
Novak Djokovic and Matteo Arnaldi will clash against each other in the quarter of the Gonet Geneva Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.27
Matteo Arnaldi -> 3.76
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Matteo Arnaldi
This will be the 2nd time that Novak Djokovic and Matteo Arnaldi clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Arnaldi won 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in Madrid back in April 2025.
Highlights Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic – Madrid 26-April-2025
Novak Djokovic
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 23-8 | 12-5 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Novak got to the quarter after defeating Marton Fucsovics 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Novak had a good straight sets win against Fucsovics (6-2 6-3). During the match, Djokovic scored 64 points vs Fucsovics’s 37. Novak was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Djokovic bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Novak Djokovic was quite effective on serve to win 80% (28/35) of his 1st serve and 77% (10/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Novak broke Fucsovics 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Djokovic has an extraordinary record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (451-83). 1-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Djokovic has an aggregate 126-30 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Novak’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Miami.
The Serbian has a compiled 13-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Geneva
Matteo Arnaldi
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 15-15 | 6-6 | 7-6 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 39, the Italian reached the quarter after defeating Hugo Gaston 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4 and Fabian Marozsan 6-3 7-6(3).
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Marozsan (6-3 7-63). During the match Arnaldi scored 82 points vs Marozsan’s 69. Matteo was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Arnaldi struck 5 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Matteo Arnaldi conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 63% of his first serves in, winning 70% (33/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 71% (20/28) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Marozsan once after converting 17% of his break points (1/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Arnaldi has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Matteo’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.
Arnaldi has an overall 14-11 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Geneva
Matteo has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Djokovic | Arnaldi |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 2 |
Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
Tot Games | 17 | 55 |
Pts | 64-37 | 180-161 |
Total Points | 101 | 341 |
Winners | 28 | 76 |
%Winners | 44% | 42% |
Djokovic played 1 match while Arnaldi competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Matteo Arnaldi surrendered 1 set while Novak Djokovic hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Djokovic has played 3 set(s) less than Arnaldi (2 vs 5). Therefore, Djokovic played 38 games less than Arnaldi. Novak scored 28 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo recorded 76 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Djokovic | Arnaldi |
---|---|---|
Aces | 4 | 13 |
Avg per match | 4 | 6.5 |
1st in | 35/48 | 105/170 |
%1st in | 73% | 62% |
1st pts | 28/35 | 76/105 |
%1st pts | 80% | 72% |
2nd pts | 10/13 | 38/65 |
%2nd pts | 77% | 58% |
Djokovic scored 4 aces . Arnaldi bagged 13 aces (6.5 per match). Djokovic won 80% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 77% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Djokovic | Arnaldi |
---|---|---|
Won | 3 | 6 |
Converted | 3/6 | 6/15 |
% Converted | 50% | 40% |
Conceded | 0 | 10 |
Saved | 0 | 7 |
% Saved | 0% | 70% |
Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Djokovic broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Djokovic very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Italian broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
Djokovic | |||
R2 Fucsovics |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
pts | 64-37 | 64-37 | |
Total points | 101 | 101 | |
Winners | 28 | 28 | |
%Winners | 44% | 44% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 4 | 4 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
1st in | 35/48 | 35/48 | |
% 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
1st pts | 28/35 | 28/35 | |
% 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
2nd pts | 10/13 | 10/13 | |
% 2nd pts | 77% | 77% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 3 | 3 | |
Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
Saved % | – | 0% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Arnaldi | ||||
R1 Gaston |
R2 Marozsan |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-76 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 7-63 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Tot Games | 33 | 22 | 55 | |
pts | 98-92 | 82-69 | 180-161 | |
Total points | 190 | 151 | 341 | |
Winners | 43 | 33 | 76 | |
%Winners | 44% | 40% | 42% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 8 | 5 | 13 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
1st in | 58/95 | 47/75 | 105/170 | |
% 1st in | 61% | 63% | 62% | |
1st pts | 43/58 | 33/47 | 76/105 | |
% 1st pts | 74% | 70% | 72% | |
2nd pts | 18/37 | 20/28 | 38/65 | |
% 2nd pts | 49% | 71% | 58% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
Converted | 5/9 | 1/6 | 6/15 | |
Converted % | 56% | 17% | 40% | |
Conceded | 8 | 2 | 10 | |
Saved | 5/8 | 2/2 | 7 | |
Saved % | 63% | 100% | 163% | |
Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Head 2 Head



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