Elena Rybakina and Beatriz Haddad Maia will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Internationaux de Strasbourg for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:30 pm on COURT PATRICE DOMINGUEZ. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.4
Beatriz Haddad Maia -> 2.95

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Beatriz Haddad Maia

This will be the 4^th time that Elena Rybakina and Beatriz Haddad Maia clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Haddad Maia (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Rybakina won 4-1 ret. in the 4^th round in at the Wimbledon back in 2023.

Elena Rybakina

Ranked no. 12, Elena reached the semifinal after defeating Xinyu Wang 6-1 6-3 and Magda Linette 7-5 6-3.

In the quarter, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Linette (7-5 6-3). During the match, Rybakina scored 75 points vs Linette’s 61. Rybakina was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rybakina managed to score 7 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Elena Rybakina was pretty effective on serve to win 82% (31/38) of her 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Elena broke Linette twice after converting 22% of her break points (2/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Elena hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points she played.

Rybakina has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (346-150). 4-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has a composed 85-37 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Rybakina’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Australia, Abu Dhabi and Dubai.

The Kazakhstani has a composed 21-9 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Strasbourg

Beatriz Haddad Maia

Ranked no. 23, Haddad Maia got to the semifinal after defeating Clara Tauson 3-6 6-4 7-5, Ashlyn Krueger 7-6(3) 6-3 and Emma Navarro 3-6 7-6(3) 6-2.

In the quarter against Navarro, Beatriz recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-6³ 6-2). During the match Haddad Maia scored 111 points vs Navarro’s 103. The Brazilian was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Haddad Maia fired 2 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Beatriz Haddad Maia lost the serve 5 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Haddad Maia put 69% of her first serves in, winning 61% (45/74) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. Haddad Maia broke Navarro 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brazilian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

The Brazilian has an aggregate 6-14 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Strasbourg

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See her history

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rybakina	Haddad Maia
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	4	8
Tot Games	37	83
Pts	135-99	287-258
Total Points	234	545
Winners	53	117
%Winners	39%	41%

Rybakina played 2 matches while Haddad Maia competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Beatriz Haddad Maia lost 2 sets while Elena Rybakina hasn’t lost a set so far. Rybakina has played 4 set(s) less than Haddad Maia (4 vs 8). Therefore, Rybakina played 46 games less than Haddad Maia. Rybakina scored 53 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Beatriz fired 117 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rybakina	Haddad Maia
Aces	13	6
Avg per match	6.5	2
1st in	66/108	174/269
%1st in	61%	65%
1st pts	53/66	117/174
%1st pts	80%	67%
2nd pts	28/42	45/95
%2nd pts	67%	47%

Rybakina managed to score 13 aces (6.5 per match). Haddad Maia managed to score 6 aces (2 per match). Rybakina won 80% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Haddad Maia won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rybakina	Haddad Maia
Won	6	14
Converted	6/19	14/26
% Converted	32%	54%
Conceded	4	25
Saved	4	14
% Saved	100%	56%
Times Broken	0	11

Rybakina broke her opponents 6 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani pretty effective on her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 4 break points. Haddad Maia broke her opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. Beatriz conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
	R2 Wang	1/4 Linette	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	16	21	37
pts	60-38	75-61	135-99
Total points	98	136	234
Winners	22	31	53
%Winners	37%	41%	39%
SERVE
Aces	6	7	13
Double Faults	0	1	1
1st in	28/45	38/63	66/108
% 1st in	62%	60%	61%
1st pts	22/28	31/38	53/66
% 1st pts	79%	82%	80%
2nd pts	12/17	16/25	28/42
% 2nd pts	71%	64%	67%
Breaks
Won	4	2	6
Converted	4/10	2/9	6/19
Converted %	40%	22%	32%
Conceded	2	2	4
Saved	2/2	2/2	4
Saved %	100%	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Haddad Maia
	R1 Tauson	R2 Krueger	1/4 Navarro	Total
Score	3-6 6-4 7-5	7-63 6-3	3-6 7-63 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	31	22	30	83
pts	99-94	77-61	111-103	287-258
Total points	193	138	214	545
Winners	46	26	45	117
%Winners	46%	34%	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	1	3	2	6
Double Faults	7	2	6	15
1st in	63/102	37/59	74/108	174/269
% 1st in	62%	63%	69%	65%
1st pts	46/63	26/37	45/74	117/174
% 1st pts	73%	70%	61%	67%
2nd pts	19/39	11/22	15/34	45/95
% 2nd pts	49%	50%	44%	47%
Breaks
Won	3	5	6	14
Converted	3/4	5/10	6/12	14/26
Converted %	75%	50%	50%	54%
Conceded	7	4	14	25
Saved	4/7	1/4	9/14	14
Saved %	57%	25%	64%	73%
Times Broken	3	3	5	11

Tennis Scores in Strasbourg

• Timea Babos/Luisa StefaniBabos/Luisa Stefani – Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin Routliffe (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Markus ErikssonEriksson – Fabrizio OrnagoOrnago (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Evgeny TyurnevTyurnev – Danylo KalenichenkoKalenichenko (3-6 6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-2) – H2H and prediction