Sebastian Baez and Camilo Ugo Carabelli will clash against each other in the 1st round of the Hamburg Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 2:30 pm on M1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.49
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli
This will be the 9th time that Sebastian Baez and Camilo Ugo Carabelli play each other. The head to head is 6-2 for Baez (see full H2H stats), 6-2 on clay.
The last time that they played, Baez won 6-1 3-6 6-2 in the semifinal in Santiago back in March 2025.
Highlights Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Santiago 01-March-2025
Sebastian Baez
16 - 13win/loss
39
18
LLLLLLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-15 | 0-4 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36, Sebastian will start his run in Hamburg after he played his last match in the Bordeaux Challenger where he lost 6-4 3-6 6-2 to Hijikata in the 2nd round on the 15th of May.
Baez has an overall 16-13 win-loss record in 2025, 16-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the season was winning the title in Rio de Janeiro where he beat Alexandre Muller in the final 6-2 6-3.
Talking about his overall career, Sebastian has an overall 267-162 record. He has a positive 228-98 record on clay.
Previously in Hamburg
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2024. See his history.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24 - 13win/loss
53
51
LLLWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-16 | 3-3 | 22-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 52 (career-high), Ugo will start his run in Hamburg after he played his last match in the Turin Challenger where he lost 6-3 6-2 to Yunchaokete in the semifinal on the 17th of May.
Ugo has a compiled 24-13 win-loss record in 2025, 21-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Rosario Challenger where he defeated Hugo Dellien in the final 3-6 6-3 6-2.
In terms of his career, Ugo has an overall 370-211 record. He has a positive 334-178 record on clay.
Previously in Hamburg
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLWLLW
LLLWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Hamburg
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Raphael CollignonCollignon (6-5 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Marcos GironGiron (7-65 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Luciano DarderiDarderi – Diego Dedura-PalomeroDedura-Palomero (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrey RublevAndrey – Damir DzumhurDamir (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elias YmerYmer – Alexandre MullerMuller (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Vitaliy SachkoSachko – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Borna GojoGojo – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Gael MonfilsMonfils (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Francisco ComesanaComesana (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-2) – H2H and prediction
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
