Maria Lourdes Carle and Katarzyna Kawa will fight against each other in the qualifications of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:00 am on Court 6. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Lourdes Carle who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Maria Lourdes Carle is the pick to win this match.
Maria Lourdes Carle -> 1.32
Katarzyna Kawa -> 3.26

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Prediction and head to head Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Katarzyna Kawa

This will be the 3rd time that Maria Lourdes Carle and Katarzyna Kawa square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Lourdes Carle and Kawa (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Lourdes Carle won 6-4 6-1 in the quarter in the Florianopolis back in 2024.

Maria Lourdes Carle

Maria Lourdes Carle

16 - 14win/loss

Hard
6-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
10-8
Rank
137
High
71
LWLWWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-31 7-9 26-21 0-0 0-1 0-0
2024 47-29 10-10 34-15 3-2 0-2 0-0
2023 43-30 2-7 40-22 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 51-36 15-12 34-23 0-0 2-1 0-0
2021 45-27 16-8 29-19 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 125, Maria got to the qualifications after beating Eleejah Inisan 6-2 6-1.

In the qualifications, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Inisan (6-2 6-1). During the match, Lourdes Carle scored 63 points vs Inisan’s 36. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Lourdes Carle wasn’t able to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and she committed only 5 double faults. Maria Lourdes Carle lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Lourdes Carle put 83% of her first serves in, winning 63% (31/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 30% (3/10) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Inisan 7 times.

Lourdes Carle has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (304-170). 10-8 on clay in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Lourdes Carle has an overall 208-107 match record in the last years on clay.

The Argentine has an overall 16-14 win-loss record in 2025, 10-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

French Open
Lourdes Carle's Record

Katarzyna Kawa

Katarzyna Kawa

18 - 10win/loss

Hard
2-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
16-8
Rank
121
High
112
WLWLWWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-27 7-11 21-12 1-0 5-4 0-0
2024 23-25 3-9 17-11 3-2 0-3 0-0
2023 37-29 3-5 29-17 3-6 0-0 2-1
2022 26-23 7-10 4-6 9-4 6-3 0-0
2021 16-26 7-11 5-9 2-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 143, Katarzyna got to the qualifications after beating Tessah Andrianjafitrimo 6-4 6-3.

In the qualifications, Katarzyna had a good straight sets win against Andrianjafitrimo (6-4 6-3). During the match Kawa scored 67 points vs Andrianjafitrimo’s 57. Katarzyna was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

About the serving games, Kawa scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Katarzyna Kawa lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kawa put 60% of her first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Kawa broke Andrianjafitrimo 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).

The Pole’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Bogota.

Katarzyna has a compiled 18-10 win-loss record in 2025, 16-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See her history.

French Open
Kawa's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Lourdes Carle
K.Kawa
1h:20
1h:20
Time on court​
1h:30
1h:30
1h:20
1h:20
Last match​
1h:30
1h:30
1
1
Match played
1
1
15
15
Games Played​
19
19
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
63
63
Total points​
67
67
63
63
Avg point​
67
67
31
31
Winners
23
23
31
31
Avg Winners​
23
23
49%
49%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
0
0
Aces
1
1
0
0
Avg Aces
1
1
5
5
Double Faults
2
2
5
5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
31/49
31/49
1st won total​
23/33
23/33
63%
63%
1st won %
70%
70%
3/10
3/10
2nd won total​
10/22
10/22
!
30%
30%
2nd won %
45%
45%
-- Break Points --
7/7
7/7
BP won
5/10
5/10
7/7
7/7
Avg BP won
5/10
5/10
!
100%
100%
Won
50%
50%
6
6
Conceded
4
4
6
6
Avg Conceded
4
4
2
2
Broken
2
2
2
2
Avg Broken
2
2
4
4
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Lourdes Carle Kawa
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 15 19
Pts 63-36 67-57
Total Points 99 124
Winners 31 23
%Winners 49% 34%

Both Lourdes Carle and Kawa played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Lourdes Carle and Kawa have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Lourdes Carle played 4 games less than Kawa. Maria scored 31 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Katarzyna blasted 23 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Lourdes Carle Kawa
Aces 0 1
Avg per match 0 1
1st in 49/59 33/55
%1st in 83% 60%
1st pts 31/49 23/33
%1st pts 63% 70%
2nd pts 3/10 10/22
%2nd pts 30% 45%

Lourdes Carle didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kawa managed to score 1 ace . Lourdes Carle won 63% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 30% of the points. On the other side, Kawa won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Lourdes Carle Kawa
Won 7 5
Converted 7/7 5/10
% Converted 100% 50%
Conceded 6 4
Saved 4 2
% Saved 67% 50%
Times Broken 2 2

Lourdes Carle broke her opponent 7 times with a 100% conversion rate. Maria lost her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Katarzyna broke her opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Pole conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Lourdes Carle
Q1
Inisan
Total
Score 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 15 15
pts 63-36 63-36
Total points 99 99
Winners 31 31
%Winners 49% 49%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 49/59 49/59
% 1st in 83% 83%
1st pts 31/49 31/49
% 1st pts 63% 63%
2nd pts 3/10 3/10
% 2nd pts 30% 30%
Breaks
Won 7 7
Converted 7/7 7/7
Converted % 100% 100%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 4/6 4
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 2 2
Kawa
Q1
Andrianjafitrimo
Total
Score 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 67-57 67-57
Total points 124 124
Winners 23 23
%Winners 34% 34%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 33/55 33/55
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 23/33 23/33
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 10/22 10/22
% 2nd pts 45% 45%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/10 5/10
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 2/4 2
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 2 2

Tennis Scores – French Open

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