Andrey Rublev and Felix Auger-Aliassime will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Hamburg Open for the 8^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.7
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 2.15

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime

This will be the 8^th time that Andrey Rublev and Felix Auger-Aliassime fight against each other. The head to head is 6-1 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Rublev won 7-5 4-6 7-6(5) in the semifinal in Doha back in February 2025.

Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime – Doha 21-February-2025

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 17, Rublev reached the semifinal after beating Damir Dzumhur 6-4 6-3, Justin Engel 6-3 7-5 and Luciano Darderi 6-1 3-6 6-3.

In the quarter, Andrey defeated Darderi (6-1 3-6 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 85 points vs Darderi’s 72. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rublev bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 60% of his first serves in, winning 81% (39/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. Andrey broke Darderi 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Andrey has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (419-233). 5-4 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has a compiled 101-61 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Doha where he beat Jack Draper in the final 7-5 5-7 6-1.

Rublev has an aggregate 14-11 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hamburg

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranked no. 30, the Canadian got to the semifinal after beating Daniel Altmaier 6-3 6-3, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-2 6-4 and Alexandre Muller 7-6(4) 6-7(6) 6-3.

In the quarter, Auger-Aliassime defeated Muller (7-6⁴ 6-7⁶ 6-3). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 114 points vs Muller’s 109. The Canadian was quite aggressive to blast 50 winners.

About the serving games, Auger-Aliassime managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Felix Auger-Aliassime was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (50/70) of his 1st serve and 52% (23/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Felix broke Muller 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Auger-Aliassime has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Adelaide where he overcame Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 3-6 6-1 and in Montpellier where he defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-2 6-7(7) 7-6(2).

Auger-Aliassime has an overall 20-11 win-loss record in 2025, 3-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rublev	Auger-Aliassime
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	7
Tot Games	65	71
Pts	234-199	237-193
Total Points	433	430
Winners	102	107
%Winners	44%	45%

Both Rublev and Auger-Aliassime played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev lost 1 set, while Felix Auger-Aliassime dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Rublev and Auger-Aliassime have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Rublev played 6 games less than Auger-Aliassime. Andrey scored 102 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Felix fired 107 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rublev	Auger-Aliassime
Aces	15	18
Avg per match	5	6
1st in	128/226	137/210
%1st in	57%	65%
1st pts	102/128	107/137
%1st pts	80%	78%
2nd pts	42/98	39/73
%2nd pts	43%	53%

Rublev scored 15 aces (5 per match). Auger-Aliassime made 18 aces (6 per match). Rublev won 80% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rublev	Auger-Aliassime
Won	11	11
Converted	11/29	11/22
% Converted	38%	50%
Conceded	18	10
Saved	13	7
% Saved	72%	70%
Times Broken	5	3

Rublev broke his opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
	R1 Dzumhur	R2 Engel	1/4 Darderi	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	6-3 7-5	6-1 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	19	21	25	65
pts	70-62	79-65	85-72	234-199
Total points	132	144	157	433
Winners	29	34	39	102
%Winners	41%	43%	46%	44%
SERVE
Aces	3	7	5	15
Double Faults	1	3	2	6
1st in	35/67	45/79	48/80	128/226
% 1st in	52%	57%	60%	57%
1st pts	29/35	34/45	39/48	102/128
% 1st pts	83%	76%	81%	80%
2nd pts	11/32	15/34	16/32	42/98
% 2nd pts	34%	44%	50%	43%
Breaks
Won	4	4	3	11
Converted	4/9	4/13	3/7	11/29
Converted %	44%	31%	43%	38%
Conceded	5	7	6	18
Saved	3/5	5/7	5/6	13
Saved %	60%	71%	83%	71%
Times Broken	2	2	1	5

Auger-Aliassime
	R1 Altmaier	R2 Mpetshi	1/4 Muller	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	6-2 6-4	7-64 6-76 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	18	18	35	71
pts	62-45	61-39	114-109	237-193
Total points	107	100	223	430
Winners	29	28	50	107
%Winners	47%	46%	44%	45%
SERVE
Aces	5	7	6	18
Double Faults	1	1	3	5
1st in	33/48	34/48	70/114	137/210
% 1st in	69%	71%	61%	65%
1st pts	29/33	28/34	50/70	107/137
% 1st pts	88%	82%	71%	78%
2nd pts	8/15	8/14	23/44	39/73
% 2nd pts	53%	57%	52%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	4	4	11
Converted	3/6	4/4	4/12	11/22
Converted %	50%	100%	33%	50%
Conceded	1	3	6	10
Saved	1/1	2/3	4/6	7
Saved %	100%	67%	67%	78%
Times Broken	0	1	2	3

Tennis Scores in Hamburg

• Andrey RublevRublev – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski – Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (w/o) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (7-6⁴ 6-0) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Alexandre MullerMuller (7-6⁴ 6-7⁶ 6-3) – See score progression
• Andres Molteni/Fernando RomboliMolteni/Fernando Romboli – Sander Arends/Luke JohnsonArends/Luke Johnson (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Jamie Murray/Rajeev RamMurray/Rajeev Ram (6-2 3-6 10-5) – See score progression
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alexandre MullerMuller (7-6(4) 6-7(6) 6-3) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (7-6(4) 6-0) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Flavio CobolliCobolli (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Andrey RublevRublev (1-6) – H2H and prediction