Frances Tiafoe and Pablo Carreno-Busta will face off in the 2nd round of the French Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on Court 7. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Frances Tiafoe who should win in 5 sets.
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.6
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 2.34
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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
This will be the 2nd time that Frances Tiafoe and Pablo Carreno-Busta square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Tiafoe (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Tiafoe won 6-2 6-3 in the semifinal in Estoril back in 2018.
Frances Tiafoe
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-23 | 13-13 | 11-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-27 | 21-13 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-21 | 21-10 | 8-4 | 4-5 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-25 | 19-11 | 8-6 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 10-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, Tiafoe reached the 2nd round after beating Roman Safiullin 6-4 7-5 6-4.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Safiullin (6-4 7-5 6-4). During the match, Tiafoe scored 106 points vs Safiullin’s 88. Tiafoe was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tiafoe managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Frances Tiafoe was quite effective on serve to win 76% (45/59) of his 1st serve and 63% (25/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Safiullin 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Tiafoe has good match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (316-236). 8-6 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tiafoe has a compiled 70-53 record in the last years on clay.
Tiafoe’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Houston.
The American has an overall 14-12 win-loss record in 2025, 8-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Pablo Carreno-Busta
21 - 14win/loss
89
10
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-26 | 25-10 | 14-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 99, the Spaniard got to the 2nd round after defeating Francisco Comesana 6-2 7-6(3) 7-5.
In the 1st round, Pablo had a good straight sets win against Comesana (6-2 7-63 7-5). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 124 points vs Comesana’s 100. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 56 winners.
Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 66% of his first serves in, winning 72% (56/78) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (20/40) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Comesana 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he defeated Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he defeated Filip Misolic in the final 6-3 6-2.
The Spaniard has a compiled 21-14 win-loss record in 2025, 7-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2017 and 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tiafoe | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 33 |
| Pts | 106-88 | 124-100 |
| Total Points | 194 | 224 |
| Winners | 45 | 56 |
| %Winners | 42% | 45% |
Both Tiafoe and Carreno-Busta played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Tiafoe and Carreno-Busta have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Tiafoe played 1 game less than Carreno-Busta. The American scored 45 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard struck 56 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tiafoe | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 0 |
| 1st in | 59/99 | 78/118 |
| %1st in | 60% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 45/59 | 56/78 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 25/40 | 20/40 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 50% |
Tiafoe scored 9 aces . Carreno-Busta didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Tiafoe won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tiafoe | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/12 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 33% | 63% |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Saved | 6 | 5 |
| % Saved | 86% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The American broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The American lost his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Carreno-Busta broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tiafoe | |||
| R1 Safiullin | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 106-88 | 106-88 | |
| Total points | 194 | 194 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 59/99 | 59/99 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 45/59 | 45/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/40 | 25/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Carreno-Busta | |||
| R1 Comesana | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-63 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 124-100 | 124-100 | |
| Total points | 224 | 224 | |
| Winners | 56 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 78/118 | 78/118 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 56/78 | 56/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/40 | 20/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores – French Open
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-2 6-3 2-6 0-0) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Laslo DjereDjere (6-3 6-4 7-66) – See score progression
- Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (4-6 6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-73 6-74 6-4 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Filip MisolicMisolic – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (5-7 7-63 7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-5 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Taylor FritzFritz (7-5 3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-3 6-4 6-76 6-3) – See score progression
- Hugo GastonGaston – Ugo BlanchetBlanchet (2-6 6-0 2-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-4 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (6-3 6-2 6-74 6-3) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-4 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-2 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Marcos GironGiron (4-6 6-3 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (7-5 6-4 1-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Arthur CazauxCazaux (5-7 6-3 6-2 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Richard GasquetGasquet – Terence AtmaneAtmane (6-2 2-6 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-2 4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (7-66 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-5 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (7-65 6-3 6-75 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-74 6-4 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (7-5 6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-4 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-2 7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Luca NardiNardi (6-2 6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Zizou BergsBergs (4-6 6-3 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Elmer MollerMoller (6-75 6-2 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 4-6 3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Rinky HijikataHijikata (1-6 6-3 7-5 7-63) – See score progression
- Emilio NavaNava – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-2 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (3-6 6-4 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Jaime FariaFaria (6-1 3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (7-62 4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-3 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Valentin RoyerRoyer (7-66 6-3 3-6 6-74 7-5) – See score progression
- Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (6-3 6-3 7-62) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-4 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Quentin HalysHalys – Tomas MachacMachac (7-64 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-4 6-3 4-6 6-76 6-1) – See score progression
- Matteo GiganteGigante – Benjamin HassanHassan (6-4 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (7-5 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Kyrian JacquetJacquet (3-6 6-73 6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Laslo DjereDjere (6-3 6-4 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-2 6-4 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-2 6-3 2-6 0-0) – See score progression
- Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (4-6 6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Hugo DellienDellien (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marin CilicCilic – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Tommy PaulPaul (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-5) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maximilian MartererMarterer – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – James DuckworthDuckworth (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Mariano NavoneNavone (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Lloyd HarrisHarris (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Filip MisolicMisolic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Clement TaburTabur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Richard GasquetGasquet (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emilio NavaNava – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Francesco PassaroPassaro (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-0) – H2H and prediction