H2H, prediction of Novak Djokovic vs Matteo Arnaldi in Geneva with odds, preview, pick | 22nd May 2025

PREVIEW. Geneva. Djokovic and Arnaldi will face off in the quarter of the Gonet Geneva Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Thursday the 22nd of May

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Matteo Arnaldi

Novak Djokovic and Matteo Arnaldi will clash against each other in the quarter of the Gonet Geneva Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.27
Matteo Arnaldi -> 3.76

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Matteo Arnaldi

This will be the 2nd time that Novak Djokovic and Matteo Arnaldi clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Arnaldi won 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in Madrid back in April 2025.

Highlights Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic – Madrid 26-April-2025

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic

13 - 7win/loss

Hard
12-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
1-2
Rank
6
High
1
WWLWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-8 12-5 9-3 0-0 2-0 0-0
2024 37-9 15-5 16-3 1-0 5-1 0-0
2023 56-7 27-1 12-3 11-2 6-1 0-0
2022 42-7 2-1 14-4 19-2 7-0 0-0
2021 55-7 19-3 18-3 11-1 7-0 0-0

Ranked no. 6, Novak got to the quarter after defeating Marton Fucsovics 6-2 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Novak had a good straight sets win against Fucsovics (6-2 6-3). During the match, Djokovic scored 64 points vs Fucsovics’s 37. Novak was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Djokovic bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Novak Djokovic was quite effective on serve to win 80% (28/35) of his 1st serve and 77% (10/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Novak broke Fucsovics 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Djokovic has an extraordinary record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (451-83). 1-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Djokovic has an aggregate 126-30 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Novak’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Miami.

The Serbian has a compiled 13-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Geneva

Djokovic
Geneva
Djokovic's Record

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi
Matteo Arnaldi

14 - 11win/loss

Hard
6-6
I Hard
2-1
Clay
6-4
Rank
43
High
30
LLLWLWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-15 6-6 7-6 2-1 0-2 0-0
2024 29-26 17-13 10-9 1-2 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 39, the Italian reached the quarter after defeating Hugo Gaston 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4 and Fabian Marozsan 6-3 7-6(3).

In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Marozsan (6-3 7-63). During the match Arnaldi scored 82 points vs Marozsan’s 69. Matteo was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Arnaldi struck 5 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Matteo Arnaldi conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 63% of his first serves in, winning 70% (33/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 71% (20/28) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Marozsan once after converting 17% of his break points (1/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Arnaldi has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Matteo’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.

Arnaldi has an overall 14-11 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Geneva

Matteo has never competed in this tournament before.

Arnaldi
Geneva
Arnaldi's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

N.Djokovic
M.Arnaldi
1h:17
1h:17
Time on court​
!
4h:16
4h:16
1h:17
1h:17
Last match​
1h:52
1h:52
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
17
17
Games Played​
55
55
2
2
Set played​​
5
5
64
64
Total points​
180
180
64
64
Avg point​
90
90
28
28
Winners
76
76
28
28
Avg Winners​
38
38
44%
44%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
13
13
4
4
Avg Aces
6.5
6.5
1
1
Double Faults
4
4
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2
2
28/35
28/35
1st won total​
76/105
76/105
!
80%
80%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
10/13
10/13
2nd won total​
38/65
38/65
!
77%
77%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
3/6
3/6
BP won
6/15
6/15
3/6
3/6
Avg BP won
3/7.5
3/7.5
50%
50%
Won
40%
40%
0
0
Conceded
10
10
0
0
Avg Conceded
5
5
0
0
Broken
3
3
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
0
0
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Djokovic Arnaldi
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 17 55
Pts 64-37 180-161
Total Points 101 341
Winners 28 76
%Winners 44% 42%

Djokovic played 1 match while Arnaldi competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Matteo Arnaldi surrendered 1 set while Novak Djokovic hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Djokovic has played 3 set(s) less than Arnaldi (2 vs 5). Therefore, Djokovic played 38 games less than Arnaldi. Novak scored 28 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo recorded 76 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Djokovic Arnaldi
Aces 4 13
Avg per match 4 6.5
1st in 35/48 105/170
%1st in 73% 62%
1st pts 28/35 76/105
%1st pts 80% 72%
2nd pts 10/13 38/65
%2nd pts 77% 58%

Djokovic scored 4 aces . Arnaldi bagged 13 aces (6.5 per match). Djokovic won 80% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 77% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Djokovic Arnaldi
Won 3 6
Converted 3/6 6/15
% Converted 50% 40%
Conceded 0 10
Saved 0 7
% Saved 0% 70%
Times Broken 0 3

Djokovic broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Djokovic very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Italian broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Djokovic
R2
Fucsovics
Total
Score 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 64-37 64-37
Total points 101 101
Winners 28 28
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 35/48 35/48
% 1st in 73% 73%
1st pts 28/35 28/35
% 1st pts 80% 80%
2nd pts 10/13 10/13
% 2nd pts 77% 77%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/6 3/6
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Arnaldi
R1
Gaston
R2
Marozsan
Total
Score 6-76 6-4 6-4 6-3 7-63
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 33 22 55
pts 98-92 82-69 180-161
Total points 190 151 341
Winners 43 33 76
%Winners 44% 40% 42%
SERVE
Aces 8 5 13
Double Faults 4 0 4
1st in 58/95 47/75 105/170
% 1st in 61% 63% 62%
1st pts 43/58 33/47 76/105
% 1st pts 74% 70% 72%
2nd pts 18/37 20/28 38/65
% 2nd pts 49% 71% 58%
Breaks
Won 5 1 6
Converted 5/9 1/6 6/15
Converted % 56% 17% 40%
Conceded 8 2 10
Saved 5/8 2/2 7
Saved % 63% 100% 163%
Times Broken 3 0 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Djokovic
WWLWWWWWWW
Arnaldi
LLLWLWWLLW
2025 2024 2023
23 - 8
15 - 15
12-5
Hard
6-6
0-0
I Hard
2-1
9-3
Clay
7-6
2-0
Grass
0-2
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

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