Varvara Lepchenko and Nina Stojanovic will face off in the qualifications of the French Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:30 pm on Court 8. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nina Stojanovic who should win in 3 sets.
Nina Stojanovic -> 1.727
Varvara Lepchenko -> 2.07
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Prediction and head to head Varvara Lepchenko vs. Nina Stojanovic
This will be the 2nd time that Varvara Lepchenko and Nina Stojanovic play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Lepchenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Lepchenko won 6-7(5) 6-2 7-6(6) in the 1st round in the W80 Macon back in 2020.
Varvara Lepchenko
17 - 14win/loss
154
19
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-33 | 17-16 | 16-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-37 | 22-15 | 26-17 | 6-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-20 | 25-14 | 6-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-12 | 11-5 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 119, Varvara reached the qualifications after defeating Taylah Preston 6-4 7-5 and Jana Fett 1-6 6-4 6-3.
In the qualifications against Fett, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 6-3).During the match, Lepchenko scored less points (4) than Fett. In fact, the world no. 119 won 73 points vs Fett’s. That means that Lepchenko was more focused during the important points. Varvara was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Lepchenko bagged 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Varvara Lepchenko lost the serve 6 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Lepchenko put 73% of her first serves in, winning 54% (30/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (8/21) on the 2nd serve. Varvara broke Fett 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 51% of the points she played.
Lepchenko has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (258-198). 11-8 on clay in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Lepchenko has an aggregate 86-60 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Varvara’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras.
Lepchenko has an aggregate 17-14 win-loss record in 2025, 11-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Nina Stojanovic
14 - 9win/loss
190
81
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-15 | 5-5 | 7-6 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-9 | 5-5 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 8-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-20 | 12-8 | 3-4 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 170, Nina reached the qualifications after defeating Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 6-2 3-6 6-2 and Margaux Rouvroy 3-6 7-5 7-5.
In the qualifications against Rouvroy, Stojanovic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 7-5). During the match Stojanovic scored 117 points vs Rouvroy’s 116. The Serbian was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Stojanovic couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Nina Stojanovic lost the serve 8 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Stojanovic put 56% of her first serves in, winning 57% (35/61) of the points behind her 1st serve and 34% (16/47) on the 2nd serve. The Serbian broke Rouvroy 9 times after converting 39% of her break points (9/23).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Serbian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Stojanovic’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the W75 Targu Mures.
The Serbian has an aggregate 14-9 win-loss record in 2025, 6-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Lepchenko | Stojanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 58 |
| Pts | 157-153 | 202-179 |
| Total Points | 310 | 381 |
| Winners | 70 | 68 |
| %Winners | 45% | 34% |
Both Lepchenko and Stojanovic played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Varvara Lepchenko surrendered 1 set, while Nina Stojanovic lost 2 sets. Lepchenko has played 1 set(s) less than Stojanovic (5 vs 6). Therefore, Lepchenko played 10 games less than Stojanovic. Varvara scored 70 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Nina fired 68 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Lepchenko | Stojanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 110/158 | 109/188 |
| %1st in | 70% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 70/110 | 68/109 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 18/48 | 34/79 |
| %2nd pts | 38% | 43% |
Lepchenko fired 9 aces (4.5 per match). Stojanovic recorded 1 ace (0.5 per match). Lepchenko won 64% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Stojanovic won 62% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Lepchenko | Stojanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 14 |
| Converted | 9/20 | 14/32 |
| % Converted | 45% | 44% |
| Conceded | 17 | 29 |
| Saved | 10 | 18 |
| % Saved | 59% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 11 |
Lepchenko broke her opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. The American surrendered her serve 7 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded. Nina broke her opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. Nina conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.
| Lepchenko | ||||
| Q1 Preston | Q2 Fett | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 1-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 26 | 48 | |
| pts | 84-76 | 73-77 | 157-153 | |
| Total points | 160 | 150 | 310 | |
| Winners | 40 | 30 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 41% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 54/81 | 56/77 | 110/158 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 73% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 40/54 | 30/56 | 70/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 54% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/27 | 8/21 | 18/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 38% | 38% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 6/13 | 9/20 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 46% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 11 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5/11 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 45% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Stojanovic | ||||
| Q1 Jimenez | Q2 Rouvroy | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | 3-6 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 33 | 58 | |
| pts | 85-63 | 117-116 | 202-179 | |
| Total points | 148 | 233 | 381 | |
| Winners | 33 | 35 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 30% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 48/80 | 61/108 | 109/188 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 56% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 33/48 | 35/61 | 68/109 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 57% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/32 | 16/47 | 34/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 34% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 9 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 9/23 | 14/32 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 39% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 16 | 29 | |
| Saved | 10/13 | 8/16 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 77% | 50% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
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