesana
Total
Score 6-2 7-63 7-5
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 33 33
pts 124-100 124-100
Total points 224 224
Winners 56 56
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 78/118 78/118
% 1st in 66% 66%
1st pts 56/78 56/78
% 1st pts 72% 72%
2nd pts 20/40 20/40
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/8 5/8
Converted % 63% 63%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 5/7 5
Saved % 71% 71%
Times Broken 2 2

Tennis Scores – French Open

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